تعد الحروب أحد أخطر التهديدات في النظام العالمي; فهي تعد خرقا للقوانين والاعراف الدولية، والمبادئ الإنسانية، و من هنا تأتي دراسة أهمية موضوعنا الموسوم بـ (الاحتمالات المستقبلية للحرب الروسية – الأوكرانية و مدى انعكاسها على أمن دول شرق أوربا بعد العام 2022 ،)اذ يرتكز هذا البحث على دراسة واستعراض الاحتمالات المستقبلية )السيناريوهات) للحرب الروسية – الأوكرانية، والتي شنت من الحكومة الروسية بقيادة الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين في شباط عام 2022م، وهي لاتزال مستمرة حتى كتابة هذا البحث. تنطلق فرضية بحثنا من فكرة مفادها: ان محاولة استشراف المسارات المستقبلية للحرب الروسية-الأوكرانية بعد العام 2022م من خلال وضع احتمالات )سيناريوهات متعددة وتحليلها وفق المجريات و الأدلة الداعمة لكل احتمال (سيناريو) من ضمنها حل انهاء الحرب، و هو المرجح و الذي يتوقع أن يكون بترضية لروسيا; الا ان روسيا لن تقبل بالانسحاب دون مقابل أو ابقاء المناطق المسيطر عليها من روسيا وضمها اليها. كما حدث في شبه جزيرة القرم عام 2014م، أو تقاسم النفوذ بين الغرب وروسيا، للغرب نفوذ اقتصادي في أوكرانيا، وروسيا تحتفظ بنفوذها العسكري.
The main aim of this paper is to study how the different estimators of the two unknown parameters (shape and scale parameter) of a generalized exponential distribution behave for different sample sizes and for different parameter values. In particular,
. Maximum Likelihood, Percentile and Ordinary Least Square estimators had been implemented for different sample sizes (small, medium, and large) and assumed several contrasts initial values for the two parameters. Two indicators of performance Mean Square Error and Mean Percentile Error were used and the comparisons were carried out between different methods of estimation by using monte carlo simulation techniq
... Show MoreThe traffic congestion caused by the increase in the number of vehicles in the cities as a result of the increase in the population and the density of construction requires the provision of appropriate infrastructure and the provision of transport systems and logistics services that meet the needs of the population to meet the many challenges now and in the future by introducing various modes of transport , In accordance with integrated plans such as the use of (pedestrian friendly environments, bicycles and their own paths, light rail, metro, express bus, as well as public transport buses and others), through the development of Projects High-level roads, such as the annual and major roads, etc., and integrated with the urban planning of
... Show MoreObjective: to assessthe impact of psychological and social climacteric changes on quality of life among
middle age women in Baghdad city
Methodology: : A descriptive analytic study was conducted to study the quality of life among middle age
women due topsychological and social climacteric changes from February 2013- July 2013. A purposive
sampleconsisted of three hundred (300) womenaged (40-65) years who were attending health centers in two
sectors in Baghdad / AL- Russafa andAL- karhk . The data were collected through using interview technique ,
and questionnaire format , which comprises two parts, first part consist (socio-demographic characteristic , the
second part quality of life domains (psychological and socia
Objective: To assess the effect of education program on psychological and social changes of secondary school teachers with menopause.
Method: A quasi-experimental design is carried out with the application of a pre- post –test for menopause secondary school teacher's bio-psychosocial changes. Non-probability sample consists of (60 female teachers) (40) teachers from Al- Rusafa first Education Directorate secondary schools, and (20) teachers from Al- Karkh third Education Directorate secondary schools. The sample was exposed to pretest, educational program, and posttest. Data were collected through the utilization of the study instrument (the questionnaire) and application of bio-psychosocial ed
... Show MoreThe issue of nuclear proliferation is one of the most vital issues as it reflects a form of dealing in the field of international relations. Therefore, the Middle East region has taken great interest in reducing the levels of nuclear armament and acquiring nuclear power within the strategic framework of the international and regional powers. The establishment of a nuclear-weapon-free zone in the Middle East region is currently one of the most important international and regional arrangements for controlling the levels of nuclear proliferation and attempting to build a state of stability and balance. In the Middle East and the world. The importance of the research comes from the fact that it deals with an important and vital issue
... Show MoreObjectives: The study aimed to assess the needs of nurses' knowledge toward post operative wound care and to constructed health educational program upon nurses who are working in surgical wards, to determine the relation between nurses' knowledge and their demographical characteristic which includes ( age, gender, level of education, number of years experience in the surgical wards, years of experience in nursing service, and number of attending an educational sessions), and to identify the impact of the health educational program on their knowledge through perform post-test every two months after imp
Haruki Murakami (1949-present) is a contemporary Japanese writer whose works have been translated into fifty languages and won him plenty of Japanese and international awards. His short stories are well constructed in a weird realistic manner and are mixed with elements of surrealism. His novels and short stories fall under the genre of magical realism. One of the major revolving themes that Murakami wrote about was the haunting feeling of emptiness and disconnectedness in a world which seems to care much for materialism and self-interests.
The paper explores two of Murakami’s short stories in his book After the Quake (2000) and the relevance of their themes and characters to Iraq after the q
... Show MoreIraqi-Saudi Relations have witnessed a state of rapprochement over decades. However, this rapprochement was temporary and could not overcome the differences that formed the core of Iraqi-Saudi relations after 2003, relations between Iraq and Saudi Arabia deteriorated with the Iraqi governments that followed the rule of Iraq after 2003, especially the government of Nuri Al-Maliki in which relations reached the end of mutual accusations between the two parties. In order to promote the relationship between the two countries, a culture of moderation has to be propagated especially in the field of religion and the religious institution should be encouraged to open up to other sects and to recognize all sects as prelude to combating the cultur
... Show MoreThe Iraqi- Kuwaiti relations had witnessed a lot of problems which had its impact on them, at the fore front is the frontier issue, and the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait in 1990 which led to the severance of relations between them and had strengthened the disagreement and the dispute and raised the animosity and tension.
After 2003, Iraq has witnessed a lot of changes which affected Iraq and the region as a whole.
Under the new political developments in Iraq, a now phase has started in the relations between the two parts. which is based on the emphasis on building new relations based on the mutual respect and non intervention in the internal affairs of both countries, and in accordance with the principles of the international law, and w