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The construction of Investment Portfolios in the Iraq Stock Exchange: Market Timing Vs. an Efficient Selection

Abstract

         Uncertainty, the deeply-rooted fact that surrounding the investment environment, especially the stock market which just prices have taken a specific trend until they moved to another one for its up or down. This means that the volatility characteristic of financial market requires the rational investor an argument led towards the adoption of planned acts to gain greater benefit in the goal of wealth maximizing. There is no possibility to achieve this goal without the burden of uncertainty and the risk of systematic fluctuations of investment returns in the financial market after the facts of  efficient diversification have proved the removal possibility of unsystematic fluctuations in stock returns. As long as the investor has ambition since his first nature questing to maximize the benefit of his limited resources, he has no way but to try to ease that volatility and restrain it to the extent that it guarantees to achieve acceptable returns on the acquisition of shares as a compensation for bearing the risk of investment. Perhaps the investor has an options that appear in the form of an efficient portfolio construction or market timing in accordance with its ups and downs and what could be resulted from those options on the performance of the portfolio.

         The Iraqi investor may face in the Iraq market Exchange the same problem to be the cause of a motivation to make a trade-off between the market timing and an efficient portfolio in light of the Iraqi financial market conditions. Accordingly, this problem has been tested in the Iraq market Exchange, including the listed companies which have stocks traded at its seven economic sectors maintained a continuation of the traded regularly for the duration of the research were the monthly returns being used between the years (2008-2009) for the construction of investment portfolios and measure their performance using the Treynor Index. The (Fabozzi & Francis, 1977) model was used to determine market trends in terms of the rise and fall and then to build equity portfolios according to market timing, and the (Simple Ranking Model, 1976) for the construction of an efficient selected portfolio. Among the several conclusions that were reached was the fall in market timing performance of the portfolio compared to the portfolio of an efficient selection. This suggests the difficulty of timing the Iraq market Exchange as far as the time frame covered by the research, and therefore need to heed the efficient selection of the components of the portfolio that the testing results  have proven high levels of performance in light of market volatility in both directions upward and downward , and in a manner which is consistent with what is the prevailing prepositions in the financial thought that ensure the efficient portfolio for the investor to achieve the best trade-off between risk and return, especially when there is a valid trade-off between them with no longer need to decrease the risk of the portfolio to the lowest levels.

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 25 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Dialectic of the Living Body (the actor) and the Dead Body (the Sinography Item) in the Construction of the Staged Image of the Play: جاسم كاظم عبد - عماد هادي عباس

The current research deals with the dialectical relationship resulting from the conflict in the violent combination and construction of the living ( the actor)and the dead (the item) in the structure of the Sinography construction and the emergence of the theatrical play space , which can be summed up by the following question: what is the nature of the dialectical relationship between the living (the actor) and the dead( the item) in the Sinography creation, which limited the research in a central objective : to identify the controversy of the living (actor) and the dead (item) in the performance unit of the theatrical scene . The research, in its objective limits set forth in its methodological framework, analyzes this controversy in o

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The supervisory role of the central bank in the protection of commercial banks: An applied research in the Economy Bank for Investment and Finance

Represents a supervisory and oversight role of the Central Bank  towards finding a sober banking sector, as the procedures , regulations and laws that the Central Bank insists on its implementation with the utmost precision, and that was to protect depositors and shareholders' class basis rights, but it is in the interest of the bank in the end, as it seeks to improve the performance of commercial banks and vaccinated against falling into the blunders, they also contribute to building a sober and stable banking sector and security contributes to the welfare and employment optimization of economic resources, and treatment of research (and the presence of banks decline in financial performance, according to financial performance indic

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process FEAHP to Prioritize The Evaluation of The Main and Subsidiary Criteria in B2B Industrial Market Sectors – Applied Research

The research aims to define the main and subsidiary criteria for evaluating the industrial market sectors and proposing a model for arranging these criteria according to priority and knowing the highest criteria in terms of relative importance in the General Company for Automobile Trade and Machinery, and for the purpose of establishing this model, experiences in the concerned company were approved, and this study proposes a multi-criteria decision model According to the FEAHP, the expanded fuzzy hierarchical analysis method enables the commercial company to develop clear strategic policies on which the company’s management system depends on determining criteria for evaluating and selecting market sectors and making appropriate

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The role of tax exemption in reducing environmental pollution: An applied study on brick factories in Iraq

Air pollution is considered one of the major environmental problems that contain many challenges and difficulties facing most countries of the world, including Iraq. The problem has emerged widely with the emergence of the industrial revolution in the world and the tremendous increase in the population and the increase in the number of transportation and its development in addition to excavation, maintenance and work Construction and weather fluctuations, such as dust and sandstorms, pollution resulting from oil refining, extraction, diversion and other processes that cause pollution, and the start of the world using methods that limit the volume of environmental pollution. The most prominent of these methods is the imposition of

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 18 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
supervisory authorities role in protection the financial system " conservatorship model: an applied research in Albaraka investment bank

The conservatorship is a legal action to protect troubled banks from credit risk and bankruptcy risk that banks cannot hedge them .The Central Bank role has to protect the financial system from these risks by controlling and supervising. This research studied these risks and explained the role of The Central Bank. This research presented and analyzed the legal framework for supervision and the imposition of conservatorship bank to address the effects that have been achieved as a result of poor management and weak internal controls. Baraka Bank for Investment and Finance was a research sample to measure the financial ratios for the troubled bank, and analysis the results that led to put the conservatorship. The research depends on the hyp

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 23 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
An Efficient S.brunken Estimators For The Mean Of Normal Population With Kuown Variance

This  article  co;nsiders a shrunken  estimator  Â·Of  Al-Hermyari·   and

AI Gobuii (.1) to estimate  the mean (8) of a normal clistributicm N (8 cr4)  with  known variance  (cr+),  when  <:I    guess value (So) av11il ble about the mean (B) as· an initial estrmate. This estimator is shown to be

more efficient tl1an the class-ical estimators  especially when 8 is close to 8•. General expressions .for bias and MSE -of considered  estitnator are gi 'en, witeh  some examples.  Nut.nerical cresdlts, comparisons  and

conclusions ate reported.

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measure and analyze the relationship between oil prices and the Iraqi dinar exchange rate

In this research, we discussed and analyzed the relationship between oil prices and the U.S. dollar exchange rate in Iraq. The study adopted the descriptive analysis and econometrics analysis. The descriptive analysis refers to the rise (fall) in crude oil price lead to appreciate (depreciate) in the Iraqi dinar exchange rate, though the channel of the international reserves. The econometrics analysis is based on monthly data covered the period (December/2002 – December/2011), the unit root test, co-integration test, vector error correction model, and Granger causality test have been adopted in this research to check the existence and direction of this relationship. The results refer to the lon

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring and analyzing the relationship between the fiscal policy indicators and the bank stability index in Iraq for the period 2010-2016 using the ARDL model.

The importance of this research is to clarify the nature and the relationship between the indicators of financial policy and banking stability in Iraq, as well as to find a composite index reflects the state of banking stability in Iraq in order to provide an appropriate means to help policymakers in making appropriate decisions before the occurrence of financial crises.

     Hence, the problem of research is that the fiscal policy has implications for the macro economy and does not rule out its impact on banking stability. Moreover, the central bank does not possess a single indicator that reflects the stability of the banking system, rather than the scattered indicators that depend o

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Linking the Timing of Deposition and Organic Matter Richness of the Gulneri Formation of Northern Iraq to the Global Oceanic Anoxic Event 2 (OAE 2): Implications to better constrain the Depositional Models of Iraqi's Oil Source Beds and their Timing of De

Global oceanic anoxic events (OAEs) are events of immense importance for a variety of reasons. For instance, they are not only behind most if not all of the mass extinctions which took place during the Cenozoic era, but they are the harbinger for the world's best oil source beds, which humanity depends on to satisfy its energy need. In spite of this, there was little effort to document their presence in Iraq, to fill in for the void here, and as a first step, this paper will attempt to establish a cause and effect relationship between OAE 2 and the Gulneri Formation timing of deposition and organic matter richness. This was done by showing the prevalent occurrence of the globally known OAE 2 positive ∂13Corg excursion and the unique ro

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Societal awareness and its role in building the Arab state: an intellectual vision:

It is no secret to everyone that the Arab individual suffers from poor self-awareness and political awareness, which made the state and the importance of its existence and preserving its institutions not among his interests, which made researchers wonder about the possibility of strengthening it and the extent of its impact on the future of building the contemporary Arab state, so the study attempted Addressing the issue of community awareness and its impact on building the state through a clear intellectual vision that blended what is social and political to define the concept of community awareness and highlight its importance and role as a basic pillar in shaping and building modern Arab countries. In the Arab world and ways to enhanc

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