The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
In this paper was discussed the process of compounding two distributions using new compounding procedure which is connect a number of life time distributions ( continuous distribution ) where is the number of these distributions represent random variable distributed according to one of the discrete random distributions . Based on this procedure have been compounding zero – truncated poisson distribution with weibell distribution to produce new life time distribution having three parameter , Advantage of that failure rate function having many cases ( increasing , dicreasing , unimodal , bathtube) , and study the resulting distribution properties such as : expectation , variance , comulative function , reliability function and fa
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This study is concerned with the estimation of constant and time-varying parameters in non-linear ordinary differential equations, which do not have analytical solutions. The estimation is done in a multi-stage method where constant and time-varying parameters are estimated in a straight sequential way from several stages. In the first stage, the model of the differential equations is converted to a regression model that includes the state variables with their derivatives and then the estimation of the state variables and their derivatives in a penalized splines method and compensating the estimations in the regression model. In the second stage, the pseudo- least squares method was used to es
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لا يخفى على كلّ طالب علمٍ أنَّ العمل على نشر العلم الشرعي من أقرب القربات إلى رب العباد والأرض والسموات وخاصةً فيما لو تعلّق الأمرُ بعلم أصول الدين وتوحيدِ الله وردّ الشبهات التي تتعلق بقدم المادّة وعناصرها التي كانَ لها الأثر السلبي في تهافت عقول الفلاسفة الإيليين ومحقُ إيمانهم قولاً واعتقادا .
يُوضّحُ بحثنا ( الهيولى بين المُتكلمين والفلاسفة ) م
... Show More إن المقصود باختبارات حسن المطابقة هو التحقق من فرضية العدم القائمة على تطابق مشاهدات أية عينة تحت الدراسة لتوزيع احتمالي معين وترد مثل هكذا حالات في التطبيق العملي بكثرة وفي كافة المجالات وعلى الأخص بحوث علم الوراثة والبحوث الطبية والبحوث الحياتية ,عندما اقترح كلا من Shapiro والعالم Wilk عام 1965 اختبار حسن المطابقة الحدسي مع معالم القياس
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Weibull distribution is considered as one of the most widely distribution applied in real life, Its similar to normal distribution in the way of applications, it's also considered as one of the distributions that can applied in many fields such as industrial engineering to represent replaced and manufacturing time ,weather forecasting, and other scientific uses in reliability studies and survival function in medical and communication engineering fields.
In this paper, The scale parameter has been estimated for weibull distribution using Bayesian method based on Jeffery prior information as a first method , then enhanced by improving Jeffery prior information and then used as a se
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ولقد انعم الله علينا بالنبي محمد صلى الله عليه وسلم الداعي إلى خير الأخلاق وأيسر الأعمال ، فالناس صنفان: مغضوب عليهم جفاة ، وضالون غلاة فما اصبح بالعباد من نعمة الا هو طريقها وما رام العقلاء غاية الا هو دليلها. وسبب اختياري للموضوع هو التطرف والغلو عند بعض الناس بحجة انهم على منهج النبوة والسلف الصالح في تطيق الشريعة السمحاء ولتبيين للناس كيف هو منهج الحبيب ا
... Show MoreThe intensification of competition among all companies and at different levels has become necessary for every company need to continue to improve its performance in order to be able to face the competition and stay in the market. To achieve this, we must rely on the company's accounting information more accurate and appropriate and provided in a timely manner, for the purpose of use in planning and decision making.
So there must be information systems that help the administration to continuous development and improvement of the performance of companies in general, and this is what you need Jordanian companies, especially after the accession of Jordan to the field
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The logistic regression model of the most important regression models a non-linear which aim getting estimators have a high of efficiency, taking character more advanced in the process of statistical analysis for being a models appropriate form of Binary Data.
Among the problems that appear as a result of the use of some statistical methods I
... Show Moreهدفت الدراسة إلى التعرف على إدارة الحكمة والازدهار التنظيمي وفاعلية القرارات الاستراتيجية لدى اعضاء مجالس كليات التربية البدنية وعلوم الرياضة في جامعات العراق ، والتعرف على العلاقة بين ادارة الحكمة والازدهار التنظيمي وفاعلية القرارات الاستراتيجية لدى اعضاء مجالس كليات التربية البدنية وعلوم الرياضة في جامعات العراق ، التعرف على الفروق وفقا لمتغير اللقب العلمي (استاذ- استاذ مساعد) وسنوات الخدمة لأعضاء مجا
... Show MoreThis paper aims to prove an existence theorem for Voltera-type equation in a generalized G- metric space, called the -metric space, where the fixed-point theorem in - metric space is discussed and its application. First, a new contraction of Hardy-Rogess type is presented and also then fixed point theorem is established for these contractions in the setup of -metric spaces. As application, an existence result for Voltera integral equation is obtained.