يتناول هـذا البحث بالتحليل التفاعل و التنسيق بين السياستين الماليـة و النقديـة و اثر هذا التفاعل و التنسيق على الاستقـرار و النمـو الاقتصـادي، و كيف ان الآثار المالية للسياسة النقدية قد تحفز الإجراءات الخاصة بالسياسة النقدية و معالجة الآثـار الجانبيـة و طبيعـة التفاعل و الارتداد بين إجراءات كلتا السياستين و أثرهما في التـوازن الاقتصـادي العــام، و تم في ثنايا البحث توضيح مسوغات التنسيق و مدى ضرورة ذلك بهدف معالجة الاختلالات في النشاط الاقتصادي عبر توأمة الاجراءات النقدية و المالية، و قد تجسد هذا التنسيق و التفاعل بين السياستين و آثارهما المتبادلة المتسقة و غير المتسقة عند دراسة التوازن الاقتصادي العام و أركانه المتمثلة في التـوازن في السوق النقدي و التوازن في السوق السلعي (Lm- Is ) و ان التوازن النقدي و السلعي مقدمات اساسية الى التوازن الاقتصادي العام ذو المنشأ و البعد الكينزي الذي وضع اساسياته فكرة التوازن الاقتصاديين هيكيس و هانسن في تحليلهما للتوازن الكينزي للاقتصاد ( نموذج الدخل البسيط ) و قد تم تطوير هذا النموذج الى نموذج ( Lm-Is ) بفضل إسهاماته النظرية و التي لخصت التعادل بين الطلب الكلي النقدي و العرض الكلي السلعي اذ تلعب السياسة النقدية دورا مؤثرا و حساسا في الطلب الكلي النقدي ( القيمة النقدية للسلع و الخدمات ) كما تؤثر السياسة المالية بشكل فاعل في العرض الكلي السلعي ( المحتوى السلعي للنقود ) و ان كلتا السياستين بأدواتهما و إجراءاتهما المختلفة تترك تأثيرات متبادلة متجاوبة حول الهدف او تأثيرات متبادلة مرتدة حول الهدف المرسوم، و ان التوازن الاقتصادي المستقر هو حالة قابلة الى اعادة التوازن في حالة تعرض هذا التوازن الى اختلال بفعل قوى ذاتية و ان التوازن الاقتصادي غير المستقر هو حالة غير قابلة الى اعادة التوازن و انما تبقى في طيات التأرجح بين اللاتوازن و الاستقرار على معدلات اقتصادية معينة للاستخدام و الناتج و الأسعار.
Abstract
The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a he
... Show MoreForeign direct investment is considered one of important bases to blind economy for many. Countries as if the main stage for developing national economy ,so for this ,many of countries give great prominence to the role of drivel foreign investment due to its importance as one of economic growth pillars in the developing countries. They offer a support for modern technology, organizational and managerial skills.
Dneto the importance of direct foreign investment on the economic growth, today, we discover that Iraq in need to rebnlid the in frastructuve and renew what has been destroyed during was in many production and export institutions . as wel
... Show MoreAttention increased to the topic of academic accreditation by the university as a modern philosophy by which to improve its performance and provide high-quality education. Universities and colleges in general and Iraqi universities and colleges in particular have begun interest in accreditation and desire to get it. So starting from the pursuit of the Administration and Economics College / Baghdad University in obtaining accreditation of Association to Advance Collegiate Schools of Business (AACSB) The research is present which aims to determine the level of application (AACSB) International standards at the College of Administration and Economics / Baghdad University in preparation to get its accreditation in the future. Researc
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The current research aims to identify the perceptual speed of the university students as well as to identify the differences in the level of perceptual speed for the university students according to the variables of (male, female) specialization (scientific, human) university (Baghdad, Mustansiriya). Additionally, the research aims to identify the prevalence of emotional pattern and to identify the relationship between perceptual speed and the emotional patterns among university students. The researcher designed a questionnaire to measure the Emotional Patterns based on Jerome Freedman perspective. As for perceptual speed, the researcher adopted French, Extrom and Price scale (1963), which was tran
... Show MoreRequires economic work finding built institutional paint strategies and policies are formulated general economic and clarity in its stated objectives and the involvement of all economic institutions, political and stakeholders to discuss all the issues of economic, financial, monetary and analyzed for the purpose of renewal energies and determine the duties and responsibilities, leaving full freedom to the private sector in the formation of institutions to carry out his duties economic, and that the institutional structures to create the right climate for the implementation of its economic policies, which would facilitate the task of the private sector, and this h
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In This Paper, some semi- parametric spatial models were estimated, these models are, the semi – parametric spatial error model (SPSEM), which suffer from the problem of spatial errors dependence, and the semi – parametric spatial auto regressive model (SPSAR). Where the method of maximum likelihood was used in estimating the parameter of spatial error ( λ ) in the model (SPSEM), estimated the parameter of spatial dependence ( ρ ) in the model ( SPSAR ), and using the non-parametric method in estimating the smoothing function m(x) for these two models, these non-parametric methods are; the local linear estimator (LLE) which require finding the smoo
... Show Morestudy aimed to recognize the relationship shyness and depression and to recognize the differences between the genders, according to the variable of shyness and depression, the sample consisted (214) students, (141) female (73) male, and the sample responded scale of shyness and Inventory beck for depression, The Results of this study show that: the sample has a low degree shyness and a high degree depression, . There are no statistically significant differences according to gender variable in shyness, and there are statistically significant differences according to gender variable in depression favor for male, and there are statistically significant relationships between the variables of the study at lev
... Show MoreF index is a connected graph, sum of the cubes of the vertex degrees. The forgotten topological index has been designed to be employed in the examination of drug molecular structures, which is extremely useful for pharmaceutical and medical experts in understanding the biological activities. Among all the topological indices, the forgotten index is based on degree connectivity on bonds. This paper characterized the forgotten index of union of graphs, join graphs, limits on trees and its complements, and accuracy is measured. Co-index values are analyzed for the various molecular structure of chemical compounds
The aerodynamic and elastic forces may cause an oscillation of the structure such as the high frequency of the airfoil surfaces and the dynamic instability occurring in an aircraft in flight and failure may occur at a speed called flutter speed. In this work, analytical and numerical investigations of flutter limits of thin plates have been carried out. The flutter speed of rectangular plates were obtained and compared with some published results. Different design parameters were investigated such as aspect ratio, thickness and their effects on flutter velocity. It was found that the structural mode shape plays an important role in the determination of the flutter speed and the coupling between the bending and torsional mode is the main
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