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4xeOd48BVTCNdQwCMnjW
ﻤﻘﺎﺭﻨﺔ ﺒﻴﻥ نماذج ﺍﻻﻨﺤﺩﺍﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﺒﻜﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﺼﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺼﻁﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺅ
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The Regression analysis is considered as a basic element of statistics science elements, and it is an important style of applied statistics when studying different social and economical phenomena. As well as it is considered the most statistical method used in different sciences and fields, and it determines in clear picture the relations among the variables in the form of equation replaced from the degree of parametric on the strength and the importance of this relationship .And ;also it repots the degree of prediction and response ;also ,it is necessary in regression planning and making decisions for finding regression equation .And it is one of modern styles which tak observable caring especially in artificial neural networks. Our main aim is using neural networks in regression in special visage comparison of neural networks styles with classical styles in analyzing linear and non linear regression of prediction in monthly production of electric energy for the seven years i .e from 2006 to 2012 . The research includes the method of analyzing prediction and regression by using the two methods, classic and neural networks and making comparison between the two methods , the 1st method involve the linear model by using the data of chemical operation as a dependent variable 7 reaction time ,temperature as an independent variables for 2 years while the 2nd used the data for seven last years to reach the best method in evaluating statistical parameters , to support the research we generate three types of data one for simple linear regression , 2nd for time series and 3rd for non liner data. The results prove that neural networks are the best method in non linear models while the reverse in the linear models explaining best ways their results.

Publication Date
Mon Feb 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Baghdad City Seasonal Forecasts Of Monthly Chronic Diseases patients Numbers Using SARIMA Models
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    One of the most important problems of IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY and all healthy instruments in IRAQ is Chronic Diseases because it  have a negative effects on IRAQI population, this is the aim of our study ,to specify the important Chronic diseases which make the population fell weakly, they are six diseases as the IRAQ ministry of health specified (  Diabetes, blood pressure diseases ,Brain diseases ,  Cardiology, Asthma, epilepsy) we got these data from IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY ,bureau of planning and studies ,for the period 2009-2012,as monthly observations , represent sum of peoples have chronic diseases in Baghdad .

     Our research obj

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 30 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Travel Time Prediction Models and Reliability Indices for Palestine Urban Road in Baghdad City
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Abstract

     Travel Time estimation and reliability measurement is an important issues for improving operation efficiency and safety of traffic roads networks. The aim of this research is the estimation of total travel time and distribution analysis for three selected links in Palestine Arterial Street in Baghdad city. Buffer time index results in worse reliability conditions. Link (2) from Bab Al Mutham intersection to Al-Sakara intersection produced a buffer index of about 36%  and 26 % for Link (1) Al-Mawall intersection to Bab Al- Mutham intersection and finally for link (3) which presented a 24% buffer index. These illustrated that the reliability get worst for link

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
أﺳﺑﺎب ﺗﺄﺧر اﻧﺟﺎز اﻟﻣﻌﺎﻣﻼت /اﻟروﺗﯾن ﻓﻲ وزارة اﻟﺗرﺑﯾﺔ ﻣن وﺟﮭﺔ ﻧظر ﻣدﯾري اﻷﻗﺳﺎم ورؤﺳﺎء اﻟﺷﻌب
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Focused research problem that every work of any kind or size has signs indicating it and reveal the nature of either positive aims to achieve the objectives of the organization or a negative intersects with and contrasts with the context and style is the of work, as much as we care to fulfill the positive initiatives and seek to activate it and it to expect of them development of work and approach of the target by most direct route, we should take care also and just the sane, if not larger by indicators and negative actions because it is the way and means to detect imbalances cases that prevent achieving the desired objectives, or cause waste of money, effort, time, and therefore dispersion energies, efforts and wasted resources wit

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
واﻗﻊ ﺗﺻﺎﻣﯾم اﻟﻣﻛﺗﺑﺎت اﻟﻣﺳﺗﺧدﻣﺔ ﻓﻲ رﯾﺎض اطﻔﺎل ﻣدﯾﻧﺔ ﺑﻐداد ﻣن وﺟﮭﺔ ﻧظر اﻟﻣﻌﻠﻣﺎت وﺳﺑل ﺗطوﯾرھﺎ
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The research targets exploring the designs of the kindergartens’ libraries in Baghdad for the perspective of the teachers as well as possible methods of improvements, considering the importance of this type of furniture for the child and its vital role in getting the child into the habit of reading and browsing, since the kindergarten library is the first of its kind that the child encounters in his life, if the relationship between the child and the library is of a positive type the experience with both printed and non-printed materials will be joyful and this type of relationship continues and strengthen with all other types of libraries over time. To achieve the goals of the research, the researcher prepared a focused survey sheet t

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
ﻧﻮاب ﻟﻮاء اﻟﺤﻠﺔ واﻧﺤﺪارھﻢ اﻻﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻲ واﻟﺜﻘﺎﻓﻲ واﻧﺘﻤﺎﺋﮭﻢ اﻟﺴﯿﺎﺳﻲ ( )دراﺳﺔ ﺗﺎرﯾﺨﯿﺔ ١٩٥٨-١٩٢٥ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻌﮭﺪ اﻟﻤﻠﻜﻲ
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During the kingdom period between 1925-1958 fifty two member of parliament were elected representingHilla governorate. Only twenty nine of them were from Hilla that cause of choosing a member was according to qualifications of that era to play vole in Iraqi policy. Some of house qualifications related to tribes or privately of family. Other important causes of choosing a member depended on relationship to political parfait or holding scientific degree, in addition some members filled positions in the government such as being previous minster which gave him special distinction to be chosen as amember. Some other were members of the senate, here we should refer to the article no,63 of Iraqi constitution which imposes that any minister

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Technology of Education and the Technical Reality of Education in Sudan: Analytical Samples: أسماء محمد الأمين محمد البشير
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This study aims to examine the technologies of education and their importance, shedding light on their reality and  status in Sudan especially in the secondary stage. It has become necessary to invest these technologies and include them in different aspects of the technical education curricula. Such a step helps cope with the innovative scientific development in the advanced countries, qualify professors and technicians, develop the factories and workshops, and create an attractive technical educational environment to the pupils. Thus, the researcher has adopted a descriptive analytical approach that is based on conducting pilot visits to certain technical schools in Al-Khartoum state. Different aspects of such schools were examined

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تقييم بدائل الاستثمار بأستخدام نماذج رياضية حديثة دراسة نظرية – تطبيقية في شركة التأمين الوطنية
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ان شركات التأمين وبسبب طبيعة نشاطها التأميني تتجمع لديها أموال ضخمة عن الأقساط التي تحصلها من المؤمن لهم, ولغرض عدم ترك هذه الاموال عاطلة, فأنه يتم استثمارها في مجالات وأدوات استثمار متنوعة لتحقيق عوائد منها. هذا ولغرض تحديد وتوجيه هذه الاموال في مجال أو أداة الاستثمار المناسبة أو تحديد مدى جدوى هذه الاستثمارات, فانه يتم تقييمها, وهناك عدة نماذج رياضية لتقييم بدائل الاستثمار في شركات التأمين, إلا أنه لا

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Models of measurement and disclosure of fair value accounting - Applied to contribute to company garments mixed
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The research aims to provide a method to measure the fair value of the most environmentally friendly of Iraq and through the application of method of measuring the fair value of the company garments contribute to mixed as the company is of the economic units of the industrial sector and included in the Iraqi market for securities as a profit and distributes profits to shareholders since the method of measurement of the fair value based on the divided profits as toxic in a deduction of Cash Dividends cash for measuring fair value, and will also be in this research to clarify the disclosure of accounting for fair value and choose the method of disclosure most appropriate to the beneficiaries of accounting disclosure, as will be cho

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A Comparison Between Maximum Likelihood Method And Bayesian Method For Estimating Some Non-Homogeneous Poisson Processes Models
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Abstract

The Non - Homogeneous Poisson  process is considered  as one of the statistical subjects which had an importance in other sciences and a large application in different areas as waiting raws and rectifiable systems method , computer and communication systems and the theory of reliability and many other, also it used in modeling the phenomenon that occurred by unfixed way over time (all events that changed by time).

This research deals with some of the basic concepts that are related to the Non - Homogeneous Poisson process , This research carried out two models of the Non - Homogeneous Poisson process which are the power law model , and Musa –okumto ,   to estimate th

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Box and Jenkins use models to predict the numbers of patients with hepatitis Alvairose in Iraq
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The time series of statistical methods mission followed in this area analysis method, Figuring certain displayed on a certain period of time and analysis we can identify the pattern and the factors affecting them and use them to predict the future of the phenomenon of values, which helps to develop a way of predicting the development of the economic development of sound

The research aims to select the best model to predict the number of infections with hepatitis Alvairose models using Box - Jenkins non-seasonal forecasting in the future.

Data were collected from the Ministry of Health / Department of Health Statistics for the period (from January 2009 until December 2013) was used

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