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Stability testing of time series data for CT Large industrial establishments in Iraq

Abstract: -
The concept of joint integration of important concepts in macroeconomic application, the idea of ​​cointegration is due to the Granger (1981), and he explained it in detail in Granger and Engle in Econometrica (1987). The introduction of the joint analysis of integration in econometrics in the mid-eighties of the last century, is one of the most important developments in the experimental method for modeling, and the advantage is simply the account and use it only needs to familiarize them selves with ordinary least squares.

Cointegration seen relations equilibrium time series in the long run, even if it contained all the sequences on the direction of random (non-static, and variables integrated of degree one), they although no sleep will move close together over time and be the difference, including a finger (1), thus the idea of ​​joint integration simulates a balance in the long run to interpret the economic system, is concentrated the main reason for the lack of balance in the inability of economic agents to adapt to economic agents with the information on the fly (2). There are an estimated cost of adaptation and that lead to determining the value of the dependent variable only through the value of current and past some of the independent variables in addition to the evolution of the dependent variable as a result of its interaction with the values ​​of the independent variables current and previous as well as the delay of the variable's in the form of short-term (dynamic). The addition of dependent variables with a delay to the form simplification of the model motor (which tend otherwise to the existence of a strong correlation between the independent variables with a delay) when the restriction (adaptation) values ​​of the dependent variable the current values ​​of the independent variables of delay works to reduce these limits in return for the cost of the border with delay.

On this basis, the application of the methodology, the researcher Engle - Granger (Engle - Granger) in the joint integration of the CT data models for large industrial plants in Iraq for the period (1990-2005) was cross-

sections so that the sector (public, private)

Where the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, has been the research methodology by showing the importance of research, which confirmed the account the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in the impact of the application of this method compared to compact way of least squares for fixed effects for the periods and groups, as well as the goal of the research and its premises and the nature of the variables used and where they overlap.

In the second section, the researcher introduced the concept of stability, and how to test the method of combining CT data and time series.
In the practical side, were presented results of the assessment of the variables used in the research and for the period (1990-2005), disaggregated by estimation method and the type of the function of each sector (public, private) separately.

Finally Showing researcher conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 03 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of repetitive estimation methodsSelf-data

In this study, we review the ARIMA (p, d, q), the EWMA and the DLM (dynamic linear moodelling) procedures in brief in order to accomdate the ac(autocorrelation)  structure of data .We consider the recursive estimation and prediction algorithms based on Bayes and KF (Kalman filtering) techniques for correlated observations.We investigate the effect on the MSE of  these procedures and compare them using generated data.

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Industrial Development Strategy Until 2030

The research is a vision of the future of industry in Iraq, so it is may be outside the ceiling of the capabilities of the Iraqi economy, and therefore it is exaggerated. Therefore, future plans must be applicable through the availability of capabilities. Everyone knows that the financial and administrative corruption and mismanagement of resources are the main cause of the inefficiency of the industrial sector, and the failure to exercise its real role in achieving economic development.; as well as the political situation and the dominance of parties and their insistence on addressing positions that have a strong relationship in managing the economic sector that has a significant impact on drawing the economic map in its current

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 20 2011
Journal Name
المؤتمر الدولي الثالث للاحصائيين العرب
Use a form ARX(p,q) to estimate time series for the Iraqi Economy

Due to the lack of statistical researches in studying with existing (p) of Exogenous Input variables, and there contributed in time series phenomenon as a cause, yielding (q) of Output variables as a result in time series field, to form conceptual idea similar to the Classical Linear Regression that studies the relationship between dependent variable with explanatory variables. So highlight the importance of providing such research to a full analysis of this kind of phenomena important in consumer price inflation in Iraq. Were taken several variables influence and with a direct connection to the phenomenon and analyzed after treating the problem of outliers existence in the observations by (EM) approach, and expand the sample size (n=36) to

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Time paradox in the Iraqi feminist novel (2003 – 2013)

This paper deals with novels for group of Iraqi Women novelists published in the time period 2003 – 2013, and the functioning of temporal anomalies in the Iraqi Women's narrative.
In general, the novel contains structural elements such as: the characters, events and the places, these elements must be collected by an artist creating a complete work of fiction. However the time dominates the other elements through progression and regaining called Time paradox, it has a modern critical importance because of its impact in highlighting of political, social and cultural events that make up the fictional environment which cast a shadow over other techniques. And that it is clear in the course of the narrative.

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 25 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Hybrid Framework To Exclude Similar and Faulty Test Cases In Regression Testing

 

Regression testing is a crucial phase in the software development lifecycle that makes sure that new changes/updates in the software system don’t introduce defects or don’t affect adversely the existing functionalities. However, as the software systems grow in complexity, the number of test cases in regression suite can become large which results into more testing time and resource consumption. In addition, the presence of redundant and faulty test cases may affect the efficiency of the regression testing process. Therefore, this paper presents a new Hybrid Framework to Exclude Similar & Faulty Test Cases in Regression Testing (ETCPM) that utilizes automated code analysis techniques and historical test execution data to

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 15 2022
Journal Name
Al-academy
Bionic and its reflections in the design of industrial products

The current research dealt with the development of sciences and arts over the course of human history, and the development of sciences with their natural and human trends are important areas in developing the knowledge and application base for industrial product design and design in its various fields. Bionic science is one of the sciences that works on applying biological methods and systems found in nature to study and design engineering systems and modern technology, and for industrial products to be highly efficient, durable and resistant to natural variables in daily life for use. The transfer of technology between life forms and industrial products is desirable because the processes of development at the level of science in general

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 29 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Optimum Time Schedule for Industrial Processes (II)

The  present study  deals  with successive  stages  of  productive

operations happened to produce a production within each stage befo re it  moves to the next one. ll cou ld  be deduced that this study is an extension  to what bas  been mentioned  in (1 ) .ln  (I),  the  optimum distribution of  di!Terent jobs of  workers and  machines  in  the productive operations has been st ud ied whi le the study  invol ves the optimum schedule for the succession of these operations presuming that thay have already been distributed on machines and workers (2).A mathematical form has been put for this study to define the "Object.ive Function "

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Publication Date
Sun May 08 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
The environmental impacts of industrial zone in cities

ABSTRACT Studying the positive and negative effects resulted from the industrial projects and laying down the comprehensive planning bases to the urban development projects which insure retaining the social, economic and environmental development, taking in to consternation the time factor within the planning process which is considered the most important factor that determine the extent of the efficient selection to the site and not interpenetrate in the industrial activities and efficiency and calculating its future expansions away from the residential areas. It is more favorable to plan the industrial areas of apparent pollution outside the bounds of the basic plan to limit the negative effects on the environment and providing

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 08 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
Clinical presentation of Long QT Syndrome in a case series study in Iraq

Background: Long QT syndrome is an important cause of arrhythmic death, and it is characterized by electrocardiographic changes and a prolonged QT interval. Patients may present with sudden cardiac death, recurrent syncope, and palpitation.
Objective: Clinical orientation for the Long QT syndrome and minimizing its misdiagnosis to achieve high diagnostic index.
Patients and Methods: Patients presenting with ventricular arrhythmias, syncope, dizzy spells, and prolonged, non-drug-induced QT interval from 2004 uptil 2019 at Al Nasirya Heart Center , Al Sulaimanya Heart Hospital, and Al Nahrain Teaching Hospital were enrolled in this study. All aptients studied clinically and followed up. Management included beta blocker drug therapy a

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Some indicators of the economic productivity in the industrial sector in Iraq

Industry represents a cornerstone of the process of economic development and a measure of progress and contribute to increased prosperity and high standard of living.

The researcher analyzed the productivity indicators in industrial facilities large and small at several time periods ranging from 1970 to 2009, according to the economic situation that prevailed in each period.

    Different impact of periods under discussion, it made ​​Iraq the cash surpluses during the period 70-1980 then the effects of the war after 1980 and the economic blockade since 1990, and the subsequent events of the year

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