The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

Abstract:
                The research seeks to explain the role of the international auditing standard (3402) in the auditor's procedures, where the importance of the research stems from the adoption of international auditing standards in the Iraqi environment, including the standard (3402) of assurance engagements that the external auditor performs by submitting reports on the design of control tools and their operational effectiveness in a service facility that provides the beneficiaries with a service. To provide useful information for service organizations The control tools are of great benefit in rationalizing decisions, and many recommen

In this paper, we will illustrate a gamma regression model assuming that the dependent variable (Y) is a gamma distribution and that it's mean ( ) is related through a linear predictor with link function which is identity link function g(μ) = μ. It also contains the shape parameter which is not constant and depends on the linear predictor and with link function which is the log link and we will estimate the parameters of gamma regression by using two estimation methods which are The Maximum Likelihood and the Bayesian and a comparison between these methods by using the standard comparison of average squares of error (MSE), where the two methods were applied to real da

هدف البحث التعرف على المعوقات التي تحول دون تطبيق تكنولوجيا المعلومات والاتصالات في كليات جامعة بغداد بأعتبار أن ذلك يمثل مشكلة لابد من الوقوف عندها , ولأهمية مثل هذه المواضيع وضرورة البحث عنها , إذ تحدد مجتمع البحث بالعمداء والمعاونيين في هذه كليات جامعة بغداد للعام الدراسي 2016-2017حيث قام الباحث ببناء اداة خاصة للبحث لغرض الاجابة على هدف البحث الرئيسي ومن خلال أجابات أفراد عينة البحث التي مثلت ما نسبته66% الى ا

  Problem solving methods and mechanisms contribute to facilitating human life by providing tools to solve simple and complex daily problems. These mechanisms have been essential tools for professional designers and design students in solving design problems.
This research dealt with one of those mechanisms, which is the (the substance-field model model), as it has been mentioning that this mechanism is characterized by the difficulty of its application, which formed the main research problem. In home gardens (the sub-problem of research), an analysis of this problem was applied and then a solution was found to address it. The researcher used the 3dsmax program to implement the proposed design.
The most important research res

 The Problem of the research  is Limited with the ambguity of environmental work Characterstics role and among them the natural Working Conditions: Temproture, Lighting, Noise, Colours,and Smells, in the Decisions that rule the Planning and Designing work of the industrial Location and it 's targets are Limited with discovering the effect of environmental work Characterstics in planning and designing the industrial Companies and to reach to the most important properties that distinguish the industrial Location Within the frame of dealing with the nature Conditions in the dry, hot regions and the dfining of the relationship between them on the assumption that the Characterstics of environmental work have agreat effect in

The goal of current research to:1 - Know when aesthetic implications (Korchh)2 - To form the structure of systemic indicators and results that reflect the visions of intellectual, philosophical and aesthetic art for this study.The theoretical framework for the study of the search for the meaning of beauty, definition ( Krochh) being a philosopher, his views, his own aesthetic philosophy, knowledge, art and beauty, as well as a subject of artistic and aesthetic taste and Study in Art Education.The goals have been achieved during the search of Investigation theoretical framework for the search, which tried (INT) to form a clear vision check the second goal by the indicators reached.In light of this, the researcher recommended the need for

يهدف البحث ابر تحديد نقاط الاختناق من خلال تحديد القيود التي تعترض عمل الشركة وبالتالي معالجتها من خلال تطبيق خطوات نظرية القيود والتي تمثل اداة فاعلة تساعد في التخلص من نقاط الاختناق وجدولة تلك القيود

The research examines the mechanism of application of )ISO 21001: 2018( in the Energy Branch- Electromechanical Engineering at the University of Technology to achieve the quality of the educational service to prepare the branch to obtain the certificate of conformity with the requirements of) ISO 21001: 2018(, the necessary data were collected Depending on the (CHEKLIST) of (ISO 21001: 2018), field interviews and records of the concerned department, The researchers reached a number of results, the most prominent of which was the adoption of high quality leadership leaders and their willingness to implement the standard requirements, The university has a basic structure that qualifies it to implement the international standard, as

The aim of the research is to identify to what extent to which Malcolm Baldrige standards of total quality are applied in the after-sales services of a private sector company for electrical appliances, from the point of view of administrative leaders, in it. To achieve this aim a questionnaire has been used to measure the degree of application of Malcolm’s seven criteria for total quality, namely: (leadership, strategic planning, focus on the customer, measurement and analysis and knowledge management, focus in human resource and operation management and results of the company’s management), the research found that the company achieved a good level of the standard from the de