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Statistical study for Indian quasi-stable population
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During more than (50) years past, India has achieved considerable social and economic progress. It is also generally assumed that the future progress will be even more rapid and that India will be an important player in the global market. India has only (2.5) percent of global land whereas it has to provide home for one-sixth of world's population .On examining the past trends of India's population ,it may be observed that during the latter half of the twentieth century ,about (650) million populations were added to the country ,thus living in a country with a high population density and high growth rate , India in need a transition from high fertility high mortality to a low fertility low mortality and towards stable population situation .India was the first country in Asia which introduced family planning program in the national level in the year (1952) so if we look at fertility transition in comparison to infant mortality rate we get an idea of how India has experienced these transitions will make us understand the overall demographic changes in India .United Nations has projected the total fertility rates below replacement level as (2.1) children per women for India ,so it will be very important to look into details about the mortality – fertility transition and trends of life expectancy at birth of males & females .The declining fertility & mortality & high chance of survival contributions to change in age –composition of population ,India being the second most populous country in the world and having around (1.03) billion of population .The sex ratio in India is more skewed towards in recent decades ,in the decennial census the number of girls per 1000 boys aged (0 – 6) years was (962) in (1981),(945) in (1991) and (927)in (2001) and the discrepancy was more acute in urban area from (959 to 906) between (1981-2001) than the rural area (963-934) ,and that because of the higher mortality rates in female than in male children .Low sex ratios have also been recorded in other Asian countries ,most notably China ,where (847-877) girls were born for every (1000 )boys in (2002) ,India has a higher fertility rates than China.

   Demographic research over the past decades has confirmed that a preference for sons over daughters remains entrenched in many countries through the world in such setting, religious traditions and social norms coupled with economic discrimination against women & girls conspire to ensure that young boys have greater access to education, health care and even food than do their sisters, such neglect leads to markedly higher rates of illiteracy, malnutrition and poor health among girls. In its first phase of demographic transition, India experienced a steep fall in the mortality rate due to increasing availability and accessibility of improved health care, whereas the fall infertility rate was comparatively less and so the population grew at a rapid speed. In the next phase population continued to grow at a faster rate though the fall in mortality is not steep and fall in fertility continues, until the replacement level of fertility is achieved. Even if the replacement level of fertility is attained, then due to the “momentum” of population growth, it will take a long period to reach at the stable population situation. The reason behind this is that, the large number of people in the reproductive age group will not be so less at the same time.

  The large number of people in the reproductive age group will not be so less at the same time, particular attention. The first is gender bias - the small number of females compared to males. The number of females per (1000) males is (933) in India compared to a figure of (1,050) for Europe and North America and (1,022) for Sub-Saharan Africa .The second feature is that the fertility rate of Muslim women is considerably higher than that for Hindu women. The latest findings of the National Family Health Survey (NFHS), show that for India as a whole, the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) was (2.8) for Hindus and (3.6) for Muslims. At its most shrill, the higher fertility of Muslim women is blamed on Indian Muslims for obeying the tenets of Islam - and also being driven by their ambition to “outnumber'' Hindus - in rejecting family planning and embracing polygamy. The aim of this study to show the transitions and the challenges of Indian population through several decades and the prediction of the second population on the earth.

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of BASE methods with other methods for estimating the measurement parameter for WEBB distribution using simulations
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  Weibull distribution is considered as one of the most widely  distribution applied in real life, Its similar to normal distribution in the way of applications, it's also considered as one of the distributions that can applied in many fields such as industrial engineering to represent replaced and manufacturing time ,weather forecasting, and other scientific uses in reliability studies and survival function in medical and communication engineering fields.

   In this paper, The scale parameter has been estimated for weibull distribution using Bayesian method based on Jeffery prior information as a first method , then enhanced by improving Jeffery prior information and then used as a se

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 03 2013
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A Comparison of the Methods for Estimation of Reliability Function for Burr-XII Distribution by Using Simulation.
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This deals with estimation of Reliability function and one shape parameter (?) of two- parameters Burr – XII , when ?(shape parameter is known) (?=0.5,1,1.5) and also the initial values of (?=1), while different sample shze n= 10, 20, 30, 50) bare used. The results depend on empirical study through simulation experiments are applied to compare the four methods of estimation, as well as computing the reliability function . The results of Mean square error indicates that Jacknif estimator is better than other three estimators , for all sample size and parameter values

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 06 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Difficulties Facing the Teaching of Writing for Students at College of Education for Women, University of Baghdad
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This research paper attempts to explore problems facing the teaching of written expression among first-year female university students. The focal point behind conducting this research is to show the importance that writing is taking as a skill in learning the language. To achieve this goal, the researcher prepared a questionnaire consisting of 20 items. The sample, whose size is 60 participants, was selected randomly from the department of Arabic, College of Education for Women, University of Baghdad. Through the use of a set of statistical means including weighting means and percentage, the findings revealed that the students face many difficulties in learning writing. The researcher suggested some recommendations, mainly improving the

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 02 2919
Journal Name
Thesis
Economic Analysis for Role of Agricultural Exports in Agricultural Growth in Iraq for the Period (1990 – 2017)
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Publication Date
Mon Mar 18 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Best Level of Parameters for a Critical Buckling Load for Circular Thin- Walled Structure Subjected to Bending
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Circular thin walled structures have wide range of applications. This type of structure is generally exposed to different types of loads, but one of the most important types is a buckling. In this work, the phenomena of buckling was studied by using finite element analysis. The circular thin walled structure in this study is constructed from; cylindrical thin shell strengthen by longitudinal stringers, subjected to pure bending in one plane. In addition, Taguchi method was used to identify the optimum combination set of parameters for enhancement of the critical buckling load value, as well as to investigate the most effective parameter. The parameters that have been analyzed were; cylinder shell thickness, shape of stiffeners section an

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison Robust M Estimate With Cubic Smoothing Splines For Time-Varying Coefficient Model For Balance Longitudinal Data
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In this research، a comparison has been made between the robust estimators of (M) for the Cubic Smoothing Splines technique، to avoid the problem of abnormality in data or contamination of error، and the traditional estimation method of Cubic Smoothing Splines technique by using two criteria of differentiation which are (MADE، WASE) for different sample sizes and disparity levels to estimate the chronologically different coefficients functions for the balanced longitudinal data which are characterized by observations obtained through (n) from the independent subjects، each one of them is measured repeatedly by group of  specific time points (m)،since the frequent measurements within the subjects are almost connected an

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 31 2017
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences ( P-issn 1683 - 3597 E-issn 2521 - 3512)
A Study of the Furocoumarin Derivative of Ruta Chalepensis L. (Rutaceae)
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  The content of Furocoumarin derivatives (Psoralens) of Ruta Chalepensis L. (Whole plant) was studied by simple extraction with petroleum ether (b.p. 60-80Co). The results indicated that the plant contains a total of about (0.015%).

       Investigation of these compounds by thin layer chromatography (TLC) revealed the presence of at least four compounds of which methoxsalen (8-methoxypsoralen) was isolated.     It was identified and authenticated with a standard by spectral method, IR, NMR, Mass spectra and HPLC.This plant could be considered as a good source for supplying this compound, which is widely used in dermatological preparations.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2009
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Oral Tumors; Clinicopathological Study among Patients Attending ENT Clinic in Baghdad
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Background: Oral tumors are one of the most challenging
tumors regarding their good prognosis in early diagnosis and
very difficult control in advancing stages.
Objectives: To study the prevalence, types and clinical
presentation of oral tumors in comparison to other oral
lesions among patients attending ENT clinic.
Al-Kindy Col Med J 2008 Vol.5(1) Original Article 11
Methods: This study included 534 patients with different
oral complains attending ENT clinics in AI-Yarmouk
Teaching Hospital, and AI-Kindy Teaching Hospital -
Baghdad, in the period from 1st jan1999 till 31th des 2006 (8
years interval).
Results: The results of this study showed that the prevalence
of malignant lesions was 13.5% (72 o

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 19 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Analytical Study of Cartoon picture AL-Mada Newspaper is a model
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The researcher studies and explains the content of some pictures that are published in al-Mada newspaper. The research is important as it deals with a topic that has a relation with visual culture and its role to transfer the press letter to the audience. The researcher finds that cartoonist exposed the security services through important people who have a major role in state policy and reveals the level of corruption and the weak treatments for this phenomenon and its reflection on the whole society and individuals. In addition to that, cartoonists try to encourage the public for going on the peaceful demonstrations since it is a good tool to make pressure on the government to punish the corrupts.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 05 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Unemployment & its Problems Between Theory & Applying Field Study in Baghdad City
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The unemployment is considered from the most danger problems that our society face them in current time & in the near future , because it makes prodigality for element of human being , particularly age of youth who have ability to work & producing , that resulted in negative effects forecast to dire consequences social and economical dangers . In the same time as will be stated in our explanation in the following in our research , because the unemployment has ability to help to prepare good environment to grow crime , actions of violence that mostly are main cause to decrease living level of majority of citizens & in increasing numbers who became under poverty , the unemployment is economical problem as it is psycholo

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