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اختبار العلاقة بين التدفقات النقدية والعوائد المتحققة للاسهم: دراسة تطبيقية في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية

غالبا ما يؤكد موضوع تحليل البيانات المالية على اختبار عناصر التدفق النقدي لغرض النتبؤ بعوائد الاسهم بالمستقبل ، فضلا عن ان المستثمرين دائما ما يبحثون عن زيادة عوائد الاسهم، وان مثل هذا النوع من التحليل يمكن استخدامه لطبيعة المعلومات المحتواة في عناصر التدفق النقدي ، والدرجة التي على اساسها تنعكس مثل هذه المعلومات المالية في اسعار الاسهم من خلال تقويم القيم السوقية للأوراق المالية فتؤدي إلى تغيير قرارات مستخدميها من المستثمرين ، وترشيدها بشكل أفضل مما كانت عليه قبل أخذ معلومات التدفقات النقدية في الحسبان ، كما ان التدفقات النقدية لها دور كبير في زيادة فاعلية قرارات المستثمرين وتدعيم قدرتهم على اتخاذ قراراتهم المتعلقة بتسعير الأسهم بالطرق العلمية ، وتعد معلومات التدفقات النقدية هامة وضرورية ومكملة لمعلومات القوائم المالية الاخرى (كشف الدخل والميزانية العمومية) وتقدم معلومات غير متحة في هذه القوائم ، كما انها تساعد على مقابلة الالتزامات المالية المتمثلة في سداد الالتزامات ودفع التوزيعات ودفع الفوائد وتقييم مخاطر الاستثمار بالاضافة الى معرفة التغيرات النقدية في الأموال والمتعلقة بأنشطة المنشأة والحصول على التمويل الخارجي عند الحاجة إليه ، فضلا عن قدرتها على الحكم على جودة الربح والمركز المالي قصير الأجل للمنشأة وتقييم السياسة المالية والإستثمارية والتمويلية للمنشأة وإتخاذ القرارات الرشيدة الخاصة بذلك ، وانطلاقا في ذلك يستطيع المستثمر الذي يرغب في استثمار امواله في هذا النوع من الاستثمارات المالية اتخاذ قراره الاستثماري بشكل سليم من خلال اختياره ذلك النوع من الاسهم العادية الذي يحقق معدلات عائد متحقق موجبة تعكس ارتفاع التدفقات النقدية والارباح للسهم الواحد .  ولاجل تحقيق هدف البحث الحالي تم تقسيمه الى اربعة مباحث تناول الاول منهجية البحث للبحث في حين تناول المبحث الثاني الخلفية النظرية ، اما المبحث الثالث فقد  كرس لتحليل النتائج واختبار فرضية البحث فيما خصص المبحث الرابع لاهم الاستنتاجات التي توصل اليها البحث بالاضافة الى توصياته .

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of GRI standards in reporting the dimensions of sustainable development - An applied study in a number of local companies on the Iraq Stock Exchange

The current research aims to shed light on the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), which helps to report financial and non-financial information by economic units in general and listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange in particular. The research was based on a main premise that apply the criteria of the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) would provide useful information to users to help them make appropriate decisions. To achieve the goal of the research, the descriptive analysis method was used, and quantitative analysis was used. At the level of the descriptive analysis method, a desk survey was conducted. As for the quantitative analysis, it relied on applied data through a questionnaire form (Questioners) as a research tool, and the

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Asset Utilization Efficiency and its effect on the sustainable Stockholder’s Wealth: Apply Study of Iraqi Companies listed on the Iraqi Stock Exchange

The research discusses one of the most critical issues of corporate finance which is related to asset utilization efficiency. Researchers used internal growth rate as independent variable (Proxy of asset utilization efficiency) and sustainable growth rate-dependent variable (proxy of stockholders wealth). According to these two variables, researchers formulate major hypotheses (There is no significant effect of internal growth rate on sustainable growth rate), as well as two sub-hypotheses, examine the components of major variables. Sample of Iraqi industrial companies which listed in the Iraqi stock exchange selected to test and examine main hypotheses. Result of simple and multiple regressions explain there is a significant effect of i

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Extent of the Practice of Iraqi Banks to Manage Profits Using the (LLp it) Model and Its Reflection on the Tax Base, A Case Study of A Sample of Iraqi Private Banks Listed in The Iraqi Stock Exchange

The research aims to identify the extent to which Iraqi private banks practice profit management motivated by reducing the taxable base by increasing the provision for loan losses by relying on the LLP it model, which consists of a main independent variable (net profit before tax) and independent sub-variables (bank size, total debts to total equity, loans granted to total obligations) under the name of the variables governing the banking business. (Colmgrove-Smirnov) was used to test the normal distribution of data for all banks during the period 2017-2020, and then find the correlation between the main independent variable sub and the dependent variable by means of the correlation coefficient person, and then using the multiple

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Causal Relationship between Stock Market Indices Volatility and Oil Prices Volatility: Empirical Evidence from Iraqi Stock Exchange

The study investigates the relationship between the volatility of the Iraqi Stock Exchange Index (ISX), and the volatility of global oil prices benchmarks, Brent and West Intermediate Texas (WTI), in additional to the Iraqi Oil, Basra Crude Light (BSL) which represents the most exported Iraqi oil and the major influential factor on the Iraqi governmental revenues. Using monthly data covering the period: 1/2005-12/1205, econometrical and technical tools represented by Co-incretion, Vector Error Correction Model – VECM, Granger Causality, and Bollinger band were employed in order to explore the relationship between the variables.

The econometric analysis revealed the impact of the oil prices volatility on

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Impact of the global financial crisis on the efficiency of activity of the Iraqi Stock Market, "An Empirical Study for the period 2006-2008”

Abstract
  financial market occupy very important place in the economic activity all over the world countris, and its importance increased with considerable technological progress in the world of transportation ,communications and information where its impact have spread over the whole world, which led to link the international economy in a kind of international relations so that the open policy became the prevailing trend in national and regional economies within the framework of the new world order.

the international economy has faced the financial crisis, global, that hit all world economies although the United States is the center of the crisis and the starting spark for it w

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Risk measurement and its role in preparing the target cash flow statement and rationalizing administrative decisions

Abstract :

The Aims of this research is to describe the concept of risk, its type and method of measurement, and to clarify the impact of these risks on the expected cash flow statement and the preparation of the target cash flow statement that takes these risks into consideration. Because the local economic environment is exposed to many risks, Therefore, this list will be predictive, which will help the economic unit to make administrative decisions, especially decisions related to operational, investment and financing activities. Therefore, the research problem is based on the fact that most of the local economic units are the list of flows According to the actual basis and not according to the discretionary basis (bud

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 31 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Analyzing the reality of the Iraqi market for securities in light of financial globalization

The Iraqi market for securities in light of financial globalization faces real challenges at the local and international levels, which were reflected in their shadows on the overall economic reality, which imposed the necessity of making fundamental changes in terms of form and content, and from here stems the research problem in the ability of the Iraqi stock market to adapt to the transformations Financial imposed by financial globalization in light of the weakness of the economic structure and its position in the global economy. The research starts from the hypothesis that the Iraqi market for securities in light of financial globalization has an important and significant role in the economic field, through its role in stimula

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Role of Market Iraq Securities in activation Industrial sector Special

The financial market plays an important role in influencing the economic sectors, including the private industrial sector, through the provision of capital and transfer from savers to investors for the purpose of establishing or expanding projects. Therefore, the financial market is one of the important tools in stimulating the economy in general and the industrial sector in particular, Through the inclusion of industrial companies in the financial market and the introduction of industrial shares to the public, and then provide the necessary funding to stimulate the private industrial sector, Iraq is one of the oil-dependent countries on the oil sector mainly, which lacks industrial production, which is from Are the sectors that

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 25 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of the cash flow statement indicators in market value change of the industrial firms listed on the Palestine Stock Exchange

This research aims to examine the ability of impact of the cash flow statement indicators in the change in the market value of the industrial firms listed on the Palestine Stock Exchange. The research population consisted of (13) firms during the period (2015-2020). Data were collected from the annual financial statements of the firms. The research relies on the Pooled effects model to analyze the cross-section data (Panel Data), and the multiple regression method to test the hypotheses. The research finds a positive significant impact of (the ratios of cash flows from operating activities to sales, the return on assets from operating cash flows, and cash flows from operating activities to total current liabilities) in the change

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Impact of Earnings Quality using the Sustainability model (Persistence) and predictability in the Continuity of the Banks: بحث تطبيقي في عينة من المصارف التجارية المدرجة في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية

The research aims to measure the extent of the impact of Earnings quality in the continuity of the company for a sample of private commercial banks listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. The research sample included (15) of the listed commercial banks that continue to issue their financial statements for the period from (2009-2018).The research relied on three main models of measurement and on four steps. The first step is to measure the Persistence (Earnings Quality) by Depending the sustainability model. While the second step included measuring the Predictability of accounting profits by deriving the square root of the disparity of the estimation error from the first model Persistence (Earnings Quality), and the third step included

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