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ﻤﻘﺎﺭﻨﺔ ﺒﻴﻥ نماذج ﺍﻻﻨﺤﺩﺍﺭ ﻭﺍﻟﺸﺒﻜﺎﺕ ﺍﻟﻌﺼﺒﻴﺔ ﺍﻻﺼﻁﻨﺎﻋﻴﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺍﻟﺘﻨﺒﺅ

The Regression analysis is considered as a basic element of statistics science elements, and it is an important style of applied statistics when studying different social and economical phenomena. As well as it is considered the most statistical method used in different sciences and fields, and it determines in clear picture the relations among the variables in the form of equation replaced from the degree of parametric on the strength and the importance of this relationship .And ;also it repots the degree of prediction and response ;also ,it is necessary in regression planning and making decisions for finding regression equation .And it is one of modern styles which tak observable caring especially in artificial neural networks. Our main aim is using neural networks in regression in special visage comparison of neural networks styles with classical styles in analyzing linear and non linear regression of prediction in monthly production of electric energy for the seven years i .e from 2006 to 2012 . The research includes the method of analyzing prediction and regression by using the two methods, classic and neural networks and making comparison between the two methods , the 1st method involve the linear model by using the data of chemical operation as a dependent variable 7 reaction time ,temperature as an independent variables for 2 years while the 2nd used the data for seven last years to reach the best method in evaluating statistical parameters , to support the research we generate three types of data one for simple linear regression , 2nd for time series and 3rd for non liner data. The results prove that neural networks are the best method in non linear models while the reverse in the linear models explaining best ways their results.

Publication Date
Wed Oct 17 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Proposed mechanism to activate the role of the Federal board supreme Audit in the examination of the federal budget estimates of the state

The aim of the research is to present and discuss the subject of the budgeting estimates and how to activate the role of the Federal board of supreme audit in examining these estimates through reference to Articles 6 and 10 of the Federal board of supreme Law, which did not restrict Federal board of supreme in Preventive control on examination process for planning which is prepared from the government units, as the result of a large amount  of government units Provisions and the weakness of estimates in most of its items, which rely on personal assessment and not based on scientific and logical basis of the estimate, which leads to the emergence of a deficit is not true in the general budget and this seems clear in most Iraq

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 19 2015
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Significance of the Folk Symbols and Their Influence on The National Identity (Chosen samples from the Contemporary Iraqi Pottery): زينب كاظم صالح

The contemporary art culture is considered a resultant of preceding human civilizations from the early days. At the same time, it got closer to the local privacy, because the contemporary Iraqi potter worked hard to create new art, refusing to base his art on the early works, creating art pieces that contains properties to inherited art and their form significance, in order to create a new identity of his own, bringing an empowerment to his deepened civilization, with the goal to create national identity ideas from one hand, and entity and locality from another. Europeans also followed the direction of our civilization, such as (Picasso, Henry Moore, Barbra Hurth, Brankouzi, Hans Arp,..etc). From this point of view comes the importance o

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of Multistage and Numerical Discretization Methods for Estimating Parameters in Nonlinear Linear Ordinary Differential Equations Models.

Many of the dynamic processes in different sciences are described by models of differential equations. These models explain the change in the behavior of the studied process over time by linking the behavior of the process under study with its derivatives. These models often contain constant and time-varying parameters that vary according to the nature of the process under study in this We will estimate the constant and time-varying parameters in a sequential method in several stages. In the first stage, the state variables and their derivatives are estimated in the method of penalized splines(p- splines) . In the second stage we use pseudo lest square to estimate constant parameters, For the third stage, the rem

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
اﻟﺗوزﯾﻊ اﻟﺟﻐراﻓﻲ ﻟﻣﺣﺻول اﻟذرة اﻟﺻﻔراء ﻓﻲ ﻣﺣﺎﻓظﺔ واﺳط (i)(٢٠١٠– ٢٠٠٣ )ﻟﻠﻣدة )ﺑﺣث ﻣﺳﺗل ﻣن رﺳﺎﻟﺔ ﻣﺎﺟﺳﺗﯾر(

This study focuses on the basics and the details of production of maize in Wasit province, in order to detect the spatial variation of the cultivation, production and the reality of their geographical distribution. The study has shown that maize is an important field crops grown in this province. The research found many conclusions, including the following: (1) The top area had been planted with maize in Wasit province, was (102888) acres with a total standard degree (Sd) scored at (1.3), in 2004; while the lowest planted area, namely, (43196) acres was planted in 2010 with a standard degree of (-1.6). The rate for the space across the province during the study period amounted to (75456) acres. . (2) The highest rate for the area of cult

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
دراﺳﺔ ﺗﺄﺛﯾر ﺑﻛﺗرﯾﺎ ﺣﺎﻣض اﻟﻼﻛﺗﯾك اﻟﻌﻼﺟﯾﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻧﻣو ﺑﻌض اﻧواع اﻟﺑﻛﺗرﯾﺎ اﻟﻣرﺿﯾﺔ ﺑﺣث ﻣﺳﺗل ﻣن رﺳﺎﻟﺔ ﻣﺎﺟﺳﺗﯾر

This investigation was carrid out to utilize whey and rice in manufacturing nutritious product with therapeutic virtue . The rice cooked with whey in a ratio 1:10 w/w, then the product was fermented by lactic acid bacteria (LAB) starters that comprise each Lb.acidophilus (Lb.a),Lb.casie(Lb.c) and their mixes at ratios: 1a:1c ;2a:1c ; 1a;2c . The five different starters were used separately in processing fermented products . The best fermentation period was 2 days as hieghest therapeutic bacterial counts were resulted . Antibacterial activity of LAB filtrate from fermented products were obtained before drying and after drying them after 3 months of storage. The tested bacteria were Staph.aureus, E.coli ,and B.subtilis The results reveald

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
دور اﻟﺘﻐﺬﯾﺔ ﻓﻲ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ اﻟﻄﻔﻮﻟﺔ اﻟﻤﺒﻜﺮة (3- 5 سنوات ( وبعض المتغيرات ودورها في اصابة الاطفال بتسوس الاسنان

Teeth decay is one of the distinctive diseases which infects the children of generation .though it is not adeacly disease, it leads to huge problems , especially if it is infect children in their early childhood .There are many factors which lead to this disease , and to achieve the goal of this research in trying to stop the most important nutrition factors and others reasons that have relation with this disease .The practical application has been done for four months on children , who have been chosen randomly of the age ( 3-5 years) of both sexes , infected with teeth decay , from Baghdad city ( al karkh and al rusafa ) , the number of children reached to 90 child , divided into tow groups 45 male , and( 45 )female .Again they have be

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The effect of external environment on the process of decision-making associated with the closing of private industrial firms: The Iraqi experiment, (1976-1985)


Abstract
The research hypothesizes is that the external Environment
has the responsibility concerning decisions making and behavioral
upon industrial firms. It is, Furthermore, an attempt to review the
problem of closures of private industrial firms in the country, during
the period (1976-1985), i.e. prior to and during the Iraqian- Iranian
war.
The behavioral approach of industrial geography has been
adopted as a theoretical background and the statistical test has
been practiced for the applied purposes.
As result, the research comes out with suggestions,
depending upon previous trials in the field of direction and
formulation of the of the private industrial sector. The chief point
among th

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Applied Study on Analysis of Fixed, Random and Mixed Panel Data Models Measured at specific time intervals

This research sought to present a concept of cross-sectional data models,  A crucial double data to take the impact of the change in time and obtained from the measured phenomenon of repeated observations in different time periods, Where the models of the panel  data were defined by different types of fixed , random and mixed, and Comparing them by studying and analyzing the mathematical relationship between the influence of time with a set of basic variables Which are the main axes on which the research is based and is represented by the monthly revenue of the working individual and the profits it generates, which represents the variable response And its relationship to a set of explanatory variables represented by the

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using game theory models to determine the profit maximization policies for PepsiCo and Coca Cola in Baghdad

(Use of models of game theory in determining the policies to maximize profits for the Pepsi Cola and Coca-Cola in the province of Baghdad)

Due to the importance of the theory of games especially theories of oligopoly in the study of the reality of competition among companies or governments and others the researcher linked theories of oligopoly to Econometrics to include all the policies used by companies after these theories were based on price and quantity only the researcher applied these theories to data taken from Pepsi Cola and Coca-Cola In Baghdad Steps of the solution where stated for the models proposed and solutions where found to be balance points is for the two companies according to the princi

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using ARIMA models to forecast the volume of cargo handled in Iraqi ports An applied study in the general company of Iraqi ports

Time series is an important statistical method adopted in the analysis of phenomena, practices, and events in all areas during specific time periods and predict future values ​​contribute to give a rough estimate of the status of the study, so the study aimed to adopt the ARIMA models to forecast the volume of cargo handled and achieved in four ports (Umm Qasr Port, Khor Al Zubair Port, Abu Flus Port, and Maqal Port(, Monthly data on the volume of cargo handled for the years (2006-2018) were collected (156) observations. The study found that the most efficient model is ARIMA (1,1,1).

The volume of go

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