تعد الحروب أحد أخطر التهديدات في النظام العالمي; فهي تعد خرقا للقوانين والاعراف الدولية، والمبادئ الإنسانية، و من هنا تأتي دراسة أهمية موضوعنا الموسوم بـ (الاحتمالات المستقبلية للحرب الروسية – الأوكرانية و مدى انعكاسها على أمن دول شرق أوربا بعد العام 2022 ،)اذ يرتكز هذا البحث على دراسة واستعراض الاحتمالات المستقبلية )السيناريوهات) للحرب الروسية – الأوكرانية، والتي شنت من الحكومة الروسية بقيادة الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين في شباط عام 2022م، وهي لاتزال مستمرة حتى كتابة هذا البحث. تنطلق فرضية بحثنا من فكرة مفادها: ان محاولة استشراف المسارات المستقبلية للحرب الروسية-الأوكرانية بعد العام 2022م من خلال وضع احتمالات )سيناريوهات متعددة وتحليلها وفق المجريات و الأدلة الداعمة لكل احتمال (سيناريو) من ضمنها حل انهاء الحرب، و هو المرجح و الذي يتوقع أن يكون بترضية لروسيا; الا ان روسيا لن تقبل بالانسحاب دون مقابل أو ابقاء المناطق المسيطر عليها من روسيا وضمها اليها. كما حدث في شبه جزيرة القرم عام 2014م، أو تقاسم النفوذ بين الغرب وروسيا، للغرب نفوذ اقتصادي في أوكرانيا، وروسيا تحتفظ بنفوذها العسكري.
An analytical method and a two-dimensional finite element model for treating the problem of laser heating and melting has been applied to aluminum 2519T87and stainless steel 304. The time needed to melt and vaporize and the effects of laser power density on the melt depth for two metals are also obtained. In addition, the depth profile and time evolution of the temperature before melting and after melting are given, in which a discontinuity in the temperature gradient is obviously observed due to the latent heat of fusion and the increment in thermal conductivity in solid phase. The analytical results that induced by laser irradiation is in good agreement with numerical results.
أولاً: مشكلة البحث:
على الرغم من أن كل شخص هو كائن متفرد بحد ذاته ، إلا أن هناك تشابهات مشتركة بين كثير من الناس ، وتشكل هذه التشابهات أنماطآ شخصية يهدف علم النفس إلى دراستها وفهمها.
وقد حاول علماء النفس والمنظرون في مجال الشخصية بناء أنظمة نظرية لتغطية التباين الواسع بين الأفراد في السلوك ضمن المواقف المختلفة. وهدفت جهودهم إلى فهم الدافعية البشرية ، والسلوك عن طريق عملية النمو
... Show MoreThe effect of the concentration of the colloidal nanomaterial on their optical limiting behavior is reported in this paper. The colloids of sliver nanoparticles in deionized water were chemically prepared for the two concentrations (31 ppm and 11ppm). Two cw lasers (473 nm Blue DPSS laser and 532 nm Nd:YAG laser) are used to compare the optical limiting performance for the samples. UV–visible spectrophotometer, transmission electron microscope (TEM) and Fourier Transformation Infrared Spectrometer (FTIR) were used to obtain the characteristics of the sample. The nonlinear refractive index was calculated to be in the order of 10-9 cm2/W. The results demonstrate that the observed limiting response is significant for 532nm. In addition, t
... Show Moreالكوارث الطبيعية واضرارها على حياة الانسان قديمة لاتحددها فترة زمنية بعينها دون الاخرى ، انها موجودة مند الازل قدم لنا القران الكريم ، والحديث النبوي الشريف ، وكتب التاريخ والجغرافية والبلدان ، وكتب الثقافة العامة وكتب الانواء ، وبعض الكتب المستقلة في الموضوع ومنها كتاب كشف الصلصة في وصف الزلزلة للسيوطي ( ت 911هـ) نمادج لا تحصى من انواع الكوارث الطبيعية ، والتبدلات الجذرية التي حلت بالمجتمعات نتيجة لوقوع
... Show Morerepresent websites link support of human communicate and cohesion of cultures different depending on their languages and their environments around, it was the evolution of one of the most important means of communication of services for electronic networks, the Internet active role in containing the world Bbodqh science and knowledge to Taatlaqah cultures from which derives its intellectual and cognitive cupboards continuity and as a link language for each those environmental Altdadat, linguistic, religious, political, economic . We all know that these electronic means difficult promise ring intellectual and mental connectivity for the masses polarized without being of the image as an element Kravekaa supporter of the electronic media an
... Show MoreThe aim of the present study is to identify the level of prosoical behavior of Baghdad University's students and to recognize the differences between male and female students. Moreover, it also aims to identify the level of openness to experience for these students. A random sample of (123) students has been selected; 77 males and 46 females. Two scales have been used in the study. The Prosocialness scale for adults by Caprara. Et al (2005) has been translated into the Arabic language and relies on four types of actions (Helping, Sharing, Taking care, and feeling Empathetic with others) and the other scale is the Openness to Experience Scale, which is one of the Big Five Inventory by John and Srivastava (1999). The main results showed a
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All central air conditioning systems contain piping system with various components, sizes, material, and layouts. If such systems in operating mode, the flow in piping system and its component such as valves can produce severe vibration due to some flow phenomenon’s. In this research, experimental measurements and numerical simulation are used to study the flow-induced vibration in valves. Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) concepts are included with one-way and two-way fluid-structure interaction concepts by using finite element software Package (ANSYS 14.57). Detection analysis is performed on flow characteristics under operation conditions and relations with structural vibration. Most of
... Show MoreIn this research The study of Multi-level model (partial pooling model) we consider The partial pooling model which is one Multi-level models and one of the Most important models and extensive use and application in the analysis of the data .This Model characterized by the fact that the treatments take hierarchical or structural Form, in this partial pooling models, Full Maximum likelihood FML was used to estimated parameters of partial pooling models (fixed and random ), comparison between the preference of these Models, The application was on the Suspended Dust data in Iraq, The data were for four and a half years .Eight stations were selected randomly among the stations in Iraq. We use Akaik′s Informa
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There is a close relationship between rigidity and distort structure of production and productivity and inflation rates. The effects of this relationship are distorted the contribution rate of the productive sectors and the disproportionate of exchange rate in foreign trade.
raising the general level of prices is one of the way that have been used by previous governments (inflationary financing or deficit financing) in order to speed up the process of capital formation, depending on the availability of economic resources idle.
The fabricating inflation for development does not represent a true understanding of the nature of the
... Show MoreThe electrochemical behavior of Al-17%Si alloy is investigated in 3.5wt% NaCl solution. Many alloys with addition of the different wt% magnesium metal of 1wt%, 2%, 3wt% ,4.5wt% ,and 9wt% were prepared by gravity die casting . The microstructures of prepared alloys were examined by optical and SEM microscopes. Corrosion behavior was investigated by using potentiostat instrument under static potentials test and corrosion current was recorded to determine corrosion resistance of all prepared samples. It was found that the addition of Mg metal improves the corrosion resistance of Al-17%Si alloy in 3.5%NaCl solution. The alloy containing 1%Mg shows less corrosion rate than the others while the alloys containing 4.5%Mg, 9%Mg content have
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