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Comparison for estimation methods for the autoregressive approximations
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Abstract

      In this study, we compare between the autoregressive approximations (Yule-Walker equations, Least Squares , Least Squares ( forward- backword ) and Burg’s (Geometric and Harmonic ) methods, to determine the optimal approximation to the time series generated from the first - order moving Average non-invertible process, and fractionally - integrated noise process, with several values for d (d=0.15,0.25,0.35,0.45) for different sample sizes (small,median,large)for two processes . We depend on figure of merit function which proposed by author Shibata in 1980, to determine the theoretical optimal order according to minimum value for Figure of merit functio, for several values for h (h=1 to) to compare between estimation methods  which used in this study. Also we based On Information Criteria which imply (Akaike, Final Prediction Error, Mallow , s statistic, Parzen , Bhansali). Addition to several Criteria based on values for estimation parameters such as Mean Error Estimation ( MEE ), Mean  Square Error Estimation ( MSEE ) and  Mean  Absolute Error Estimation ( MAEE ) .The results are obtained by using simulation  which is based on Matlab programms.

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 13 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Suggested method of Estimation for the Two Parameters of Weibull Distribution Using Simulation Technique
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In this paper, suggested method as well as the conventional methods (probability
plot-(p.p.) for estimations of the two-parameters (shape and scale) of the Weibull
distribution had proposed and the estimators had been implemented for different
sample sizes small, medium, and large of size 20, 50, and 100 respectively by
simulation technique. The comparisons were carried out between different methods
and sample sizes. It was observed from the results that suggested method which
were performed for the first time (as far as we know), by using MSE indicator, the
comparisons between the studied and suggested methods can be summarized
through extremely asymptotic for indicator (MSE) results by generating random
error

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparing Different Estimators for the shape Parameter and the Reliability function of Kumaraswamy Distribution
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In this paper, we used maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian method to estimate the shape parameter (θ), and reliability function (R(t)) of the Kumaraswamy distribution with two parameters l , θ (under assuming the exponential distribution, Chi-squared distribution and Erlang-2 type distribution as prior distributions), in addition to that we used method of moments for estimating the parameters of the prior distributions. Bayes

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 26 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Modeling and Forecasting Periodic Time Series data with Fourier Autoregressive Model
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Most frequently used models for modeling and forecasting periodic climatic time series do not have the capability of handling periodic variability that characterizes it. In this paper, the Fourier Autoregressive model with abilities to analyze periodic variability is implemented. From the results, FAR(1), FAR(2) and FAR(2) models were chosen based on Periodic Autocorrelation function (PeACF) and Periodic Partial Autocorrelation function (PePACF). The coefficients of the tentative model were estimated using a Discrete Fourier transform estimation method. FAR(1) models were chosen as the optimal model based on the smallest values of Periodic Akaike (PAIC) and Bayesian Information criteria (PBIC). The residual of the fitted models was diagn

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Comparison Study of Electromyography Using Wavelet and Neural Network
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In this paper we present a method to analyze five types with fifteen wavelet families for eighteen different EMG signals. A comparison study is also given to show performance of various families after modifying the results with back propagation Neural Network. This is actually will help the researchers with the first step of EMG analysis. Huge sets of results (more than 100 sets) are proposed and then classified to be discussed and reach the final.

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
(Structure Logistic Regression Model Of Anomalies Birth In Iraq Except Kurdistan Region, for 2015)
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Congenital anomalies commonly occur in humans, possibly visible. If these anomalies appear in visible parts in human body such as face, hands and feet. They may only appear after utilizing a number of special tests in order to show by means of the anomalies that occur in the internal organs of the body such as heart, stomach and kidneys.

    Research data have comprised accessible information in the anomalies birth statistics form situated of Health and Life Statistics section at the Ministry of Health and environment, where the number of anomalies births involved in the study (2603 anomalies birth) in Iraq, except Kurdistan region, at 2015. A two way-response logistic regression analysis h

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
About Semi-parametric Methodology for Fuzzy Quantile Regression Model Estimation: A Review
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In this paper, previous studies about Fuzzy regression had been presented. The fuzzy regression is a generalization of the traditional regression model that formulates a fuzzy environment's relationship to independent and dependent variables. All this can be introduced by non-parametric model, as well as a semi-parametric model. Moreover, results obtained from the previous studies and their conclusions were put forward in this context. So, we suggest a novel method of estimation via new weights instead of the old weights and introduce

Paper Type: Review article.

another suggestion based on artificial neural networks.

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of University Of Babylon For Engineering Sciences
Introduction to Methods for Simulating Urban Heat Islands: Subject Review
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Urbanization led to significant changes in the properties of the land surface. That appends additional heat loads at the city, which threaten comfort and health of people. There is unclear understanding represent of the relationship between climate indicators and the features of the early virtual urban design. The research focused on simulation capability, and the affect in urban microclimate. It is assumed that the adoption of certain scenarios and strategies to mitigate the intensity of the UHI leads to the improvement of the local climate and reduce the impact of global warming. The aim is to show on the UHI methods simulation and the programs that supporting simulation and mitigate the effect UHI. UHI reviewed has been conducted the for

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 01 2020
Journal Name
International Journal Of Nonlinear Analysis And Applications
Two Efficient Methods For Solving Non-linear Fourth-Order PDEs
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This paper studies a novel technique based on the use of two effective methods like modified Laplace- variational method (MLVIM) and a new Variational method (MVIM)to solve PDEs with variable coefficients. The current modification for the (MLVIM) is based on coupling of the Variational method (VIM) and Laplace- method (LT). In our proposal there is no need to calculate Lagrange multiplier. We applied Laplace method to the problem .Furthermore, the nonlinear terms for this problem is solved using homotopy method (HPM). Some examples are taken to compare results between two methods and to verify the reliability of our present methods.

Scopus (9)
Scopus
Publication Date
Fri Jan 26 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Remotely Sensing Digital Methods For Dust Storms Monitoring In Iraq
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In this research, attempt to overcome and quantities the problem of the large number of frequency of dust storms and the areas that generated and then identifying these areas in order to be held by the agricultural areas, as has been the adoption of many of the techniques and methods of processing image in remote sensing and geographic information systems and linking them together to identify those areas in Iraq or the neighbors, especially the northern and north-west wind of the fact that Iraq is in the northern and north - western most days of the year. Research has included the use of images from the satellite (MODIS) with quality (Aqua) and (Terra) with the assembly of the amount of dust, these storms, it was determining the values o

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 05 2010
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Volterra Runge- Kutta Methods for Solving Nonlinear Volterra Integral Equations
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In this paper Volterra Runge-Kutta methods which include: method of order two and four will be applied to general nonlinear Volterra integral equations of the second kind. Moreover we study the convergent of the algorithms of Volterra Runge-Kutta methods. Finally, programs for each method are written in MATLAB language and a comparison between the two types has been made depending on the least square errors.

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