The phenomenon of financial failure is one of the phenomena that requires special attention and in-depth study due to its significant impact on various parties, whether they are internal or external and those who benefit from financial performance reports. With the increase in cases of bankruptcy and default facing companies and banks, interest has increased in understanding the reasons that led to this financial failure. This growing interest should be a reason to develop models and analytical methods that help in the early detection of this increasing phenomenon in recent year . The research examines the use of Sherrod's model in predicting financial failure in Iraqi private banks. The researchers relied on this mathematical model to analyze financial data and estimate the probability of financial failure occurring in these banks. Financial data was collected for a sample of private banks in Iraq over several years, and these data were used to apply the Sherrod model .As for the sample, a sample was chosen from the research consisting of two banks (the Commercial Bank of Iraq and the Iraqi Islamic Bank) for the research and a time series that extended for five years (2017 – 2021) , The results showed that the Sherrod model has a good ability to predict financial failure in Iraqi private banks. The researchers used a variety of financial and accounting variables in the model, which contributed to improving the accuracy of predicting financial failure .This study represents an important contribution to understanding how mathematical models such as Sherrod's model can be used to estimate the risk of financial failure in banks. These tools help guide strategies and make sound financial decisions. This research is considered an important step towards improving the sustainability and performance of private banks in Iraq and enhancing confidence in the financial system.
The theory of probabilistic programming may be conceived in several different ways. As a method of programming it analyses the implications of probabilistic variations in the parameter space of linear or nonlinear programming model. The generating mechanism of such probabilistic variations in the economic models may be due to incomplete information about changes in demand, production and technology, specification errors about the econometric relations presumed for different economic agents, uncertainty of various sorts and the consequences of imperfect aggregation or disaggregating of economic variables. In this Research we discuss the probabilistic programming problem when the coefficient bi is random variable
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يناقش البحث المقومات المادية والمجتمعية والموضوعية للدور الاقليمي العراقي بعد العام 2010 والفرص المتاحة والقيود التي تحد منه والافاق المستقبلية لهذا الدور في ظل بيئة اقليمية تسودها منظومات تحالف متناقضة في الاهداف والاستراتيجيات
The planning for the formation of administrative policies and guidance through leadership are important things for managing administrative processes and sporting activities. As both contribute in the stability of the administrative conditions, and their development in the sport federations, whether they both were attentive about team and individual Olympic Games. The two researchers observe that, there is a variation in the correct way of application. Particularly in the formulation of administrative policies and leadership describing it as, modern management standards for both team and individual Olympic Games in the Iraqi National Olympic Committee. That led to cause a misconception and lack of clarity for some administrators of those uni
... Show Moreتواجه المؤسسات المختلفة تحديات كثيره تختلف نوعيتها باختلاف توجهات المؤسسه سياسيه او اقتصادية او اجتماعيه ... مما يشكل تهديدا لوجود المؤسسة وسمعتها وبخاصه عند تحول تلك التحديات الى ازمات يجب على المؤسسه التعامل معها والسيطره عليها واحتوائها وهنا ياتي دور ادارة العلاقات العامه في المؤسسه المعنيه للعمل والقيام باعداد برامج خاصه بالتعامل مع الازمات وهو مايعرف ببرامج اداره الازمات . وبطبيعة الحال تختلف عملية
... Show MoreThe performance evaluation had Focused for many years ago on The financial factors which are Not enough for the contemporary business organizations. So in order to get useful information it con used The balanced score card which can used to offer information about some measurement on which the level of the act actual performance is determined.
Objecte The study aims to test the effect of using the appropriate quantitative method of demand forecasting in improving the performance of supply chain of the aviation fuel product ( The study sample), One of the products of the Doura refinery (The study site), By testing a set of quantitative methods of demand forecasting using forecasting error measurements, and choosing the least faulty, most accurate and reliable method and adept it in the building chain.
Is the study of problem through a starting with the fol
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The research aims to identify the concept of financing structure and what are the determinants that affect it and the goals achieved by financing in commercial banks in addition to the sources upon which the financing structure depends consisting of internal financing sources and external financing sources and their connection to the profits of commercial banks. Baghdad, Khaleeji Commercial Bank) registered in the Iraq Stock Exchange during the period for the years (2011-2020) published in the Iraq Stock Exchange from and the research relied on financial analysis tools to analyze the independent variable the following financing structure (the ratio of equity to total assets, the ratio of deposits to Total liabilities, the ratio of loans
... Show MoreInvestment in high education is considered to be most important factors of production which the return an individual and social than economic returns found by searching the growing problem of unemployment, especially among youth graduates, where the unemployment rate in 2010 (50%) of these high rates have led to increased migration of scientific minds graduate recently, "to search for job opportunities outside Iraq for not hiring functions and this is in vain" clear "in the human and financial resources lead to structural imbalances in the Iraqi economy. When calculating the correlation coefficient between the graduates and the unemployment rate where it reached (0.21) emerged from the results of
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.
In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete
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Equilibrium and rate of mixing of free flowing solid materials are found using gas fluidized bed. The solid materials were sand (size 0.7 mm), sugar (size0.7 mm) and 15% cast iron used as a tracer. The fluidizing gas was air with velocity ranged from 0.45-0.65 m/s while the mixing time was up to 10 minutes. The mixing index for each experiment was calculated by averaging the results of 10 samples taken from different radial and axial positions in fluidized QVF column 150 mm ID and 900 mm height.
The experimental results were used in solving a mathematical model of mixing rate and mixing index at an equilibrium proposed by Rose. The results show that mixing index increases with inc
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