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Crude Oil Price in its Global Market
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This paper addresses the factors responsible for changes in crude oil prices, in real market and financial sector. In order to prepare the analytical background for further investigation, it highlights the patterns of correlations of the real oil price and the most related prices of assets, exchange rate and government bond yield. The paper reviews the statistical behavior of oil price, quantities and the  global macroeconomic environment. Topics discussed include the theory of differential rent and scarcity effect ,the role of  future market and speculation, strategies of energy of the major economies to investigate the prospects of oil market and the potential demand for  OPEC's oil.  The paper explores the interrelationship between spot and future prices using daily data , explanatory power of real effective exchange rate in addition to conventional demand and supply functions. Although,  The paper finds regularities consistent with the predictions of economic theory, it concludes that the changes in real price of oil have historically tended  to be difficult to predict. Further research works are recommended  particularly in the areas of storage arbitrage and financial future contracts.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
تقديــر دالــة المخاطــرة المختلطة
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In this research we estimate the mixture hazart rate function and reliability function by using the maximum likelihood method and Bayes method.                          

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Technologies And Materials For Renewable Energy, Environment And Sustainability: Tmrees21gr
AIP Conference Proceedings 2437, 020060 (2022); https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0092690 2437, 020060© 2022 Author(s).Theoretical calculation of the electroniccurrent at N3 contact with TiO2 solar celldevices (3) (PDF) Theoretical calculation of the electronic current at N 3 contact with TiO 2 solar cell devices ARTICLES YOU MAY BE INTERESTED IN Theoretical studies of electronic transition characteristics of senstizer molecule dye N3-SnO 2 semiconductor interface AIP Conference. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/362813854_Theoretical_calculation_of_the_electronic_current_at_N_3_contact_with_TiO_2_solar_cell_devices_ARTICLES_YOU_MAY_BE_INTERESTED_IN_Theoretical_studies_of_electronic_transition_characteristics_of_senstiz [accessed May 01 2023].
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Theoretical calculation of the electronic current at N 3 contact with TiO 2 solar cell devices ARTICLES YOU MAY BE INTERESTED IN Theoretical studies of electronic transition characteristics of senstizer molecule dye N3-SnO 2 semiconductor interface AIP Conference. Available from: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/362813854_Theoretical_calculation_of_the_electronic_current_at_N_3_contact_with_TiO_2_solar_cell_devices_ARTICLES_YOU_MAY_BE_INTERESTED_IN_Theoretical_studies_of_electronic_transition_characteristics_of_senstiz [accessed May 01 2023].

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Applying some hybrid models for modeling bivariate time series assuming different distributions for random error with a practical application
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Abstract

  Bivariate time series modeling and forecasting have become a promising field of applied studies in recent times. For this purpose, the Linear Autoregressive Moving Average with exogenous variable ARMAX model is the most widely used technique over the past few years in modeling and forecasting this type of data. The most important assumptions of this model are linearity and homogenous for random error variance of the appropriate model. In practice, these two assumptions are often violated, so the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) and (GARCH) with exogenous varia

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