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Baghdad City Seasonal Forecasts Of Monthly Chronic Diseases patients Numbers Using SARIMA Models
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    One of the most important problems of IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY and all healthy instruments in IRAQ is Chronic Diseases because it  have a negative effects on IRAQI population, this is the aim of our study ,to specify the important Chronic diseases which make the population fell weakly, they are six diseases as the IRAQ ministry of health specified (  Diabetes, blood pressure diseases ,Brain diseases ,  Cardiology, Asthma, epilepsy) we got these data from IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY ,bureau of planning and studies ,for the period 2009-2012,as monthly observations , represent sum of peoples have chronic diseases in Baghdad .

     Our research object is to find monthly forecasts of peoples have chronic disease in Baghdad by apply Seasonal integrated moving Average modeling approach (SARIMA) for forecast , which described as most accurate methods for seasonal forecasting.

  We found forecasting model of Diabetes disease as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,1,0)12 ,for High pressure disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,2)(0,1,1)12 ,for Cardiology as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,1)(0,2,1)12, for Brain  disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,1,0)(2,1,0)12 ,for  epilepsy disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,1,0)(1,1,0)12,and for  Asthma disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,0,0)12 .

    We found monthly forecasts for patients numbers for all diseases under the study for two years 2013 and 2014 , the most important conclusion of the study is the appearance  of seasonality to chronic diseases in Iraq.

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 14 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Measurement of radon and thoron concentrations of soil- gas in Al-Kufa city using RAD-7 detector
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This work represents the set of measurements of radon and thoron concentrations levels of soil-gas in Al-Kufa city in Iraq using electric Radon meter (RAD-7). Radon and thoron concentration were measured in soil-gas in 20 location for three depth of (50, 100 and 150) cm.
The results show that the emanation rate of radon and thoron gas varied from location to anther, depending on the geological formation. The Radon concentration in soil has been found to vary from (12775±400) Bq/m3 at 150 cm depth in location (sample K2) to (41.45±17) Bq/m3, for depth 150 cm in location (sample K20). The thoron concentration in soil has been found to vary from (198±8.5) Bq/m3 at 150 cm depth in location samples (K1 & K2) to undetected in the mos

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
مجلة العلوم السياسية
الوعي الطبقي في الفكر السياسي الماركسي المعاصر( نماذج مختارة)
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مثل الوعي الطبقي اعلى مراحله لدى الفكر الماركسي المعاصر عند كل من روزا لوكسمبورغ وانطونيو غرامشي، ليس مجرد انعكاس للواقع وانما يكون بصورة جدلية من طريق انعكاس الوعي على الواقع وإعادة انتاجه فبعد ان كان الوعي هو نتاج تطور الواقع اصبح أداة في تطوير الواقع، أي تأثير البنى الفوقية في البنى التحتية (المادية التاريخية) وعدت ان الوعي الطبقي الثوري يتحقق بشكل عفوي، وبذور انطلاقة هي الاضرابات الجماهيرية، وأنكرت دور

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
قضايا سياسية
الوعي الطبقي في الفكر السياسي الماركسي الحديث( نماذج مختارة)
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مثل الوعي الطبقي اعلى مراحله لدى الفكر الماركسي الحديث عند كل من ماركس وانجلز ولينين ليس مجرد انعكاس للواقع وانما يكون بصورة جدلية من خلال انعكاس الوعي على الواقع واعادة انتاجه فبعد ان كان الوعي هو نتاج تطور الواقع اصبح اداة في تطوير الواقع، أي تأثير البنى الفوقية على البنى التحتية( المادية التاريخية) بعكس ما دعى اليه ماركس، اذ أعطى لينين للوعي دوراً كبيرا في التطور التاريخي، وعد الوعي الطبقي هو الاداة التي

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
A traditional model of translation: Critical analysis: Традиционные модели перевода: критический анализ
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 The article critically analyzes traditional translation models. The most influential models of translation in the second half of the 20th century have been mentioned, among which the theory of formal and dynamic equivalence, the theory of regular correspondences, informative, situational-denotative, functional-pragmatic theory of communication levels have been considered. The selected models have been analyzed from the point of view of the universality of their use for different types and types of translation, as well as the ability to comprehend the deep links established between the original and the translation.

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
الرك للفلسفة واللسانيات والعلوم االجتماعية
فاعلية المواقع الالكترونية للصحف العراقية في تعزيز القيم الايجابية لدى المجتمع ( دراسة مسحية لعينة من جمهور مدينة بغداد )
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اصبحت وسائل الاعلام في ظل المتغيرات الجديدة قادرة على صياغة وعي وثقافة وهوية الشعوب الى حد كبير في المجتمعات المعاصرة , وذلك نظرا لما تتمتع به من اليات مختصة في التأثير والمتمثلة عموما في التكرار المتنوع للرسالة الاعلامية وقدرة الخطاب الاعلامي في معالجة القضايا المختلفة فضلا عن تقديم المعلومات وغزارتها وشرحها المستفيض , وقد بات من الواضح جدا مدى التأثيرات الكبيرة التي من الممكن ان يحدثها تعرض الافراد للمواق

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 20 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
PDCNN: FRAMEWORK for Potato Diseases Classification Based on Feed Foreword Neural Network
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         The economy is exceptionally reliant on agricultural productivity. Therefore, in domain of agriculture, plant infection discovery is a vital job because it gives promising advance towards the development of agricultural production. In this work, a framework for potato diseases classification based on feed foreword neural network is proposed. The objective of this work  is presenting a system that can detect and classify four kinds of potato tubers diseases; black dot, common scab, potato virus Y and early blight based on their images. The presented PDCNN framework comprises three levels: the pre-processing is first level, which is based on K-means clustering algorithm to detect the infected area from potato image. The s

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2010
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Prediction of Equilibrium Mixing Index and Optimum Mixing Time for Three solid materials in Fluidized Column
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     Equilibrium and rate of mixing of free flowing solid materials are found using gas fluidized bed. The solid materials were sand (size 0.7 mm), sugar (size0.7 mm) and 15% cast iron used as a tracer. The fluidizing gas was air with velocity ranged from 0.45-0.65 m/s while the mixing time was up to 10 minutes. The mixing index for each experiment was calculated by averaging the results of 10 samples taken from different radial and axial positions in fluidized QVF column 150 mm ID and 900 mm height.

     The experimental results were used in solving a mathematical model of mixing rate and mixing index at an equilibrium proposed by Rose. The results show that mixing index increases with inc

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2009
Journal Name
Iraqi Postgraduate Medical J
Scarring and none scarring facial Acne vulgaris and the frequency of associated skin diseases
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S Khalifa E, AH Khalil I, N Adil A, AB Razan A…, 2009

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Publication Date
Fri May 20 2022
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Potential Influence of Parasitic Diseases as Protective Agents from Infection with Pandemic COVID-19
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Parasitic diseases can affect infection with COVID-19 obviously, as protective agents, or by reducing severity of this viral infection. This current review mentions the common symptoms between human parasites and symptoms of COVID-19, and explains the mechanism actions of parasites, which may prevent or reduce severity of this viral infection. Pre-existing parasitic infections provide prohibition against pathogenicity of COVID-19, by altering the balance of gut microbiota that can vary the immune response to this virus infection.  

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Iraqi Postgraduate Medical Journal
Scarring and None Scarring Facial Acne Vulgaris and the Frequency of Associated Skin Diseases
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BSTRACT: BACKGROUND: Acne vulgaris(AV)is chronic inflammatory disease of pilosebaceous unit of young people. Patients with acne with or with out scarring might differ in regard to their immunological background from those free from acne. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the problem of facial AV especially patients with scarring and to determine the frequency of associated skin diseases and to be compared with acne free control. METHODS: A cross sectional randomized controlled epidemiological study was conducted from Oct.2005-Oct. 2006.Three hundred students from Basra University; 132 (44%) males and 168 (56%) females were enrolled, their ages ranged from 18-25 (20.9±1.8) years. They were divided into: Group A those free from acne (98 individuals),G

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