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jeasiq-720
Baghdad City Seasonal Forecasts Of Monthly Chronic Diseases patients Numbers Using SARIMA Models
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    One of the most important problems of IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY and all healthy instruments in IRAQ is Chronic Diseases because it  have a negative effects on IRAQI population, this is the aim of our study ,to specify the important Chronic diseases which make the population fell weakly, they are six diseases as the IRAQ ministry of health specified (  Diabetes, blood pressure diseases ,Brain diseases ,  Cardiology, Asthma, epilepsy) we got these data from IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY ,bureau of planning and studies ,for the period 2009-2012,as monthly observations , represent sum of peoples have chronic diseases in Baghdad .

     Our research object is to find monthly forecasts of peoples have chronic disease in Baghdad by apply Seasonal integrated moving Average modeling approach (SARIMA) for forecast , which described as most accurate methods for seasonal forecasting.

  We found forecasting model of Diabetes disease as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,1,0)12 ,for High pressure disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,2)(0,1,1)12 ,for Cardiology as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,1)(0,2,1)12, for Brain  disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,1,0)(2,1,0)12 ,for  epilepsy disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,1,0)(1,1,0)12,and for  Asthma disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,0,0)12 .

    We found monthly forecasts for patients numbers for all diseases under the study for two years 2013 and 2014 , the most important conclusion of the study is the appearance  of seasonality to chronic diseases in Iraq.

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
التشكيل الحضري و البصري للمدينة منطقة الدراسة مدينة بلدروز
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Publication Date
Mon Jul 31 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Effect of New Urban Transformations at Townscape of Historical Cities Urban Study of Alnajaf Historical City Center
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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Al-academy
the diversity of the extraction methods of calligraphic straps at Baghdad's mosques: جواد كاظم حداوي
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The art of calligraphy is regarded as one of the tremendous and distinct products in the history of Islamic arts through the unparalleled high ranks it reached to, until it gained Islam's indication and became a symbol for it, in terms of its function linked to the calligraphy of the holy Qur'anic texts, where this merit formed a strong impulse in seeking its development, the emergence of the calligraphic constructs, including the calligraphic straps, is one of this continual seeking products, and an advanced stage at the level of technical and expressive development, and also one of the natural results generated by the development of fonts and the increase of their employing methods through what they recorded at the level of formal char

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 2021
Journal Name
Review Of International Geographical Education
Application of strategic management in the colleges of Education / University of Baghdad
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A field study aimed at identifying the reality of the application of strategic management in the colleges of education/ University of Baghdad. The research adopted the descriptive analytical approach. The research community, consisting of 801 faculty teachers, has been identified. The research sample was selected in a simple random way and represented 15% of the research community, totalling 124 teaching members. A questionnaire was constructed that included (46) items divided between areas (strategic objectives, strategy planning and formulation, implementation of the strategy, and evaluation of the strategy). The honesty and consistency of the tool was verified. The researcher analyzed the research data using SPSS. The most important resu

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Comparison Study between Adipsin Levels in Sera of Iraqi Patients with Diabetes and Neuropathy
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The current study was designed to compare some of the vital markers in the sera of diabetic and neuropathy patients via estimating Adipsin, Fasting blood Glucose(FBG), Glycated(HbA1c) hemoglobin, Homeostasis Model Assessment Index (Homa IR ), Cholesterol, High density lipoprotein (HDL), Triglycerides (T.G), Low-density, and lipoprotein (LDL), Very Low Density Lipoprotein (VLDL), in sera of Iraqi patients with diabetes and neuropathy. A total  of ninety  subjects  were divided into three groups: group I (30 diabetic with neuropathy males) and group II (30 diabetic males without neuropathy), and 30 healthy sujects were employed as control group. The results showed a significant decline in Adipsin levels (p>0.05) in neuropathy, T2DM g

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 28 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
The effect of using special intense exercise accompanied by intermittent electrical stimulation to get rid of lower neck pain among professors of the College of Science - University of Baghdad for ages (40-60) years
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Lower neck pain is one of the problems facing all ages, especially the elderly, as it revolves around the causes of this pain from many diverse factors. The aim of the research is to use special intense exercise accompanied by intermittent electrical stimulation to get rid of lower neck pain among professors of the College of Science - University of Baghdad for ages. (40-60) years and to identify the extent of the effect. The research assumed the presence of statistically significant differences. The research sample represented professors at the University of Baghdad - College of Science who suffer from continuous pain for the period between (10/15/2023) and (1/15/) 2024) and their number is (5), The researchers used the experimenta

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 18 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Incidence of Toxoplasmosis in Psoriasis Patients and Possible Correlation with Tumor Necrosis Factor-α
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            Toxoplasma gondii is an opportunistic parasite in immune-compromised persons. The prevalence of toxoplasmosis in psoriasis patients is investigated. In addition, the treatment effect on psoriasis patients infected with toxoplasmosis through evaluating Tumor Necrosis Factor-α (TNF-α) cytokine levels is studied. Blood samples were collected from 130 individuals who involved 60 control samples and 70 samples with psoriasis. They attended Medical City Hospital in Baghdad province from October 2017 - February 2018. Then, the anti- T. gondii antibodies (IgM and IgG) and TNF- α in the sera were determined via the enzyme linked immune-sorbent assay. The highe

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 25 2021
Journal Name
الخصائص النوعية لمياه نهري دجلة وديالى في بغداد
الخصائص النوعية لمياه نهري دجلة وديالى في بغداد
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تعد دراسة الموارد الماءية السطحية من المواضيع المهمة وذلك لكثرة السكان وازدهار استهلاك الإنسان لمياه الشرب وفي مجال الشرب والزراعة والصناعة وكثرة الملوثات في المياه وكيفية معالجتها

Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الشباب والمشاركة المجتمعية (دراسة ميدانية في جامعة بغداد )
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The importance the youth because they are the fundamental basis of the development process so to be an emphasis on their active participation in community building . When there is community participation the democratization . Will tazzfa community because the process of community participation and develop the capacity to carry on almsoulin among young people and will lead to culture of self confidence and alhawwar walaklauah . Beactivted and community participation for young people through several channels . Family , school , media and civil society organization as we discussed in the research factrstnat hinder community participation of youth in development . The most important factors that hinder participating based on patriarc

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 29 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
مدرسو مدارس بغداد في كتاب طبقات الفقهاء للشيرازي
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The book Tabaqat al-Faqih by Abu Ishaq al-Shirazi (d. 174 AH / 4801 CE) is considered one of the important sources and dates back to the fifth century AH

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