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Auto Risk Analysis in Iraq
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يتنامى يوما بعد يوم استخدام السيارات وتتعاضم اعدادها ، فهذا هو عصر السرعة، وخاصة في مجال النقل والمواصلات، والتي تتحقق باستخدام وسائل النقل المختلفة ومن بينها السيارات، وبالتالي اصبحت هذه الوسيلة ضرورية لتحقيق هذه السرعة ومن ضرورات الحياة في انجاز الاعمال.

وتتبارى مصانع السيارات فيما بينها لانتاج انواع السيارات بمواصفات عالية من المتانة والامان والراحة، وفي ذات الوقت اصبحت هندسة الطرق علما متخصصا في مجال تصميم وانجاز الطرق الخارجية والشوارع الداخلية في المدن بهدف الوصول الى اعلى انسيابية في حركة سير السيارات والمشاة وبما يحقق اعلى درجة من الامان فيها. ومن جهة ثالثة يزداد اهتمام الحكومات والمنظمات والاتحادات الوطنية والعالمية بخصوص سن القوانين واصدار الانظمة والتعليمات والتوجيهات الهادفة الى رفع درجة الامان في حركة سير السيارات .

رغم كل هذا وذاك تتعاضم وباتجاه معاكس اخطار السيارات والحوادث المتحققة عنها ، وبالتالي تتعاظم الخسائر البشرية والمادية الناجمة عنها ، حتى اعدت اخطار السيارات من الاوبئة التي تعاني منها الدول ومظهرا معيبا من مظاهر التكنلوجيا مما حدا بالعديد من الباحثين والمنظمات والحكومات الى التصدي لهذه الظاهرة بالبحث والتحليل في محاولة للكشف عن اسبابها والعمل على تحجيم تلك الاسباب والقضاء عليها او تقليل الخسائر الناتجة عنها .

ويعد هذا البحث ضمن سياق الدراسات والبحوث التي تتناول موضوع تحليل اخطار السيارات ، الا انه ذو منحى مختلف بعض الشيء، اذ يعمد الى تحليل هذه الاخطار باربعة اتجاهات في ذات الوقت: الاول في في تحديد اخطار السيارات والاهمية النسبية لكل منها، والثاني في تحديد الاسباب الرئيسة والفرعية والثانوية لهذه الاخطار والاهمية النسبية لكل منها، والثالث في تحديد الخسائر البشرية والمادية المتحققة من هذه الاخطار ، واخيرا فان الاتجاه الرابع هو في تحديد اساليب مواجهة هذه الاخطار من خلال التصدي لأسبابها. ويتكون البحث من اربعة اقسام : تضمن القسم الاول استعراضا لمفهوم الخطر ومفهوم تحليل الخطر اضافة الى الاساليب العلمية المستخدمة في عملية التحليل، فيما يتضمن القسم الثاني منهجية البحث مستعرضا مشكلة البحث وهدفه وحدوده والاساليب المعتمدة في تحليله وفي جمع البيانات، اضافة الى عدد من الدراسات السابقة في هذا المجال ، اما القسم الثالث فيتضمن تحليل اخطار السيارات في العراق معتمدا على استعراض انواع الاخطار وحجم تحقق كل منها واهميتها النسبية وكذلك الاسباب (الرئيسة والفرعية والثانوية) والنتائج السلبية المتحققة منها واساليب المواجهة، واخيرا تضمن القسم الرابع الاستنتاجات والتوصيات التي تمخض عنها البحث.

 

 

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The political violence risk insurance A possibility of its application in Iraq
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Iraqi insurance market need to develop products and to find new insurance policies to cover the damages of the violence and political commotions dangers and to meet the needs of the proposers.                                       

 The global insurance companies recently issued such policies to pay the losses wich caused by the violent political acts of vandalism suffered by the property and investments wich estimated billions of dollars.                

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2018
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Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Business Risk Assessment Using Client Strategy Analysis Approach in order to Increase the Efficiency and Effectiveness of the Audit Process
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Abstract

This study aimed to identify the business risks using the approach of the client strategy analysis in order to improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the audit process. A study of business risks and their impact on the efficiency and effectiveness of the audit process has been performed to establish a cognitive framework of the main objective of this study, in which the descriptive analytical method has been adopted. A survey questionnaire has been developed and distributed to the targeted group of audit firms which have profession license from the Auditors Association in the Gaza Strip (63 offices). A hundred questionnaires have been distributed to the study sample of which, a total of 84 where answered and

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Financial Variables and Their Effects on The Development of Bank Credit and Productive Sectors in Iraq Using a Path Analysis Model
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This study aims to measure and analyze the direct and indirect effects of the financial variables, namely (public spending, public revenues, internal debt, and external debt), on the non-oil productive sectors with and without bank credit as an intermediate variable, using quarterly data for the period (2004Q1–2021Q4), converted using Eviews 12. To measure the objective of the study, the path analysis method was used using IBM SPSS-AMOS. The study concluded that the direct and indirect effects of financial variables have a weak role in directing bank credit towards the productive sectors in Iraq, which amounted to (0.18), as a result of market risks or unstable expectations in the economy. In addition to the weak credit ratings of borr

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Sun Dec 01 2013
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Oil Sector in Iraq (Reality and Prospects) Economic Analysis
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 In spite of Iraq's possession of vast oil wealth allows him to play an important role in the international energy market، he is still under the level. The production of oil doesn'<

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Use Risk Score Method to Identify the Qualitative Risk Analysis Criteria in Tendering Phase in Construction Projects
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The purpose of this article was to identify and assess the importance of risk factors in the tendering phase of construction projects. The construction project cannot succeed without the identification and categorization of these risk elements. In this article, a questionnaire for likelihood and impact was designed and distributed to a panel of specialists to analyze risk factors. The risk matrix was also used to research, explore, and identify the risks that influence the tendering phase of construction projects. The probability and impact values assigned to risk are used to calculate the risk's score. A risk matrix is created by combining probability and impact criteria. To determine the main risk elements for the tend

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2022
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Journal Of Engineering
Use Risk Score Method to Identify the Qualitative Risk Analysis Criteria in Tendering Phase in Construction Projects
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The purpose of this article was to identify and assess the importance of risk factors in the tendering phase of construction projects. The construction project cannot succeed without the identification and categorization of these risk elements. In this article, a questionnaire for likelihood and impact was designed and distributed to a panel of specialists to analyze risk factors. The risk matrix was also used to research, explore, and identify the risks that influence the tendering phase of construction projects. The probability and impact values assigned to risk are used to calculate the risk's score. A risk matrix is created by combining probability and impact criteria. To determine the main risk elements for the tender phase of

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use sensitivity analysis in evaluating projects Investment under the conditions of risk and uncertainty Case study of glass bottles project in Anbar province
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This paper studies the investment project evaluation under the condition of uncertainty. Evaluation of investment project under risk and uncertainty is possible to be carried out through application of various methods and techniques. The best known methods are : Risk-adjusted discount rate , certainty equivalent method , Sensitivity analysis and Simulation method The objective of this study is using the sensitivity analysis in evaluation Glass Bottles project  in Anbar province under the condition of risk and uncertainty.

After applying sensitivity analysis we found that the glass bottles project  sensitive to the following factors (cash flow, the cost of investment, and the pro

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2015
Journal Name
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A Comparison Between Some Estimator Methods of Linear Regression Model With Auto-Correlated Errors With Application Data for the Wheat in Iraq
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This research a study model of linear regression problem of autocorrelation of random error is spread when a normal distribution as used in linear regression analysis for relationship between variables and through this relationship can predict the value of a variable with the values of other variables, and was comparing methods (method of least squares, method of the average un-weighted, Thiel method and Laplace method) using the mean square error (MSE) boxes and simulation and the study included fore sizes of samples (15, 30, 60, 100). The results showed that the least-squares method is best, applying the fore methods of buckwheat production data and the cultivated area of the provinces of Iraq for years (2010), (2011), (2012),

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
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The Bayesian Estimation in Competing Risks Analysis for Discrete Survival Data under Dynamic Methodology with Application to Dialysis Patients in Basra/ Iraq
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Survival analysis is one of the types of data analysis that describes the time period until the occurrence of an event of interest such as death or other events of importance in determining what will happen to the phenomenon studied. There may be more than one endpoint for the event, in which case it is called Competing risks. The purpose of this research is to apply the dynamic approach in the analysis of discrete survival time in order to estimate the effect of covariates over time, as well as modeling the nonlinear relationship between the covariates and the discrete hazard function through the use of the multinomial logistic model and the multivariate Cox model. For the purpose of conducting the estimation process for both the discrete

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Study of the imperatives of promoting financial inclusion in Iraq: Opportunities and challenges
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The aim of the research is to provide an analytical study to promote financial inclusion in Iraq by clarifying the opportunities and challenges of the economic and demographic situation in Iraq, studying the structure of the financial system and introducing non-bank financial institutions operating in Iraq, and using the descriptive approach. Analytical in the study of the phenomenon of research, the research reached a number of conclusions, the most prominent of which were:

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