يُمثل التوسع الحضري أحد أبرز التحولات الديموغرافية العالمية. وفي العراق، يكتسب هذا التحول بُعداً استثنائياً نتيجة للتغيرات السياسية، والأمنية، والاقتصادية الجذرية الممتدة من عام 1997 وحتى 2025، والتي أفرزت تبايناً مكانياً حاداً في مسارات النمو السكاني بين المراكز الحضرية. استندت هذه الدراسة إلى تحليل بيانات رسمية لـ 12 مركزاً حضرياً رئيسياً. وكشفت النتائج عن فجوة ديموغرافية واسعة؛ إذ برزت مدن إقليم كردستان (السليمانية وأربيل) كأقطاب للنمو الاستثنائي، في حين سجلت مدن أخرى معدلات بطيئة. وأظهر "تحليل البؤر الساخنة" (Hot Spot Analysis) غياب أي تجمعات مكانية ذات دلالة إحصائية، مما يؤكد أن أنماط النمو المرتفعة هي ظواهر محلية مدفوعة بديناميكيات خاصة بكل مدينة، وليست تمدداً إقليمياً. علاوة على ذلك، أثبت نموذج الانحدار الموزون جغرافياً (GWR) التباين المكاني لتأثير العوامل المستقلة؛ حيث لعب توفر الاستقرار الأمني دوراً حاسماً كعامل جذب قوي في مدن كالسليمانية متجاوزاً تأثير المتغيرات الاقتصادية. وتخلص الدراسة إلى أن السياسات التخطيطية الحضرية الموحدة غير فعالة في السياق العراقي، موصيةً بضرورة تبني استراتيجيات مكانية مخصصة تستجيب لمتطلبات التنمية المتفاوتة لكل منطقة على حدة.
The logistic regression model of the most important regression models a non-linear which aim getting estimators have a high of efficiency, taking character more advanced in the process of statistical analysis for being a models appropriate form of Binary Data.
Among the problems that appear as a result of the use of some statistical methods I
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Concentrated research topic in addressing variable vital to the work of offices of inspectors general, construction and scale effectiveness and efficiency is the organizational structure, which are important as is obvious to any researcher in the management and organization and this variable would affect the exercise task supervision and inspection of financial and administrative corruption and combat efficiently, Thus this effect will be placed in the fold ability to achieve goals. That the creation of the organizational structure and requirements to achieve harmony between its properties is creating step towards success. This research aims to analyze the characteristics and style o
The aim of this paper is to estimate a nonlinear regression function of the Export of the crude oil Saudi (in Million Barrels) as a function of the number of discovered fields.
Through studying the behavior of the data we show that its behavior was not followed a linear pattern or can put it in a known form so far there was no possibility to see a general trend resulting from such exports.
We use different nonlinear estimators to estimate a regression function, Local linear estimator, Semi-parametric as well as an artificial neural network estimator (ANN).
The results proved that the (ANN) estimator is the best nonlinear estimator am
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The survival analysis is one of the modern methods of analysis that is based on the fact that the dependent variable represents time until the event concerned in the study. There are many survival models that deal with the impact of explanatory factors on the likelihood of survival, including the models proposed by the world, David Cox, one of the most important and common models of survival, where it consists of two functions, one of which is a parametric function that does not depend on the survival time and the other a nonparametric function that depends on times of survival, which the Cox model is defined as a semi parametric model, The set of parametric models that depend on the time-to-event distribution parameters such as
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Abstract
In this study, we compare between the autoregressive approximations (Yule-Walker equations, Least Squares , Least Squares ( forward- backword ) and Burg’s (Geometric and Harmonic ) methods, to determine the optimal approximation to the time series generated from the first - order moving Average non-invertible process, and fractionally - integrated noise process, with several values for d (d=0.15,0.25,0.35,0.45) for different sample sizes (small,median,large)for two processes . We depend on figure of merit function which proposed by author Shibata in 1980, to determine the theoretical optimal order according to min
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Abstract
This current research aims to make theoretical frame for the thoughts and principle knowledge for high performance work system ،also trying to know the role that high performance work system practices which is (Effective staffing، comprehensive training، providing work career، and employee participation) play to enhance the organization effectiveness ، although knowing the principles of high performance work system which is: (Shared Information، Knowledge Development Performance and Reward linkage Egalitarianism)and its effect on the organizations. As well as defining the special concept of High performance wo
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Abstract:
The models of time series often suffer from the problem of the existence of outliers that accompany the data collection process for many reasons, their existence may have a significant impact on the estimation of the parameters of the studied model. Access to highly efficient estimators is one of the most important stages of statistical analysis, And it is therefore important to choose the appropriate methods to obtain good estimators. The aim of this research is to compare the ordinary estimators and the robust estimators of the estimation of the parameters of
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