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Economic perspectives on employment 2021-2030

Long before the pandemic, labour force all over the world was facing the quest of incertitude, which is normal and inherent of the market, but the extent of this quest was shaped by the pace of acceleration of technological progress, which became exponential in the last ten years, from 2010 to 2020. Robotic process automation, work remote, computer science, electronic and communications, mechanical engineering, information technology digitalisation o public administration and so one are ones of the pillars of the future of work. Some authors even stated that without robotic process automation (RPA) included in technological processes, companies will not be able to sustain a competitive level on the market (Madakan et al, 2018). Robots and automation make processes to operate automatically, especially those which are repetitive, emerging a new concept, o robotic workforce.

            Prominent empirical studies (Frey and Osborne, 2017 and Acemoglu and Restrepo, 2017) prove that continuous progress in digital and robotic technologies shape a trend towards the demise of work. Prospects of a future where many people will not have jobs due to automation are enhanced by additional publications (Brynjolfsson and McAfee, 2014, Ford, 2015). Automation and the complementary digital technology might come along with unemployment and conversely with inequality, hence the fear of people for what will bring the future. Social and economic policies are to be implemented, such as education for new adaptive skills or, in the worst scenarios, provision of a basic income. Despite of this unsecure perspective, automation processes come in hand with some peculiar qualities: they free people of repetitive tasks, provide availability of 24/7, are convenient and helpful, escape from risky jobs from dangerous situation, bust workflow inefficiencies, shore up productivity. These all are nowadays pillars of further growth, which economic mainstream still supports.

Nevertheless, in line with continuous extension of capitalism, work didn’t cease to expand too, occupying workers lives due to new and diversified needs. At the beginnings of capitalism, in the early nineteenth century, the working hour programs were devastating people, from children to elders, forced to work up to exhausting levels, or death sometimes, due to low standard living (Heillbronner, 2005). Until the beginning of twentieth century, thanks to greater productivity and better social and economic policies, the decline of working hours improved the general background of the workforce. Despite of the solid trend improving the life of workers in the expense of working ours, from 1970s the trend has reversed, with a starting point in the United States (Friedman, 2017). Furthermore, in the twentieth century the productivity in United States improved 15 times, and in Europe 18 times, but the working hours has barely halved. Henceforth, a paradox is rising between the general growth efficiency and productivity and the expanding working our program (Spencer, 2018). Historical expectations of high quality of life with abundance and spare time seem to last more to be achieved. More, along with this economic paradox, non-cyclical crisis such as Covid-19 pandemic, decrease more the chances of a restless future for the workforce.

This paper offers a critical perspective on the present debate of the future of work, under the provocative context of automation and the unexpected pandemic and its consequences. This debate is targeting economics and social aspects which are colliding in order to identify what is the best template to accept a provocative future with a reality far out our possibility to foreseen. It illustrates, in general, how the idea of online or remote work will face the future of employment, and presents, in particular, what are the short run policies we should to access to get back on track. The paper contributes by setting out some of the main positions in the debate of disruptions brought by pandemic.

The Paper is organised as follows. Section two offers some metrological hints on the research and scientific outcomes. Section three discusses issues on historical background on the vision of the reducing of working time. This discussion helps to identify limits in economic thinking and the origin of the ideas in context. Section four draws out the area of automation and its consequences. Section five reflects on the opportunities for changing educational paradigm after pandemic. Section six concludes.

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Effect of leadership patterns on the phenomenon of jop burnout among employees at Baghdad College of Economic Sciences University

This study deals with the impact of leadership styles in its three main dimensions (democratic, autocratic, lenient) as an independent variable of the dimensions of functional combustion (emotional stress, inhumanity, personal achievement). The research sought to achieve a set of goals, the most prominent of which are: studying the reality of the researched organization to identify the leadership patterns used in its management and its impact on the phenomenon of functional combustion, Moreover, knowing the extent of support for these established patterns and their contribution to mitigating the phenomenon of functional combustion in the organization's environment, and testing the impact of these leadership patte

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Monetary policy constraints and economic reform programsThe reality of the Iraqi economy

أن السياسة النقدية في العراق لم تشهد تحسناً كبيراً في دورها المطلوب
منها، وهذا يعود الى جملة من التغيرات على أدائها ودورها في التأثير على المتغيرات الأقتصادية المهمة، اذ حصلت ظروف صعبة على المستوى السياسي والأقتصادي اسهمت في أضعاف دورها في العراق. فالحروب العسكرية الثلاثة في وقت قياسي دمرت البنى التحتية للأقتصاد العراقي، وأخرت عملية التنمية الأقتصادية والبشرية لعدة عقود بسبب الأستنزاف الكبير للمو

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Publication Date
Thu May 18 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
A Modified Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm 2 based Environmental /Economic Power Dispatch

A Strength Pareto Evolutionary Algorithm 2 (SPEA 2) approach for solving the multi-objective Environmental / Economic Power Dispatch (EEPD) problem is presented in this paper. In the past fuel cost consumption minimization was the aim (a single objective function) of economic power dispatch problem. Since the clean air act amendments have been applied to reduce SO2 and NOX emissions from power plants, the utilities change their strategies in order to reduce pollution and atmospheric emission as well, adding emission minimization as other objective function made economic power dispatch (EPD) a multi-objective problem having conflicting objectives. SPEA2 is the improved version of SPEA with better fitness assignment, density estimation, an

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 20 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
The mechanism of addition and subtraction in the industrial product and its relation to employment pressure: بـــان محمد شـاكر الطائي

The Significance of this research comes as a result of the development occurring in various life fields including the field of technical and technological development in the domain of industrial products which are in direct touch with the receiver, and because the study of deletion and addition mechanism didn't Find the Scientific space through researches and Studies. On this basis , the aim of this study is defining the forms of deletion and addition mechanism in designing the industrial product in a way that fits the functional presser . As to the limitations of this study, they involve examples of readymade Turkish House furniture, which is available in Iraqi local markets in Baghdad city 2013. The study included four chapters. The fi

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 05 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Employment of Brainstorming in developing the idea of design of Fine Arts Institute Students in Designing the Technical Advertisement

Brainstorming is considered as one of the manners that develop learners' mental abilities. Besides, it can help learners get a lot of ideas and thoughts. And by following applied steps to answer the problem concerned, the researcher carried out this practical study aimed at:Developing the ideas of design of third year students/Institute of Fine Arts/Evening Studies- Baghdad/First Rusafa by employing Brainstorming mechanism to develop the ideas of design of institute students in designing the technical advertisement and to achieve the authenticity of the goal of the research, Department of Plastic Arts/Institute of Fine Arts/Evening Studies/Baghdad-First Rusafa was chosen as a case study for the research. It embraced (20) students who rep

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Possibility of Applying Agile Internal Auditing in the Iraqi Economic Units

The research problem is that the traditional methods of internal auditing are somewhat heavy with long and rigid procedures for the members of the audit process team, especially in light of the current developments that are reflected in the business environment and internal audit reports, so it is necessary to reconsider the traditional internal audit work method and assess the extent of its development by agile methods to reduce the time of the audit process on the activities and elements that add value and direct the effort and time to the activities and elements that add value to the work of the economic unit and the report of the internal auditor.

The research aims to study the possibility of applying agile internal auditing

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2024
Journal Name
Chemical Engineering Research And Design
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Publication Date
Thu Dec 30 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
The tax judiciary is a guarantee of economic rights and freedoms in Iraq

The tax legal system, with its rules relating to imposing and assessing the tax and how to collect it, is one of the issues that the taxpayer is keen to follow-up on and caring about, but the aforementioned system is contested by two conflicting interests, the taxpayer’s interest in the view of a money-cutter and a means of always depriving of his wealth to the tax-imposing authority that It seeks to ensure the regular and steady flow of financial resources to the public treasury, which necessitates the presence of a judicial body entrusted with the task of securing a balance between these two conflicting interests from issues that consider themselves strongly in the tax field. It is one of the oldest human rights and public freedoms,

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 15 2023
Journal Name
Dirasat: Human And Social Sciences
Media Usage for Pope Francesco's Visit to Iraq March 5, 2021 (A Semiotic Study of the Photograph Welcoming Of the Pope)

Objectives: The research aims to highlight the semiotic approach and apply it to a photograph of the Pope's reception at Baghdad International Airport, published on the page of the Media Office of Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi in the Twitter application, in order to study its components, analyze its contents and clarify its implications, as well as approach the image as a political and media act. Methods: The stages of research were accomplished by "investigation, observation, and analysis", and the dismantling of the composition of the photograph, thus revealing the hidden and hidden aspects, relying on the semiotic approach to analysis. Results: The study showed that the ideas and meanings included in the image in form

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Impact of Gross Domestic Product Response to the Money Supply Shock in the Iraqi Economy for the Period (2004-2021)

The research aims to clarify the response of the GDP to the M1 shock. It includes access to the results using standard methods, where the standard model was built according to quarterly data using the program STATA 17. According to the joint integration model ARDL, the research found a long-term equilibrium positive for the relationship between GDP and the money supply in Iraq, as the change in the money supply by a certain percentage will lead to a change in GDP by about 71% of that percentage. In the event of a shock in the Iraqi economy, the impact of the M1 will differ from what it was before the shock, as the shock will increase its effectiveness towards GDP by about 10% more than before the shock. At the same time, the relationship

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