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A Comparison of Traditional and Optimized Multiple Grey Regression Models with Water Data Application

Grey system theory is a multidisciplinary scientific approach, which deals with systems that have partially unknown information (small sample and uncertain information). Grey modeling as an important component of such theory gives successful results with limited amount of data. Grey Models are divided into two types; univariate and multivariate grey models. The univariate grey model with one order derivative equation GM (1,1) is the base stone of the theory, it is considered the time series prediction model but it doesn’t take the relative factors in account. The traditional multivariate grey models GM(1,M) takes those factor in account but it has a complex structure and some defects in " modeling mechanism", "parameter estimation "and "model structure", So that traditional GM(1,M) submitted to many trials of optimizations to getting rid this defects. This research shows the characteristics of the traditional GM(1,M), the problems it suffer from, the method of getting rid of such problems and presents two optimized multivariable grey model of one order derivative equation. the first one is called the Optimized Grey Model abbreviated as OGM(1, M) by adding the linear correction term h1(M-1)and the grey action quantity term (h2) to the traditional model GM(1,M) the latter is called Optimized Background value Grey Model OBGM(1,M) by optimizing the Background value of the last model OGM(1,M). We use two A realistic data represents the water consumption in Baghdad at the period (2016-2022) to compare the two optimized models with the traditional represents the water consumption in Baghdad at the period (2016-2022)). we use the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and the determination coefficient R2. To compare the two optimized model with traditional one. The results show that the two optimized have less values than the those of the traditional model GM(I,M), and that verify the correctness of defects analysis of GM(1,M).

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
EFFECT OF SPRAYING ORGANIC EMULSION (APPETIZER) AND NANO NPK WITH UREA ON SOME GROWTH CHARACTERISTICS OF THREE SYNTHETIC CULTIVARS OF MAIZE: EFFECT OF SPRAYING ORGANIC EMULSION (APPETIZER) AND NANO NPK WITH UREA ON SOME GROWTH CHARACTERISTICS OF THREE SYNTHETIC CULTIVARS OF MAIZE

A field experiment was carried out at the research station of the College of Agriculture - Wasit University / Kut, during the fall season 2021 in soil with texture (sandy mixture) using the RCBD design in the arrangement of splintered plates and with three replications, to study the effect of spraying different combinations of organic emulsion (Appetizer) and NPK nano fertilizer with urea fertilizer on the growth of synthetic cultivars of yellow corn. The main panels included three synthetic varieties of yellow corn (Fajr1, Sumer and Baghdad3), which symbolized by (V1,V2,V3) in sequence, while the secondary panels included five fertilization treatments in which mineral fertilizer (urea) was used 46% nitrogen with the full recomme

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Openness Management by Figures as a Model of Integrity and Transparency

Competitive advantage is a substantial  strategic objective for organizations. It requires high levels in the quality of products and services provided to customers, continuous improvement of costing , care for creativity and innovative employees, and speed unique to the marketing and financial engineering, and business re-engineering processes. The situation in this area, requires actors to attract and develop human resources, including help in proper implementation of the strategic tasks that targeted by those institutions. According to the opinions and viewpoints of management scholars, the competitive advantage resource is the most important issue for organizations in the third millennium, which can be a

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 31 2017
Journal Name
معرفة
تصميم و تصنيع جهاز لقياس القدرة الحركية البصرية لحركة الطعن بسلاح الشيش

المالكي، فاطمة عبد مالح مطر ونور حاتم رضا وأسيل ناجي فهد. 2017. تصميم و تصنيع جهاز لقياس القدرة الحركية البصرية لحركة الطعن بسلاح الشيش. مجلة دراسات و بحوث التربية الرياضية،مج. 2017، ع. 53.

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Sports Sciences
Study the reality of the level of arbitration in Iraq Season of 2009-2008 and compared with the previous two seasons

تعد لعبة كرة القدم ولا زالت من الألعاب التي تحظى بمتابعة الكثير من شرائح المجتمع، وهناك عناصر أساسية لها ( الملعب، الأدوات، اللاعبين، الحكام ) والحكام يشكلون العنصر الرئيس لهذه اللعبة إذ تدار كل مباراة بواسطة طاقم تحكيمي يشمل حكم ساحة بالتعاون مع حكمين مساعدين وحكم رابع ، ومن خلال خبرة الباحثان كونهما يعملان في مجال التحكيم وجدا إن هناك ضعفا في هذا المجال للموسم الكروي (2008 – 2009)، وهذا ما أشارت أليه العديد من وس

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 16 2022
Journal Name
Modern Sport
Academic resilience and a relationship to the performance of the handstand skill College of Physical Education and Sports Science for Girls, University of Baghdad

Abstract The importance of the research lies through the use of the academic resilience scale, which expresses the psychological state that spoke about the students and their ability to perform the handstand skill for the third stage students in the College of Physical Education and Sports Sciences for Girls - University of Baghdad.The problem of the research is that the psychological state that the students go through through performing the handstand skill and through the follow-up and observation of the researchers for the students’ performance, they found an imbalance in the performance of the handstand skill due to the pressures and difficulties they face in performing this skill, so the researchers decided to study resilience The aca

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Using Lean Accounting in Simplifying and Modifying Financial Reports (Focus on Value Stream): A practical Study in AL- Hayat Soft Drinks and Mineral Water Company

With the advent of the globalization, the rapid development in technology and the intensity of competition companies attemptto maintain competition advantages and retain customers. The traditional methods in managerial accounting become irrelevance to achieve the objectives of these companies especially with the rapid changes in modern manufacturing environment .Thus there is a need to new tools in accounting such as lean accounting, which is considered as a costing method that support creating value for the customer by costing the entire value stream, eliminating waste in the accounting process, reduced lead time, improved quality, lowered time delivery and increased available capacity. Using value stream focuses not only on the waste&n

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2020
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Permeable Reactive Barrier of Coated Sand by Iron Oxide for Treatment of Groundwater Contaminated with Cadmium and Copper Ions

ان تصنيع رمال مطلية بأوكسيد الحديد من خلال ترسيب الجزيئات النانوية لذلك الاوكسيد على سطوح الرمال واستخدامها في الحاجز التفاعلي النفاذ لإزالة ايونات الكادميوم والنحاس من المياه الجوفية الملوثة الهدف الرئيسي للدراسة الحالية. تم توصيف بيانات الامتزاز نتيجة تفاعل المادة المازة مع المادة الممتزة قيد الدراسة بشكل جيد من خلال نموذج لانكمير والذي كان أفضل من نموذج فراندلش. لقد وجد ان اعلى قيم لقابلية الامتزاز با

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
المحددات الاقتصادية والاجتماعية للبطالة في السودان -دراسة قياسية باستخدام انحدار المركبات الرئيسة للمدة (1981-2015م)

Considering the magnitude of its economic, social and political impact, unemployment represents a crucial challenge confronting the majority of the countries of the world. The problem of the study was the high rates of unemployment in Sudan and the inability of economic growth rates to keep pace with the steady increases in unemployment rates during the study period. This study aimed to identify the economic and social variables influencing unemployment rate in Sudan, in addition to measuring the impact of these variables over the period (1981-2015). Data were collected from databases of the World Bank and Atlas of the World's data .The study hypothesized the presence of statistically significant and direct relationship between u

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 16 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Humanities And Social Sciences Researches
The Role and Importance of Electronic Automation in Banking Service Development: A Case Study of the Commercial Bank of Iraq

Electronic banking services appeared as a result of laying the foundations for the application of electronic automation in the banking field, and despite the clear expansion in its adoption and implementation as an inevitable necessity imposed by international and national developments, its application was not ideal according to the level that was expected to occur after the abandonment of traditional banking services, which produced some risks Which is evident in the absence of a legal system, whether at the level of proving and authoritative electronic banking services such as electronic signature, Or at the level of protecting the confidentiality of these services and ensuring that they are not exp

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
كینث برنارد ومسرح التفاھة والھزل: صورة مصغرة لعالم مفكّك ومنھار

The paper deals with the contemporary American playwright, Kenneth Bernard,
and his Theatre of the Ridiculous. This theatre, which originated in the 1960s and
1970s, aims at undermining dramatic and social conventions, and political,
psychological, sexual, and cultural categories. It makes use of mass culture
entertainment in America (television, popular songs, old movies, the circus) in its
attempt to make us recognize the world as “ridiculous,” a world which is both
brutal and farcically trivial and insignificant, a world of ruthless powers, of freaks,
clowns, and victims, of hysteria and absence of truth, a world, as Bernard describes it,
“without hope, mercy, history, or any saving sociology or ideology.

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