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اختبار العلاقة بين التدفقات النقدية والعوائد المتحققة للاسهم: دراسة تطبيقية في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية
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غالبا ما يؤكد موضوع تحليل البيانات المالية على اختبار عناصر التدفق النقدي لغرض النتبؤ بعوائد الاسهم بالمستقبل ، فضلا عن ان المستثمرين دائما ما يبحثون عن زيادة عوائد الاسهم، وان مثل هذا النوع من التحليل يمكن استخدامه لطبيعة المعلومات المحتواة في عناصر التدفق النقدي ، والدرجة التي على اساسها تنعكس مثل هذه المعلومات المالية في اسعار الاسهم من خلال تقويم القيم السوقية للأوراق المالية فتؤدي إلى تغيير قرارات مستخدميها من المستثمرين ، وترشيدها بشكل أفضل مما كانت عليه قبل أخذ معلومات التدفقات النقدية في الحسبان ، كما ان التدفقات النقدية لها دور كبير في زيادة فاعلية قرارات المستثمرين وتدعيم قدرتهم على اتخاذ قراراتهم المتعلقة بتسعير الأسهم بالطرق العلمية ، وتعد معلومات التدفقات النقدية هامة وضرورية ومكملة لمعلومات القوائم المالية الاخرى (كشف الدخل والميزانية العمومية) وتقدم معلومات غير متحة في هذه القوائم ، كما انها تساعد على مقابلة الالتزامات المالية المتمثلة في سداد الالتزامات ودفع التوزيعات ودفع الفوائد وتقييم مخاطر الاستثمار بالاضافة الى معرفة التغيرات النقدية في الأموال والمتعلقة بأنشطة المنشأة والحصول على التمويل الخارجي عند الحاجة إليه ، فضلا عن قدرتها على الحكم على جودة الربح والمركز المالي قصير الأجل للمنشأة وتقييم السياسة المالية والإستثمارية والتمويلية للمنشأة وإتخاذ القرارات الرشيدة الخاصة بذلك ، وانطلاقا في ذلك يستطيع المستثمر الذي يرغب في استثمار امواله في هذا النوع من الاستثمارات المالية اتخاذ قراره الاستثماري بشكل سليم من خلال اختياره ذلك النوع من الاسهم العادية الذي يحقق معدلات عائد متحقق موجبة تعكس ارتفاع التدفقات النقدية والارباح للسهم الواحد .  ولاجل تحقيق هدف البحث الحالي تم تقسيمه الى اربعة مباحث تناول الاول منهجية البحث للبحث في حين تناول المبحث الثاني الخلفية النظرية ، اما المبحث الثالث فقد  كرس لتحليل النتائج واختبار فرضية البحث فيما خصص المبحث الرابع لاهم الاستنتاجات التي توصل اليها البحث بالاضافة الى توصياته .

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Indicative supervision on the monetary business organizations (Banks) Case study: Iraq
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Indicative supervision represents the comparison between direct intervention (acquisition, nationalism) and participation through rules.

The last financial crisis reflected our needs for different approaches of supervision consist with our goals, but the crisis reveals also number of sounds requested and pressured toward direct control (Intervention via forces) through government acquisition and nationalization.

This study attempts to deal with crisis lessons, in the field of choice between indicative and direct supervision which government authorities used to reduce the bad effect on the monetary firms.

Iraqi banks suffered from high levels of direct co

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Use of the Regression Tree and the Support Vector Machine in the Classification of the Iraqi Stock Exchange for the Period 2019-2020
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 The financial markets are one of the sectors whose data is characterized by continuous movement in most of the times and it is constantly changing, so it is difficult to predict its trends , and this leads to the need of methods , means and techniques for making decisions, and that pushes investors and analysts in the financial markets to use various and different methods in order to reach at predicting the movement of the direction of the financial markets. In order to reach the goal of making decisions in different investments, where the algorithm of the support vector machine and the CART regression tree algorithm are used to classify the stock data in order to determine

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effect of the volume of Capital heldin stock prices: An analytical study in a sample of Iraqi banks listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange
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 The capital in the bank is the important element in establishing it, because it maintains the banking sector in the event of exposure to losses or risks In addition to contributing to the provision of liquidity And protection of depositors' money from potential and unexpected losses. There is also a relationship between the prices of shares and the indicators of the durability of the capital owned, considering that the shares are the components of the bank capital The study limited the indicators of capital to assets and capital to deposits, capital to loans and financial investments Where the most important conclusions are the damage to the detriment of shareholders in contrast to the depositors in the case of increasing the propo

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis the Causal Relationship between Oil Exports and Economic Growth in Iraq
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The oil exports play a vital role in supporting economic development and raise the economic growth. The oil exports can increase the economic growth via three main channels which are supporting the productive, distributive and service sectors; increasing the investment and capital formation; and increasing the employment rate.

However, the oil exports did not have an important role in increasing the economic growth in Iraq. Therefore, it also did not provide the required support to other economic sectors, neither participated in increase the employees’ skills nor increase the investment rate. It may slightly contribute in enhancement the infrastructure that can attract the public and private investments

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Analysis of the relationship between inflation and the tax revenue in Iraq for the period 1990-2010
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The Iraqi economy has suffered for a long period of inflation because of the Iraq war and the resolutions and the sanctions that were imposed on Iraq, this phenomenon overshadowed at various aspects of the economy including the tax revenue that the State seeks to optimize the total income for the budget, the research covers the years 1990-2010, these years have been divided according to the country's economic variables.

The research  adopted on econometrics analysis that is based on the information and data available on topics and has been using statistical methods to test functions are formulated.

Research concluded that rates of inflation and GDP impact is limited to direct taxation and indirect in current prices a

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
"Analyzing of the economic relationship between Dutch disease and the disruption of the Iraq economic structure "
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The status of the semi total stoppage and non-use and waste of economic made studying and analyzing Dutch disease of high importance because it is a major cause in aggravation of this status which happened to the Iraqi economy in almost complete way and the relative big importance that oil source has and its domination on the largest percentage in the gross domestic product and exports that Iraqi economy is relying largely in funding the national budget made the concentration of the study on this subject an important and necessary within the important economic events that Iraqi economy witnessed after 2003 till 2016 to give a clear and an overall picture of the reality of the unilateral Iraqi economy under the status of semi tota

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measure and analyze the relationship between oil prices and the Iraqi dinar exchange rate
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In this research, we discussed and analyzed the relationship between oil prices and the U.S. dollar exchange rate in Iraq. The study adopted the descriptive analysis and econometrics analysis. The descriptive analysis refers to the rise (fall) in crude oil price lead to appreciate (depreciate) in the Iraqi dinar exchange rate, though the channel of the international reserves. The econometrics analysis is based on monthly data covered the period (December/2002 – December/2011), the unit root test, co-integration test, vector error correction model, and Granger causality test have been adopted in this research to check the existence and direction of this relationship. The results refer to the lon

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of the causal relationship between agricultural imports and some economic variables in Iraq
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Foreign trade receives a good deal of economists' attention for its active contribution to economic growth, and imports of goods and services that could not be produced locally constitute an important share of the local economy.  Agricultural imports constitute an important share of the total imports due to their role in fulfilling the needs of local markets; however, the agricultural sector in Iraq contributes no more than a limited share of the country's need, which has encouraged the import of a variety of fruits, vegetables and strategic crops and different types of red and white meat. For the sake of identifying the factors affecting the demand on agricultural imports in Iraq, the following factors has been analyzed: th

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Role of using the Relative Strength Index in Making Speculation Decision in Stock: Applied Research in the Iraq Stock Exchange
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 The relative strength index (RSI) is one of the best known technical analysis indicators; it provides the speculators by prior signals about the future stock’s prices, and because the speculations in shares of companies which listed in the Iraq Stock Exchange have a high degree of risk, like risk of shares prices felling, so the speculators became committed to use some methods to reduce these risks, and one of these methods is the technical analysis by using the relative strength index (RSI) which enable the speculators of choosing the right time for buy and sell the stocks and the right time to enter or leave the market by using the historical rice data. And from here the problem of the research formulated as “Is the using of

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The relationship between Iraq's foreign trade and economic growth analysis For the period (2013-1980)
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Abstract

This study highlights the importance of Iraq in the analysis of foreign trade and economic growth for the period (1980 - 2013) is an attempt to determine the equilibrium relationship long term and short term between these two variables were used ARDL model to explain the economic relationship between the two variables.

To achieve the objectives of the research has been the standard model estimate after testing the stability of exports X data series, and imports M, and GDP current prices, and exchange rate EXR, and verify the existence of a joint integration relationship between these variables.

In order to achieve the objectives of the research it

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