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Measuring and Analysis the Relationship between the Internal Public Debt and the Exchange Rate in the Iraqi Economy for The Period 2004 – 2022
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The scholastic view of public religion differed, and this difference was on two extremes. All economic schools agreed that public debt is a monetary liquidity that was unjustly deducted from the income and output cycle as a result of the imbalance in the economic balance and the departure from the conditions of balance between aggregate demand and aggregate supply. Debt is a waste of financial resources allocated to productive accumulation. Except for the Keynesian school, which considers public debt to be an addition to aggregate demand after the decline in the role of the private sector in investment as a result of pessimistic expectations that warn of signs of economic contraction. Public debt is linked to the exchange rate through the interest rate channel, so that public debt causes competition for financial resources. This competition results in an increase in the local interest rate, which results in an increase in demand for the local currency with the aim of increasing investment, and the demand for the local currency raises the price of the local currency. Which means that there is an indirect relationship between public debt and the exchange rate, but this relationship may create damage in the balance of payments in the near future. They assumed theexistence of a long-term causal relationship between internal public debt and the exchange rate.The main goal of this research is to verify the economic relationship between the investigated variables, using the cointegration model and the error term correction vector model to prove the research hypothesis. And the Kranger model of causality betweenthe variables. The research reached the most prominent conclusion, which is that individual expectations for the internal public debt after each annual deficit in the state’s general budget cause a decrease in the value of the local currency due to the increase in demand for the dollar and the decrease in demand for the dinar, which means that there is causality in one direction. From internal public debt to the exchange rate, this is what was proven by the results of Kranger’s causality test

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 09 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Solving Time-Cost Tradeoff Problem with Resource Constraint Using Fuzzy Mathematical Model
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Scheduling considered being one of the most fundamental and essential bases of the project management. Several methods are used for project scheduling such as CPM, PERT and GERT. Since too many uncertainties are involved in methods for estimating the duration and cost of activities, these methods lack the capability of modeling practical projects. Although schedules can be developed for construction projects at early stage, there is always a possibility for unexpected material or technical shortages during construction stage. The objective of this research is to build a fuzzy mathematical model including time cost tradeoff and resource constraints analysis to be applied concurrently. The proposed model has been formulated using fuzzy the

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 19 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Linguistic Fuzzy Trust Model over Oscillating Wireless Sensor Networks
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Simulation  of  the  Linguistic  Fuzzy Trust  Model  (LFTM)  over  oscillating  Wireless  Sensor Networks (WSNs) where the goodness of the servers belonging to them could change along the time is presented in this paper, and the comparison between the outcomes achieved with LFTM model over oscillating WSNs with the outcomes obtained by applying the model over static WSNs where the servers maintaining always the same goodness, in terms of the selection percentage of trustworthy servers (the accuracy of the model) and the average path length are also presented here. Also in this paper the comparison between the LFTM and the Bio-inspired Trust and Reputation Model for Wireless Sensor Network

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 30 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Blow-up Properties of a Coupled System of Reaction-Diffusion Equations
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    This paper is concerned with a Coupled Reaction-diffusion system defined in a ball with homogeneous Dirichlet boundary conditions. Firstly, we studied the blow-up set showing that, under some conditions, the blow-up in this problem occurs only at a single point. Secondly, under some restricted assumptions on the reaction terms, we established the upper (lower) blow-up rate estimates. Finally, we considered the Ignition system in general dimensional space as an application to our results.

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 28 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Mathematics And System Science
Simulating Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm to Estimate Likelihood Function of ARMA(1, 1) Model
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Publication Date
Thu Jan 27 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Shell model study of neutron rich 18-28O isotopes using effective interactions
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We employ a simple effective nucleon-nucleon interaction for sd-shell model calculations derived from the Reid soft-core potential folded with two-body correlation functions which take account of the strong short-range repulsion and large tensor component in the Reid force. Shell model calculations for ground and low lying energy states of neutron rich oxygen isotopes 18-28O are performed using OXBASH code. Generally, this interaction predicts correct ordering of levels, yields reasonable energies for ground states of considered isotopes and predicts very well the newly observed excitation energy of
in 26O. Besides, it produces reasonable energy spectra for 23-27O and compressed energy spectra for 18-22O isotopes. This is mainly due e

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Global Stability of an epidemic model with vaccine involving stage structure
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In this paper a mathematical model that analytically as well as numerically
the flow of infection disease in a population is proposed and studied. It is
assumed that the disease divided the population into five classes: immature
susceptible individuals (S1) , mature individuals (S2 ) , infectious individual
(I ), removal individuals (R) and vaccine population (V) . The existence,
uniqueness and boundedness of the solution of the model are discussed. The
local and global stability of the model is studied. Finally the global dynamics of
the proposed model is studied numerically.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 14 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Demand-Adapted Service Oriented Architecture Using Lego Model
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Many developments happened in Service Oriented architecture models but with no details in its technology and requirement. This paper presents a new Service Oriented Architecture (SOA) to all Service Enterprise (SE) according to their demands. Therefore, the goal is to build a new complete architecture model for SOA methodologies according to current technology and business requirements that could be used in a real Enterprise environment. To do this, new types of services and new model called Lego Model are explained in details, and the results of the proposed architecture model in analyzed. Consequently, the complications are reduced to support business domains of enterprise and to start associating SOA methodologies in their corporate s

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 02 2009
Journal Name
Noise And Health
Expert system to predict effects of noise pollution on operators of power plant using neuro-fuzzy approach
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Ration power plants, to generate power, have become common worldwide. One such one is the steam power plant. In such plants, various moving parts of heavy machines generate a lot of noise. Operators are subjected to high levels of noise. High noise level exposure leads to psychological as well physiological problems; different kinds of ill effects. It results in deteriorated work efficiency, although the exact nature of work performance is still unknown. To predict work efficiency deterioration, neuro-fuzzy tools are being used in research. It has been established that a neuro-fuzzy computing system helps in identification and analysis of fuzzy models. The last decade has seen substantial growth in development of various neuro-fuzzy systems

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Dynamics of Predator-prey Model under Fluctuation Rescue Effect
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This paper presents a novel idea as it investigates the rescue effect of the prey with fluctuation effect for the first time to propose a modified predator-prey model that forms a non-autonomous model. However, the approximation method is utilized to convert the non-autonomous model to an autonomous one by simplifying the mathematical analysis and following the dynamical behaviors. Some theoretical properties of the proposed autonomous model like the boundedness, stability, and Kolmogorov conditions are studied. This paper's analytical results demonstrate that the dynamic behaviors are globally stable and that the rescue effect improves the likelihood of coexistence compared to when there is no rescue impact. Furthermore, numerical simul

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2023
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences (pen)
Bitcoin Prediction with a hybrid model
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In recent years, Bitcoin has become the most widely used blockchain platform in business and finance. The goal of this work is to find a viable prediction model that incorporates and perhaps improves on a combination of available models. Among the techniques utilized in this paper are exponential smoothing, ARIMA, artificial neural networks (ANNs) models, and prediction combination models. The study's most obvious discovery is that artificial intelligence models improve the results of compound prediction models. The second key discovery was that a strong combination forecasting model that responds to the multiple fluctuations that occur in the bitcoin time series and Error improvement should be used. Based on the results, the prediction acc

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