transformations and successive crises the world has witnessed, which have led to ambiguity in the global scene and difficulty in predicting its future trajectories. The COVID-19 pandemic represented a pivotal event that reshaped the balance of international power, revealed the fragility of economic, political, and social structures in many countries, and cast its shadow over the system of international cooperation and global governance mechanisms. In light of these developments, the international system no longer operates according to the traditional rules and patterns that prevailed before the pandemic. Instead, it has entered a new phase characterized by instability, growing geopolitical competition, and shifting centers of power and influence. Accordingly, this study seeks to explore the features of transformation in the international system in the post-2020 era by employing the scenario methodology, which is among the most prominent methodological tools used in futures studies. This approach provides the ability to analyze potential trends and deal with high levels of uncertainty. The study focuses on constructing a set of possible theoretical scenarios for the future of the international system based on an analysis of the current political, economic, and security dynamics, while taking into account the nature of interactions among major international actors and the impact of cross-border crises such as pandemics, economic downturns, and regional conflicts. Thus, this study aims to contribute to enriching the academic debate on the future of the international system in light of the transformations imposed by the COVID-19 pandemic and to highlight the importance of the futures approach in the study of international relations as an analytical tool that enables a deeper understanding of global trends and patterns of change.
The research seeks to identify the proposed scenarios to predict and ward off monetary credit risks that the bank is exposed to in the future, using the banking stress tests model, and showing their impact on capital adequacy and profitability ratio,To achieve this purpose, Sumer Commercial Bank was taken as a case study, and mathematical equations were used to extract the results. Low percentage of profits and returns, strictness in the process of granting credit and financing operations in order to reduce credit risks.
يهدف هذا البحث الى تحديد العلاقة بين عملية تقييم الاداء والبرامج التدريبية للعاملين , والتعرف على مدى التزام المنظمة المبحوثة في أجراء عملية تقييم الأداء لعامليها وأستخدام نتائج هذه العملية في تحديد البرامج التدريبية الملائمة لهم , وتم ذلك من خلال قياس علاقة الأرتباط والتأثير بين المتغير المستقل (عملية تقييم الأداء الفاعلة) وأبعاده مهنية المقيم , دعم الإدارة , معايير الاداء , التحليل الوظيفي, أسل
... Show MoreThe arrival of Russian President Vladimir Putin to power in the Russian Federation is an important factor in delineating a new approach to Russian policy towards regions that have great strategic importance affecting its national security. Therefore, NATO's progress eastward towards these regions prompts Russia to delineate a new strategy to confront this progress as well as preserving its control in the near neighboring regions represented by the countries of Eastern Europe, especially after the changes that occurred in those regions following the color revolutions that swept the region, such as the first application of this Russian policy in 2014, through the annexation of Crimea, and the latest military operations in Ukraine i
... Show MoreThe cinematic medium consists of a group of elements that overlap with each other in balance, giving it its high influential capabilities, and the character is one of the most important of these elements, as it performs a set of important functions, foremost of which is the transmission of the main ideas to the recipient, and since cinema is an art closely related to the intellectual data of the worlds outside it, it is influenced by them and then reproduces them intellectually more deeply and with a higher vitality through its intermediate elements, including the character, to re-broadcast them to society with a retrograde movement, and the character of the prisoner is one of the cinematic characters that achieved this goal, as we can infe
... Show MoreArabian Political Regimes: Problems of Policies and Rule; An Introduction to Interpreting (The Arabian Spring) The Arab Region witnessed, since 2011, critical changes overthrew a group of Arab regimes in some of its countries, and the reaction of these changes are still going on up to now. These changes were given lots of justifications and interpretations. The current study tries to concentrate on the most important problems which were due to what was known as (The Arab Spring). The study proposes that the crisis which the countries of the area are exposed to is not spontaneous in many of its aspects. It is totally a crisis of rule and policies. Because it is a reflection of the nature of authority in the Arabian regimes on the one hand
... Show MoreTransformations of the actor when acting many characters are the product of joint work between the actor and the director through the instructions and the exercises that facilitate the reach for the desired goal.
The method or way has often been used which is Stanislavsky premises in his work with the actor in the role. The first section consists of two parts under the heading of the actor's work with himself. The two parts are preparing the actor in creative suffering (internal), and in coexistence and embodiment (outside). The second section is the book of the actor's work with the role. The current research aims at identifying the mechanism of the acting performance transformations among many characters of the same actor.
... Show MoreThe public loans is a sensitive financial topics in the state Because they have different effects It is in the beginning obtained considered a financial resource of the state, but Get it entails an obligation return the loan in accordance with the conditions of the contract Which includes the amount of the loan and interest, So the development of the state in terms of economic and financial achieves chances to the existence of public loans. Arises in this subject among other things the reasons for borrowing, how to borrow, the concerned authority to borrow, the effects of borrowing.Causes of borrowing must be approved convincing and important as cases of inflation or recession or vice versa as cases need the state's revenues for the financi
... Show MoreThe research tackles the nature of relationship between the Orthodox Church and the state in the Russian Federation. At the beginning of the nineties of the last century, the church had been performed a different role in its relationship with the state, and it had an effect over the internal and foreign policies for the Russian Federation. In political history of Russia, the church’s existence became an evident too much in comparing with the previous historical period, starting with the educational and political system, whether through a symbolic participating roles as what happened in the inauguration ceremony to take over responsibility of the head of state or taking actual roles such as influencing on the process of holding elections d
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أصبح استخدام الرياضة الدولية وبناء السلام موضوعًا دراسيًا مهمًا في القرن الحادي والعشرين، إذ نمت في السنوات الأخيرة الروابط بين الرياضة وحلّ النزاعات وبناء السلام بشكل كبير. مع عمل المنظمات الرياضية الدولية مثل اللجنة الأولمبية الدولية والاتحاد الدولي لكرة القدم "فيفا" بشكل متزايد على دمج الرياضة كأداة لبناء السلام والترابط وحل النزاعات من خلال أدوارها السياسية والإنسانية، وتبني الرياضة كحر
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