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Statistical study for Indian quasi-stable population
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During more than (50) years past, India has achieved considerable social and economic progress. It is also generally assumed that the future progress will be even more rapid and that India will be an important player in the global market. India has only (2.5) percent of global land whereas it has to provide home for one-sixth of world's population .On examining the past trends of India's population ,it may be observed that during the latter half of the twentieth century ,about (650) million populations were added to the country ,thus living in a country with a high population density and high growth rate , India in need a transition from high fertility high mortality to a low fertility low mortality and towards stable population situation .India was the first country in Asia which introduced family planning program in the national level in the year (1952) so if we look at fertility transition in comparison to infant mortality rate we get an idea of how India has experienced these transitions will make us understand the overall demographic changes in India .United Nations has projected the total fertility rates below replacement level as (2.1) children per women for India ,so it will be very important to look into details about the mortality – fertility transition and trends of life expectancy at birth of males & females .The declining fertility & mortality & high chance of survival contributions to change in age –composition of population ,India being the second most populous country in the world and having around (1.03) billion of population .The sex ratio in India is more skewed towards in recent decades ,in the decennial census the number of girls per 1000 boys aged (0 – 6) years was (962) in (1981),(945) in (1991) and (927)in (2001) and the discrepancy was more acute in urban area from (959 to 906) between (1981-2001) than the rural area (963-934) ,and that because of the higher mortality rates in female than in male children .Low sex ratios have also been recorded in other Asian countries ,most notably China ,where (847-877) girls were born for every (1000 )boys in (2002) ,India has a higher fertility rates than China.

   Demographic research over the past decades has confirmed that a preference for sons over daughters remains entrenched in many countries through the world in such setting, religious traditions and social norms coupled with economic discrimination against women & girls conspire to ensure that young boys have greater access to education, health care and even food than do their sisters, such neglect leads to markedly higher rates of illiteracy, malnutrition and poor health among girls. In its first phase of demographic transition, India experienced a steep fall in the mortality rate due to increasing availability and accessibility of improved health care, whereas the fall infertility rate was comparatively less and so the population grew at a rapid speed. In the next phase population continued to grow at a faster rate though the fall in mortality is not steep and fall in fertility continues, until the replacement level of fertility is achieved. Even if the replacement level of fertility is attained, then due to the “momentum” of population growth, it will take a long period to reach at the stable population situation. The reason behind this is that, the large number of people in the reproductive age group will not be so less at the same time.

  The large number of people in the reproductive age group will not be so less at the same time, particular attention. The first is gender bias - the small number of females compared to males. The number of females per (1000) males is (933) in India compared to a figure of (1,050) for Europe and North America and (1,022) for Sub-Saharan Africa .The second feature is that the fertility rate of Muslim women is considerably higher than that for Hindu women. The latest findings of the National Family Health Survey (NFHS), show that for India as a whole, the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) was (2.8) for Hindus and (3.6) for Muslims. At its most shrill, the higher fertility of Muslim women is blamed on Indian Muslims for obeying the tenets of Islam - and also being driven by their ambition to “outnumber'' Hindus - in rejecting family planning and embracing polygamy. The aim of this study to show the transitions and the challenges of Indian population through several decades and the prediction of the second population on the earth.

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 30 2012
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Isosorbide Mononitrate versus Misoprostol for Cervical Ripening
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Objective: To compare the efficacy and safety of isosorbide mononitrate (IMN) versus misoprostol used to induce labour for overdue pregnancy.
Setting: A prospective randomized clinical study conducted at AL-Elwiya Maternity Teaching Hospital in Baghdad from Jan. 2008 to Dec. 2008.
Method: One hundred and fifty women with over due pregnancy (past date and posterm pregnancy) referred for induction of labour with Bishop scores <_ 5 were randomly allocated to receive either forty mg isosorbide mononitrate (IMN) tablet as a single vaginal dose (n=75) or fifty mcg misoprostol vaginally (n=75) every six hrs for a maximum of three doses. Amniotomy and/or oxytocin infusion is considered when Bishop scores frankly progressed (augmentation

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2013
Journal Name
Applied Mechanics And Materials
Artistic Techniques for Developing Creativity in Design
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The design of future will still be the most confusing and puzzling issue and misgivings that arouse worry and leading to the spirit of adventures to make progress and arrive at the ways of reviving, creativity and modernism. The idea of prevailing of a certain culture or certain product in design depends on the given and available techniques, due to the fact that the computer and their artistic techniques become very important and vital to reinforce the image in the design. Thus, it is very necessary to link between these techniques and suitable way to reform the mentality by which the design will be reformed, from what has been said, (there has no utilization for the whole modern and available graphic techniques in the design proce

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2009
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Modeling and Filtering for Tracking Maneuvering Targets
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     A new mathematical model describing the motion of manned maneuvering targets is presented. This model is simple to be implemented and closely represents the motion of maneuvering targets. The target maneuver or acceleration is correlated in time. Optimal Kalman filter is used as a tracking filter which results in effective tracker that prevents the loss of track or filter divergency that often occurs with conventional tracking filter when the target performs a moderate or heavy maneuver. Computer simulation studies show that the proposed tracker provides sufficient accuracy.

 

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2009
Journal Name
J. Of University Of Anbar For Pure Science
Estimation of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) Variation for Selected Regions in Iraq for two Years 1990 & 2001
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The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is commonly used as a measure of land surface greenness based on the assumption that NDVI value is positively proportional to the amount of green vegetation in an image pixel area. The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index data set of Landsat based on the remote sensing information is used to estimate the area of plant cover in region west of Baghdad during 1990-2001. The results show that in the period of 1990 and 2001 the plant area in region of Baghdad increased from (44760.25) hectare to (75410.67) hectare. The vegetation area increased during the period 1990-2001, and decreases the exposed area.

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of Some Methods for Estimating the Survival Function and Failure Rate for the Exponentiated Expanded Power Function Distribution
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       We have presented the distribution of the exponentiated expanded power function (EEPF) with four parameters, where this distribution was created by the exponentiated expanded method created by the scientist Gupta to expand the exponential distribution by adding a new shape parameter to the cumulative function of the distribution, resulting in a new distribution, and this method is characterized by obtaining a distribution that belongs for the exponential family. We also obtained a function of survival rate and failure rate for this distribution, where some mathematical properties were derived, then we used the method of maximum likelihood (ML) and method least squares developed  (LSD) to estimate the parameters an

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Applying some hybrid models for modeling bivariate time series assuming different distributions for random error with a practical application
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Abstract

  Bivariate time series modeling and forecasting have become a promising field of applied studies in recent times. For this purpose, the Linear Autoregressive Moving Average with exogenous variable ARMAX model is the most widely used technique over the past few years in modeling and forecasting this type of data. The most important assumptions of this model are linearity and homogenous for random error variance of the appropriate model. In practice, these two assumptions are often violated, so the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and (GARCH) with exogenous varia

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compared of estimating two methods for nonparametric function to cluster data for the white blood cells to leukemia patients
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Abstract:                                        

   We can notice cluster data in social, health and behavioral sciences, so this type of data have a link between its observations and we can express these clusters through the relationship between measurements on units within the same group.

    In this research, I estimate the reliability function of cluster function by using the seemingly unrelate

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of Some Methods for Estimating the Survival Function and Failure Rate for the Exponentiated Expanded Power Function Distribution
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     We have presented the distribution of the exponentiated expanded power function (EEPF) with four parameters, where this distribution was created by the exponentiated expanded method created by the scientist Gupta to expand the exponential distribution by adding a new shape parameter to the cumulative function of the distribution, resulting in a new distribution, and this method is characterized by obtaining a distribution that belongs for the exponential family. We also obtained a function of survival rate and failure rate for this distribution, where some mathematical properties were derived, then we used the method of maximum likelihood (ML) and method least squares developed  (LSD)

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
ESTIMATION OF COEFFICIENTS AND SCALE PARAMETER FOR LINEAR (TYPE 1) EXTREME VALUE REGRESSION MODEL FOR LARGEST VALUES WITH APPLICATIONS
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In this paper we estimate the coefficients and scale parameter in linear regression model depending on the residuals are of type 1 of extreme  value distribution for the largest values . This can be regard as an improvement for the studies with the smallest values . We study two estimation methods ( OLS  & MLE ) where we resort to Newton – Raphson (NR) and Fisher Scoring methods to get MLE estimate because the difficulty of using the usual approach with MLE . The relative efficiency criterion is considered beside to the statistical inference procedures for the extreme value regression model of type 1 for largest values . Confidence interval , hypothesis testing for both scale parameter and regression coefficients

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Publication Date
Mon May 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Arab Studies In Education & Psychology (asep)
Procedural Knowledge for the, Mathematics Departments Students, College of Education for Pure Sciences / Ibn al-Haytham, University of Baghdad
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