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Stability testing of time series data for CT Large industrial establishments in Iraq
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Abstract: -
The concept of joint integration of important concepts in macroeconomic application, the idea of ​​cointegration is due to the Granger (1981), and he explained it in detail in Granger and Engle in Econometrica (1987). The introduction of the joint analysis of integration in econometrics in the mid-eighties of the last century, is one of the most important developments in the experimental method for modeling, and the advantage is simply the account and use it only needs to familiarize them selves with ordinary least squares.

Cointegration seen relations equilibrium time series in the long run, even if it contained all the sequences on the direction of random (non-static, and variables integrated of degree one), they although no sleep will move close together over time and be the difference, including a finger (1), thus the idea of ​​joint integration simulates a balance in the long run to interpret the economic system, is concentrated the main reason for the lack of balance in the inability of economic agents to adapt to economic agents with the information on the fly (2). There are an estimated cost of adaptation and that lead to determining the value of the dependent variable only through the value of current and past some of the independent variables in addition to the evolution of the dependent variable as a result of its interaction with the values ​​of the independent variables current and previous as well as the delay of the variable's in the form of short-term (dynamic). The addition of dependent variables with a delay to the form simplification of the model motor (which tend otherwise to the existence of a strong correlation between the independent variables with a delay) when the restriction (adaptation) values ​​of the dependent variable the current values ​​of the independent variables of delay works to reduce these limits in return for the cost of the border with delay.

On this basis, the application of the methodology, the researcher Engle - Granger (Engle - Granger) in the joint integration of the CT data models for large industrial plants in Iraq for the period (1990-2005) was cross-

sections so that the sector (public, private)

Where the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, has been the research methodology by showing the importance of research, which confirmed the account the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in the impact of the application of this method compared to compact way of least squares for fixed effects for the periods and groups, as well as the goal of the research and its premises and the nature of the variables used and where they overlap.

In the second section, the researcher introduced the concept of stability, and how to test the method of combining CT data and time series.
In the practical side, were presented results of the assessment of the variables used in the research and for the period (1990-2005), disaggregated by estimation method and the type of the function of each sector (public, private) separately.

Finally Showing researcher conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 18 2022
Journal Name
College Of Education For Women
Investigating Iraqi EFL Teachers Problems with English for Iraq Series
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Iraqi EFL teachers face problems in teaching “English for Iraq Series” for primary public school pupils. In this paper, the researchers are going to identify the main problems faced by our teachers and try to find solutions to these problems. To achieve the aim of the study, list of questions asked and from teachers’ responses, the researchers have got an idea about the main problems which are related to textbook material, parents, learners, environment and technology. Therefore, the researchers adapted a questionnaire to achieve the purpose of the study with some changes and modifications. This questionnaire with five point scale (strongly agree, agree, undecided, disagree, strongly disagree). To achieve face validity, the

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
Emotional Motivation in industrial products design and its reflection on the consumer
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This research discusses the subject of emotional stimulation factors through the stages of product design interaction with the consumer and what they reflect in the formation of a self-consideration of the design in his emotional memory regarding the specific brand through the following question (What is the emotional stimulus in the design of certain products and its reflection on the consumer during the processes of receiving and using it?), The importance of the research comes in the connection of design elements with many sensory factors used and motivating to attract the consumer to the acquisition of a specific design and the demand for its experience, the study aims Detection and access to emotional stimulation in the design of th

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The usage of accounting information according to (Demerjian.et.al) model in order to measure the efficiency of industrial companies listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange
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   The aim of the research is to measure the efficiency of the companies in the industrial sector listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange , by directing these companies to their resources (inputs) towards achieving the greatest possible returns (outputs) or reduce those resources while maintaining the level of returns to achieve the efficiency of these companies, therefore, in order to achieve the objectives of the research, it was used (Demerjian.et.al) model to measure the efficiency of companies and the factors influencing them. The researchers had got a number of conclusions , in which the most important of them is that 66.6% of the companies in the research sample do no

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 01 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Nonlinear Analysis And Applications
The use of ARIMA, ANN and SVR models in time series hybridization with practical application
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Forecasting is one of the important topics in the analysis of time series, as the importance of forecasting in the economic field has emerged in order to achieve economic growth. Therefore, accurate forecasting of time series is one of the most important challenges that we seek to make the best decision, the aim of the research is to suggest employing hybrid models to predict daily crude oil prices. The hybrid model consists of integrating the linear component, which represents Box Jenkins models, and the non-linear component, which represents one of the methods of artificial intelligence, which is the artificial neural network (ANN), support vector regression (SVR) algorithm and it was shown that the proposed hybrid models in the predicti

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Nonlinear Analysis And Applications
The use of ARIMA, LSTM and GRU models in time series hybridization with practical application
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The importance of forecasting has emerged in the economic field in order to achieve economic growth, as forecasting is one of the important topics in the analysis of time series, and accurate forecasting of time series is one of the most important challenges in which we seek to make the best decision. The aim of the research is to suggest the use of hybrid models for forecasting the daily crude oil prices as the hybrid model consists of integrating the linear component, which represents Box Jenkins models and the non-linear component, which represents one of the methods of artificial intelligence, which is long short term memory (LSTM) and the gated recurrent unit (GRU) which represents deep learning models. It was found that the proposed h

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The use of modern management accounting systems for continuous improve the performance of Jordanian Industrial Companies
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        The intensification of competition among all companies and at different levels has become necessary for every company need to continue to improve its performance in order to be able to face the competition and stay in the market. To achieve this, we must rely on the company's accounting information more accurate and appropriate and provided in a timely manner, for the purpose of use in planning and decision making.

So there must be information systems that help the administration to continuous development and improvement of the performance of companies in general, and this is what you need Jordanian companies, especially after the accession of Jordan to the field

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Muthanna Journal For Agricultural Sciences
Developing and testing of automated sprayer for agrochemicals application trials in Iraq
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The field experiment was conducted with the aim of developing and testing an automatic sprayer for agricultural spray experiments and studying the effect of spray pressure, spray speed and spray height on the spraying process. The effects of the major spraying factors (pressure, speed, and height) on the spraying performance of the automatic sprayer were studied. This study included several traits: First - the drop sizes - Second - the penetration of the spray into the vegetation cover - Third, the spray wasted. The results showed: - First: - Increase in coverage percentage when using the first speed, 2 km / h, which amounted to 26.85%. An increment in the spraying penetration of the vegetation cover was observed at the second speed

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 10 2009
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
Real Time Quantum Bit Error Rate Performance Test for a Quantum Cryptography System Based on BB84 protocol
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In this work, the performance of the receiver in a quantum cryptography system based on BB84 protocol is scaled by calculating the Quantum Bit Error Rate (QBER) of the receiver. To apply this performance test, an optical setup was arranged and a circuit was designed and implemented to calculate the QBER. This electronic circuit is used to calculate the number of counts per second generated by the avalanche photodiodes set in the receiver. The calculated counts per second are used to calculate the QBER for the receiver that gives an indication for the performance of the receiver. Minimum QBER, 6%, was obtained with avalanche photodiode excess voltage equals to 2V and laser diode power of 3.16 nW at avalanche photodiode temperature of -10

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Time Series Analysis of Total Suspended Solids Concentrations in Euphrates River in Al-Nasria Province
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The monthly time series of the Total Suspended Solids (TSS) concentrations in Euphrates River at Nasria was analyzed as a time series. The data used for the analysis was the monthly series during (1977-2000).

The series was tested for nonhomogenity and found to be nonhomogeneous. A significant positive jump was observed after 1988. This nonhomogenity was removed using a method suggested by Yevichevich (7). The homogeneous series was then normalized using Box and Cox (2) transformation. The periodic component of the series was fitted using harmonic analyses, and removed from the series to obtain the dependent stochastic component. This component was then modeled using first order autoregressive model (Markovian chain). The above a

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Simulation of myths in industrial product design "the seven eyes amulet as a model"
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The research is to identify the legend of the seven eyes amulet of Babylonian origin and the representations it carried of the link between the Babylonian past and the Islamic present presented in the design works of the promoted products, preserving its impact in the souls as a way to avoid the act of envy, and from this was the research problem that I want to get answers to, which That is (How was the legend of the seven-eyes amulet represented in the design of industrial products?), making its goal to identify how that legend was represented within the design work of marketed industrial products, and in order to reach the answer, the research presented many concepts starting with the legend in its various forms in industrial products.

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