تعد الحروب أحد أخطر التهديدات في النظام العالمي; فهي تعد خرقا للقوانين والاعراف الدولية، والمبادئ الإنسانية، و من هنا تأتي دراسة أهمية موضوعنا الموسوم بـ (الاحتمالات المستقبلية للحرب الروسية – الأوكرانية و مدى انعكاسها على أمن دول شرق أوربا بعد العام 2022 ،)اذ يرتكز هذا البحث على دراسة واستعراض الاحتمالات المستقبلية )السيناريوهات) للحرب الروسية – الأوكرانية، والتي شنت من الحكومة الروسية بقيادة الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين في شباط عام 2022م، وهي لاتزال مستمرة حتى كتابة هذا البحث. تنطلق فرضية بحثنا من فكرة مفادها: ان محاولة استشراف المسارات المستقبلية للحرب الروسية-الأوكرانية بعد العام 2022م من خلال وضع احتمالات )سيناريوهات متعددة وتحليلها وفق المجريات و الأدلة الداعمة لكل احتمال (سيناريو) من ضمنها حل انهاء الحرب، و هو المرجح و الذي يتوقع أن يكون بترضية لروسيا; الا ان روسيا لن تقبل بالانسحاب دون مقابل أو ابقاء المناطق المسيطر عليها من روسيا وضمها اليها. كما حدث في شبه جزيرة القرم عام 2014م، أو تقاسم النفوذ بين الغرب وروسيا، للغرب نفوذ اقتصادي في أوكرانيا، وروسيا تحتفظ بنفوذها العسكري.
Estimation of the tail index parameter of a one - parameter Pareto model has wide important by the researchers because it has awide application in the econometrics science and reliability theorem.
Here we introduce anew estimator of "generalized median" type and compare it with the methods of Moments and Maximum likelihood by using the criteria, mean square error.
The estimator of generalized median type performing best over all.
In light of the limited sources of funding suffered by the Iraqi economy, it highlights the importance of enhancing the efficiency of public expenditure, and if the measurement of the efficiency of public expenditure and identify benchmarks first step of promoting efficiency, the adoption of scientific methods of analysis imperative in promoting the efficiency. Under this framework, the focus was on the methodologies used to measure the efficiency of public spending and supply analysis with trying statement strengths and weaknesses, and make use of it in the measurement of the efficiency of public spending in the Iraqi economy. As well as devise measurable indicators take into account the specificity of the Iraqi economy and the
... Show MoreAbstract
The study aimed to prepare a practical guide for procedures for auditing the strategies of municipal institutions in achieving sustainable development by adopting the idea of the audit matrix through which a classified report is prepared according to the dimensions of sustainable development, by preparing a specialized audit program for the purpose of auditing strategies for achieving sustainable development and emptying the results of the application of each of the paragraphs The program in the audit matrix that was prepared for the purpose of determining the impact of each observation and linkin
... Show MoreThe paper deals with the marked vocabulary of Russian and Arabic language, and the extrapolated to the phraseological layer of the mentioned language systems. Specificity of the functioning of this process is presented against the backdrop of the peculiarities of the existence of Russian and Arabic languages. Attention is focused on the fact that linguistic markers should be considered as a kind of keys that represent the specificity of the experience of being experienced by an individual in ontological reality. It is asserted that marking can be revealed practically at all levels of the language polysystem, but it is especially productive on its lexical layer, in particular, on the basis of lexicology and ph
... Show MoreThe present study discusses the semantic characteristics of the Russian newspapers journalistic headlines (The Russian newspaper "Komsomolskaya Pravda" as Example"). The study traces the characteristics of the Russian newspaper headlines, its relevance to grammar, syntax, lexical items and style. These characteristics in Russian will be investigated and compared to their Arabic correspondents in the process of translation. The study also specifies the meanings and the functions of the newspaper headlines in the light of modern linguistics stressing the grammatical, lexical and stylistic aspects of headlines translation from Russian into Arabic.
J
... Show MoreSummery of the Study: The Israeli interest in Iraq was not the result of the 2003 US war, which ended with its occupation, but Iraq was still at the top of Israeli concerns, as it was due to its interest and desire to occupy the Zionist movement for a number of reasons, most importantly its religious position in the Jews and control It is a sacred religious duty, so Israel has employed all its organs, institutions, relations and espionage networks in order to penetrate it and perpetuate its existence, and succeeded in achieving its foreign policy objectives at a time when the area was open to it without opposition or competition thanks to its strategic alliance with the states Of the United States of America, which has been able to penet
... Show MoreThe subject of the tagged research (becoming and integration of the film in postmodern cinema) is summarized by studying the transformations and complementarity of the film in light of the emergence of the concern of postmodernism. Then the need for it, as well as the objectives of the research and clarify its limits, as well as its importance. Then the transition to the theoretical framework, which included two sections, the first topic was entitled: Postmodern Cinema Formation and Completion, while the second topic was entitled: Paradox in Postmodern Film.
After completing the theoretical aspect, the research concluded with a number of theoretical framework indicators that were adopted as a tool for analyzing the sample, then th
... Show Moreتنشر الدولة الفرنسية قواتها العسكرية في جميع دول القارة الافريقية بهدف السيطرة عليها وتحقيق مصالحها الشخصية
مرت العلاقات المصرية – الامريكية بمنعطفات مهمة كان لها تاثيرها الكبير في مسار تلك العلاقات ولعل اهمها حرب حزيران 1967 و حرب تشرين الثاني 1973 ،الا ان تلك العلاقات اخذت منعطفا مختلفاً خلال عهد الرئيس المصري انور السادات واستمرت تلك العلاقات حتى عهد الرئيس المصري حسني مبارك وشملت مختلف المجالات السياسية والاقتصادية والعسكرية والامنية ،بل وصلت العلاقة بين البلدين الى حد الشراكة..ومهما قيل عن تحسن العلاقات المصر
... Show Moreتنشر الولايات المتحدة قوات في جميع دول القارة الافريقية بهدف السيطرة الكاملة عليها وتحقيق اهدافها ومصالحها