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Baghdad City Seasonal Forecasts Of Monthly Chronic Diseases patients Numbers Using SARIMA Models
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    One of the most important problems of IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY and all healthy instruments in IRAQ is Chronic Diseases because it  have a negative effects on IRAQI population, this is the aim of our study ,to specify the important Chronic diseases which make the population fell weakly, they are six diseases as the IRAQ ministry of health specified (  Diabetes, blood pressure diseases ,Brain diseases ,  Cardiology, Asthma, epilepsy) we got these data from IRAQI HEALTH MINISTRY ,bureau of planning and studies ,for the period 2009-2012,as monthly observations , represent sum of peoples have chronic diseases in Baghdad .

     Our research object is to find monthly forecasts of peoples have chronic disease in Baghdad by apply Seasonal integrated moving Average modeling approach (SARIMA) for forecast , which described as most accurate methods for seasonal forecasting.

  We found forecasting model of Diabetes disease as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,1,0)12 ,for High pressure disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,2)(0,1,1)12 ,for Cardiology as seasonal ARIMA(2,0,1)(0,2,1)12, for Brain  disease as seasonal ARIMA(2,1,0)(2,1,0)12 ,for  epilepsy disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,1,0)(1,1,0)12,and for  Asthma disease  as seasonal ARIMA(1,0,0)(1,0,0)12 .

    We found monthly forecasts for patients numbers for all diseases under the study for two years 2013 and 2014 , the most important conclusion of the study is the appearance  of seasonality to chronic diseases in Iraq.

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 14 2025
Journal Name
College Of Education For Women Journal
أساليب التضليل الإعلامي وانعكاسها على تشكيل الرأي العام دراسة ميدانية على جمهور مدينة بغداد
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،يريغت وأ ةلكشم وأ ةثداح ةجيتن ،ةعمالجا وأ درفلا هذختي فقوم هرهوج في ماعلا يأرلا دعي ةيوبرت تماكارتو ،ةيرثك تانوكم لىع هسسأ في موقي وهف اذل ،ةشاعلما ةايلحا تاقايس في لصيح فيو ،عمتمج يلأ يعماتجلاا لعفلا ةيصوصخ تاقايس بسحب يرسي ايرطف نوكي ام اهنم ،ةيفاقثو يعولا ةلاح تيبثت ديرت تاهج نم ةلعتفمو ةعنطصم تايطعمب اهيريست وأ اهذحش متي ىرخأ نايحأ ليكشت ةيلمع تنترقا ذل ،ةثدالحا كلت مهف ةأطو ليلقت وأ يريغت وأ فرح وأ ي

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Self-Efficacy and its Relation to the Cognitive Assessment for the Daily Disturbances for the University of Baghdad Students
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The current research tackles the self-efficacy and its relation to the cognitive assessment for the daily disturbances for the University of Baghdad students. Two criteria have been adopted to achieve the objectives of the research. The sample of this study consists of 200 male and female students who were chosen randomly. The data were analyzed statistically, revealing that the university students owned their own self-efficacy as well as a cognitive assessment for the daily disturbances and they recognized them as self-threatening. The results also indicated the existence of a prediction activity in the field of the cognitive assessment to the daily disturbances selection. In light of the acquired results, the study recommends the neces

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Publication Date
Sun May 05 2024
Journal Name
Review Of Clinical Pharmacology And Pharmacokinetics - International Edition
Emergency department presentation and management of patients with acute decompensated heart failure at the Baghdad Teaching Hospital
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Acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is a leading cause of hospital admission and many factors are known to precipitate decompensation. We aimed to assess the decompensating factors of heart failure and the management of patients admitted to the emergency department (ED). A total of 107 patients were examined, all diagnosed with ADHF in the ED of the Baghdad Teaching Hospital, from June 2017 to December 2017, and presenting with decom¬pensation (pulmonary oedema, peripheral oedema, and fatigue). The mean patient age was 62.5 ± 9.8 years (range: 43–85 years); the majority of them were in their 7th decade (37.4%), and men were slightly more than women. Hy¬pertension was the most commonly associated comorbidity (68.2%), follow

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 31 2019
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Using Zinc in Management of Subfertile Male Patients: a Clinical Trial
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Background: The use of minerals in treatment of different diseases is as old as man himself. zinc is the most famous trace mineral related to male sexual function. Oligoasthenozoospermic subfertile patients were treated with zinc sulphate for three months.

Objectives: Aim of the research is to investigate the role of Zinc and if it affects the abnormalities of some semen parameters and to study the possible role of pharmaceutical preperations of zinc in amelioration of male subfertility as well as to assess the ability of Zinc to induce changes in the serum and semen zinc levels in addition to the levels of reproductive hormones (FSH and Testosterone).

Type of the study:

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 25 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences ( P-issn 1683 - 3597 E-issn 2521 - 3512)
Evaluation of Hepatic Enzymes in major β-thalassemic Patients using Deferasirox
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Abstract

β-thalassemia major is a genetic disease that causes sever defect in normal hemoglobin synthesis. The patients with β-thalassemia major need periodic blood transfusions that can result in accumulation of body iron, so treatment with iron chelating agent is required. Complications of this iron overload affecting many vital organs, including the liver. The aim of this work was to evaluate liver enzymes in β -thalassemia major patients with deferasirox versus without it. Two groups of β-thalassemia major patients were involved in this study named group A; 40 β-thalassemia patients of blood transfusion dependent without deferasirox, group B; 40 β-thalassemia patients of blood transfusion dependent on de

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Student services provided to university students at the Faculty of Education for Girls at Baghdad University In light of the overall quality indicators
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The goal of current research is marked "student services for the university student at the Faculty of Education for Girls at Baghdad University in light of the overall quality indicators)" to identify the relative importance of the availability of student services offered by the College of Education at the University of Baghdad, from the viewpoint of the students. The research was Aaguetdy followers researcher Find descriptive approach to suitability research topic and in order to achieve the purposes of research, the researcher designed questionnaire examined consisted of (18) items and has been questionnaire on arbitrators and experts to verify the validity and reliability that's been applied to the questionnaire on a group of students

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 15 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
Hole Drilling of High Density Polyethylene using Nd:YAG Pulsed Laser
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This paper presents the theoretical and experimental results of drilling high density
polyethylene sheet with thickness of 1 mm using millisecond Nd:YAG pulsed laser. Effects of laser
parameters including laser energy, pulse duration and peak power were investigated. To describe and
understand the mechanism of the drilling process Comsol multiphysics package version 4.3b was used to
simulate the process. Both of the computational and experimental results indicated that the drilling
process has been carried out successfully and there are two phases introduced in the drilling process,
vaporization and melting. Each portion of these phases depend on the laser parameters used in the
drilling process

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Improving Wear Properties of 392 Al Alloy Using Centrifugal Casting
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The microstructure and wear properties of 392 Al alloy with different Mg contents were studied using centrifugal casting. All melted alloys were heated to 800 ºC and poured into the preheated centrifugal casting mold (200-250 ºC) at different mould rotational speeds (1500, 1900 and 2300 r.p.m).  It is clear from the results obtained that wear rate was dependent on the Mg content, applied load and mould rotational speed. Furthermore, wear test showed that the minimum wear rate was found in the inner layer of produced rings at mould rotational speed of 1900 r.p.m and Mg content of 5%.

 

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
An Overview of Audio-Visual Source Separation Using Deep Learning
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    In this article, the research presents a general overview of deep learning-based AVSS (audio-visual source separation) systems. AVSS has achieved exceptional results in a number of areas, including decreasing noise levels, boosting speech recognition, and improving audio quality. The advantages and disadvantages of each deep learning model are discussed throughout the research as it reviews various current experiments on AVSS. The TCD TIMIT dataset (which contains top-notch audio and video recordings created especially for speech recognition tasks) and the Voxceleb dataset (a sizable collection of brief audio-visual clips with human speech) are just a couple of the useful datasets summarized in the paper that can be used to test A

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 17 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Bioremediation of Petroleum Hydrocarbons Contaminated Soil using Bio piles System
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This study was focused on biotreatment of soil which polluted by petroleum compounds (Diesel) which caused serious environmental problems. One of the most effective and promising ways to treat diesel-contaminated soil is bioremediation. It is a choice that offers the potential to destroy harmful pollutants using biological activity.

Four bacterial strains were isolated from diesel contaminated soil samples. The isolates were identified by the Vitek 2 system, as Sphingomonas paucimobilis, Pentoae species, Staphylococcus aureus, and Enterobacter cloacae. The potential of biological surfactant production was tested using the Sigma 703D stand-alone tensiometer showed

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