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The construction of Investment Portfolios in the Iraq Stock Exchange: Market Timing Vs. an Efficient Selection

Abstract

         Uncertainty, the deeply-rooted fact that surrounding the investment environment, especially the stock market which just prices have taken a specific trend until they moved to another one for its up or down. This means that the volatility characteristic of financial market requires the rational investor an argument led towards the adoption of planned acts to gain greater benefit in the goal of wealth maximizing. There is no possibility to achieve this goal without the burden of uncertainty and the risk of systematic fluctuations of investment returns in the financial market after the facts of  efficient diversification have proved the removal possibility of unsystematic fluctuations in stock returns. As long as the investor has ambition since his first nature questing to maximize the benefit of his limited resources, he has no way but to try to ease that volatility and restrain it to the extent that it guarantees to achieve acceptable returns on the acquisition of shares as a compensation for bearing the risk of investment. Perhaps the investor has an options that appear in the form of an efficient portfolio construction or market timing in accordance with its ups and downs and what could be resulted from those options on the performance of the portfolio.

         The Iraqi investor may face in the Iraq market Exchange the same problem to be the cause of a motivation to make a trade-off between the market timing and an efficient portfolio in light of the Iraqi financial market conditions. Accordingly, this problem has been tested in the Iraq market Exchange, including the listed companies which have stocks traded at its seven economic sectors maintained a continuation of the traded regularly for the duration of the research were the monthly returns being used between the years (2008-2009) for the construction of investment portfolios and measure their performance using the Treynor Index. The (Fabozzi & Francis, 1977) model was used to determine market trends in terms of the rise and fall and then to build equity portfolios according to market timing, and the (Simple Ranking Model, 1976) for the construction of an efficient selected portfolio. Among the several conclusions that were reached was the fall in market timing performance of the portfolio compared to the portfolio of an efficient selection. This suggests the difficulty of timing the Iraq market Exchange as far as the time frame covered by the research, and therefore need to heed the efficient selection of the components of the portfolio that the testing results  have proven high levels of performance in light of market volatility in both directions upward and downward , and in a manner which is consistent with what is the prevailing prepositions in the financial thought that ensure the efficient portfolio for the investor to achieve the best trade-off between risk and return, especially when there is a valid trade-off between them with no longer need to decrease the risk of the portfolio to the lowest levels.

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Publication Date
Fri May 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
The legal effect of Licensing contracts in the field of oil investment

Iraq is currently the third largest oil reserves in the world after Saudi Arabia and Iran, which is estimated at (115) billion barrels, in addition to the gas reserves of (119) trillion cubic meters so foreign oil companies have been competing for contracts to participate in production and technical service for years to sign the cost of operations The high productivity, which is based on the payment of the term, which leads to raising the cost of production per barrel, which comes mainly from the employment of foreign workers with high salaries and the provision of local services of high standard and purchase of commodity and consulting services worth hundreds of millions of dollars. And the presence of maneuvering and manipulation by fo

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
THE REALITY OF THE AGRICULTURL SECTOR IN IRAQ AND CHALLENGES FACING THE FUTURE

سعي المجتمع العراقي منذ أكثر من نصف قرن مضى لإعادة استثمار عشرات المليارات من الدولارات من الإيرادات النفطية في القطاع الزراعي وهياكله وبنياته التحية، كإنشاء السدود والخزانات المائية واستصلاح الأراضي والمشاريع الإنتاجية الحيوانية والنباتية وبطاقات كادت تقترب او تتجاوز حاجز طلب السكان من الأغذية والمنتوجات الزراعية التي تغذي الصناعة الا ان الزيادة السكانية وتحسن مستوى الدخل النفطي شكلا انتقالا جدي

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 12 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Propose an Efficient Face Recognition Model in WSN Based on Zak Transform

The need for a flexible and cost effective biometric security system is the inspired of this paper. Face recognition is a good contactless biometric and it is suitable and applicable for Wireless Sensor Network (WSN). Image processing and image communication is a challenges task in WSN due to the heavy processing and communication that reduce the life time of the network. This paper proposed a face recognition algorithm on WSN depending on the principles of the unique algorithm that hold the capacity of the network to the sink node and compress the communication data to 89.5%. An efficient hybrid method is introduced based upon the advantage of Zak transform to offprint the farthest different features of the face and Eigen face method to

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 20 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The concept of peaceful coexistence and its obstacles in Iraq

This research deals with the study of the obstacles to peaceful coexistence in Iraq. Therefore, our hypothesis is that these obstacles are not attributed to one reason or to one source. Therefore, peaceful coexistence among the components of Iraqi society remains fragile and vulnerable to collapse and threat at any moment. This society, which is already in need of social relations, needs more than ever to coexist and consolidate it. Through the exercise of democracy in Iraq in a manner that guarantees rights and duties for all, to restore mutual trust between the components of this community in a way that feels they are citizens of the state.

 

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Legal Sciences
Zero budget and the element of its succession in Iraq

  The budget in general is a plan of action prepared by the government and works to submit it to the legislative authority for the purpose of approval, and translates its economic and social policy into annual digital targets. In order to know the effectiveness of the public budget, it must be linked to other financial planning tools such as foreign exchange policy and credit policy and measured by the economic and social results and not only financial results.

     And to avoid the shortcomings that accompanied the budget because of the use of the traditional method of balancing items and finding remedies to get out of the financial crises experienced by countries in general and Iraq in particular in the

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 28 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Public Relations Strategies in Building the State’s Reputation An analytical study of the publications of the website of the UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation

The aim of this paper is to know the persuasive methods and public relations strategies in building the reputation of the United Arab Emirates, since the UAE is progressing among the international indicators in good reputation. The researcher used the survey method, using the content analysis tool, to analyze the publications of the UAE Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation for the period from 10/1/2021 to 12/31/2021.The researcher reached a set of results, the most important of which are: The UAE Foreign Ministry relied on public relations strategies in order to build a good reputation for the country, as it focused on the media strategy and gave little importance to the consensus-building strategy, as well as focuse

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Performance Improvement of the Implementation of Concrete Structures in the Construction Sector In Iraq Using The Modern Management Technique “Six Sigma”

The reality of the field of construction projects in Iraq refers to needing for the development of performance in order to improve quality and reduce defects and errors and to control the time and cost, so there is needing for the application of effective methods in this area, one of the methods that can be applied in this area is the manner of Six Sigma. This research aims to enhance the performance and quality improvement for the construction projects by improving performance in the work of the implementation of the concrete structure depending on the Six Sigma methodology, and for the purpose of achieving the aim of the research, the researcher firstly depends on the theoretical study that include the concepts of qual

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Efficiency of public investment spending and its impact on economic growth in Iraq For the period 2003- 2013

Occupy public investment spending, a great deal of attention since the thirties of the last century, to play important role in economic and social development process and therefore most of the countries are trying different degree of economic development to the completion of the largest amount of public investment, especially in infrastructure, which is one of the pillars essential to economic development, and in order to maximize utilization of the completion of public investment should focus on achieving efficiency in completion.
    The current reality of public projects in Iraq, indicating the absence of several key characteristics that must be provided if these proje

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compared to the poverty indicators in Iraq in 2007

 

     There is poverty because of the difference in capacity and material resources, Previously poverty known on the basis of disparity between income and inadequate income. It realize later that fare wore effects of poverty is the erosion of human capital. The human poverty is the loss of food, education, health care and shelter.

     In order to provide a database that target the poor  , it have been propped a document on the features of poverty and the whereabouts of the poor and the rate of disparity between provinces.

    Here the goal of the research is the identify the factors affecti

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Tax Planning Policy Directions for The Development of The Tax Outcome in Iraq for The Years (1990- 2010): An Applied Research at The General Board of Taxes

The importance of research is to be considered by highlighting the tax policy in Iraq which extended for successive measurement of the amount of tax receipts for respective periods, the research problem represents security, economic and political issues that Iraq suffered which were very difficult since Nineties of the last century until now that led to a lake of clarity in tax policy trends, volatility in it and finally reflected on the tax revenues increase or decrease. One of the main recommendations of the research is: (The necessity to develop a deliberate strategy for tax policy in Iraq which should take into account financial, economic, and social goals in appropriate way).

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