ان تحليل السلاسل الزمنية من المواضـيع الهامة في تفسير الظـواهر التي تحدث خلال فترة زمنية معينة ان الهدف من هذا لتحليل هو الحصـول على وصف وبنـاء أنموذج مناسب من اجل اعطاء صورة مستقبلية واضحة للسلاسل الزمنية المدروسة وان السلاسل الزمنية اهم الادوات المستخدمة في بناء وتقدير والتنبؤ بالظواهر المختلفة وان الاستدامة المالية هي الحالة التي تكون فيها الدولة قادرة على الوفاء بالتزاماتها الحالية والمستقبلية من غير تغيير سياساتها اهم القضايا التي تواجهها الدولة خصوصا الدولة النفطية لاعتمادها بشكل شبة التام على العوائد النفطية وهذا يؤدي الى تقلب حجم الايراد العام (انخفاض وارتفاع) مما يؤثر على الاستدامة المالية بالإضافة الى ارتفاع حجم الانفاق العام اذ استخدمت خصائص السلاسل الزمنية واختبار التكامل المشترك وانموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ Vector Error Correction Model ومن ثم المقارنة من خلال المعايير,Sum Square Error Root Mean Square Error لإيجاد افضل انموذج من نماذج التمهيد الاسي للتنبؤ بالقيم المستقبلية , اذ تم التوصل الى ان السلاسل الزمنية (الانفاق العام والايراد العام) ساكنة بعد اخذ الفرق الاول وفق Augmented Dickey Fuller وتوصل البحث الى ان فترة الابطاء المثلى هي الفترة الثالثة بالاعتماد على معيار Akaike Information Criterion واشار اختبار Johansen – Juselius الى وجود علاقة توازنية طويلة الاجل بين المتغيرات وان هناك علاقة متجه من الايراد الى الانفاق وفق Vector Error Correction Model لان معلمة تصحيح حد الخطأ سالبة ومعنوية وان انموذج متجه تصحيح الخطأ بين نفقات والايرادات خالي من مشكلة الارتباط المتسلسل وخالي من مشكلة عدم تجانس التباين وان افضل انموذج للتنبؤ للمتغيرات البحث هو التمهيد الاسي لمعلمتي هولت لأنه اعطى نتائج دقيقة وقريبة من القيم الحقيقية.
The Gift is considered as a legal voluntary non-contractual transaction or disposition to transfer the granted property from the donor to donee gratuitously or without consideration. It is also worth-bearing in mind that the want of the requirement of consideration is the reason that the gift is not classified within the scope of the contract. And it is normally classified into two types: The inter vivos gift and gift causa mortis. It should also be noted that the donatio (or gift) inter vivos is applied to both the personal property or chattels and real property equally. As opposed to the gift causa mortis, which is applied to the personal property or chattels rather than the real property. Whereas both the Iraqi Civil Law N
... Show MoreReceipt date: 2/2/2021 accepted date: 4/6/2021 Publication date: 12/31/2021
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
The approval of the federal general budget in Iraq is one of the most important competencies of the legislative authority , Being one of the important financial and monetary policy instruments on which the state depends for its economic growth , Hence, the obstruction of the approval of the federal b
... Show MoreThe value of culture in its interaction is composed and formulated according to compatible and incompatible roles which view the identity that adopts that formation although it is in most cases perceived and declared. The attraction and difference characteristic might be implied within subjective and procedural meaning through which it seeks to make the identity mobile subject to identity- shaping cultural causes implying the conflicts that take the shape and culture of real time. As for the end of the twentieth century and afterward where the concepts of hegemony, globalization, cultural invasion, colonial and imperial culture, all these causes made the cultural identity concept appear on the surface of the critical studies as a
... Show MoreCriminal mediation is one of the new means that seeks to resolve criminal disputes away from the traditional procedures of criminal cases and outside the court, but under his supervision and supervision, the mediation process is based on the consensual idea of ending the conflict as it gives both the offender and the victim a role in resolving the next conflict between them Outside the judiciary, with the intervention of a third party from the third party (the mediator), who has the main role in the success of the mediation process, and the mediator is obligated to inform the judicial authority of the results of the mediation, and then the judicial authority later has discretion in the return report, otherwise You will either go th
... Show MoreThe excellence and uniqueness is what makes the artwork creative or not, and the School of Op. Art in Iraq came to reveal new phenomena distinct style, unique in units built, although a few worked in this aspect of the art, but they left their mark distinct, in the research, construction and installation of what binds them in heritage and civilization, it is a new vision of linking the past with the present, they adopt and engineering units may be architectural sometimes in composition, concluded a researcher at the end of the research to the main findings and conclusions, which is that more business was a square-shaped or semi-square, which is commensurate painting with visual, which is a set of vocabulary or repeat units, we do not fin
... Show Moreالحمد لله رب العالمين، والصلاة والسلام على محمد سيد المرسلين وعلى آله الطيبين الطاهرين.
أما بعد
فلم يعد حق الملكية في العهد الحالي كما كان العهد عليه في العهود السابقة حقاً مطلقاً، بل أصبح حقا مقيداً بقيود متعددة تزداد يوما بعد يوم، وما شرط المنع التصرف الا صورة من هذه القيود.
وهذا البحث هو محاولة متواضعة لدراسة هذا الشرط في القانون المدني العراقي عقارنا بالقان
... Show Moreيواجه المصرف تحولات عديدة أثناء سير عمله ولا سيما قد تحول من مصرف صناعي يسعى الى تحقيق التنمية الصناعية ، من خلال منحه قروض وتسهيلات تنموية وتدعمه الدوله ، الى مصرف شامل يسعى الى تحقيق الربحية في ظل تنويع الأنشطة والخدمات والعمليات الائتمانية.يهدف البحث الى دراسة التحولات التي حدثت في المصرف الصناعي، وتأثير هذا التحول على النشاط الائتماني. وقد استند في ذلك على فرضية رئيسة وهي :-
... Show MoreThe concept of meaning is one of the most important topics that have occupied the mind of the recipient and critic in all the arts, especially the plastic arts, where we find that the art of contemporary plastic art, in particular sculpture has multiple readings and many critics differed in terms of different reading and views of the same artistic achievement.
This research will identify the different works of contemporary Iraqi sculptors while presenting and studying their works, as well as (studying the problem of meaning) of the artistic achievements of the sculptors in particular. The various parties interested in Iraqi sculpture did not seize the problem of the objective and subjective meaning of contemporary Iraqi sculpture
... Show MoreАннотация
В данном исследовании рассматривается символичность (( Джикора )) в лирике иракского поэта ас-Саййаба и перевода лирики o деревне и городе с арабского на русский. Русский читатель пока не имеет возможности познакомиться с стихотворениями Бадра Шакера.
Abstract
The paper aims at making the Russian reader acquainted with the Iraqi Poet Badr Shakir as-Sayyab, and showing the effect of the village an
... Show MoreThe contract for iease public hospitals to the private sector is one of the administrative contracts in which all the elements of the administrative contract are available. It is signed by the administration represented by the Minister of Health. It is presented to a public hospital which is one of the public facilities that provide medical services. The Ministry of Health may also apply to the Leased Hospital. It may also amend the contract in accordance with the public interest, in addition to the possibility of dissolving the contract without recourse to the courts in case the tenant violates the terms of the contract, The State resorted to it in the event that it is unable to provide medical services within the required range, as it
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