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Using Multivariate GARCH Models CCC (Constant Conditional Correlation) and DCC(Dynamic Conditional Correlation) To Forecast Iraqi Dinar Exchange Rate in Dollar
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Abstract

Multivariate GARCH Models take several forms , the most important DCC dynamic conditional correlation, and CCC constant conditional correlation , The Purpose of this research is the Comparison for both Models.Using three  financial time series which is a series of daily Iraqi dinar exchange rate indollar, Global daily Oil price in dollar and Global daily gold price in dollarfor the period from 01/01/2014 till 01/01/2016, Where it has been transferred to the three time series returns to get the Stationarity, some tests were conducted including Ljung-Box , JarqueBera  , Multivariate ARCH to Returns Series and Residuals Series for both models In Comparison with the estimation and forecasting based on criteria ,MAE,MSE , mean absolute error and mean Square error ,  respectively  Compared to the Suitability of these two models of the nature of the data and the ability to Capture the volatility. We concluded that CCC is better than DCC

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Effect of Adapting IFRS 15 on Auditing Procedures for Auditors in Iraqi Environment
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The purpose of the International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS 15) is to determine the basis for reporting useful information to the users of financial reports on the nature, amount, timing and uncertainty about revenues and cash flows arising from a contract with a customer. It is based on specific conditions for recognizing revenue from the contract. When the two parties to the contract or one of them fulfil the performance obligations, specifically after the customer has the ability to exercise control over the product or service that is the subject of the contract. As a result of the failure of the revenue reporting requirements in the Iraqi environment to provide adequate and honestly representative information on the o

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
Design and Simulation of Optical Element Use in Solid State Blue Laser Source
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Solid state blue laser source is a solid state laser include generation of IR laser light 1064 nm and companied with other wavelength 810 nm that invented from other active medium (Tm:ZBLAN) and non-linear crystal (CLBO) are used to generate fourth harmonic of the resultant wavelength 1874 nm that is blue laser light of 460nm. Several optical component have been designed by multilayer dielectric structure and anti reflection coating analysis. By using MATLAB soft ware, the simulation done and used the following non linear material (ZrO2, HfO2, MgO, SiO, Ta2O5 CaF2) and other linear material (ZnO, MgF2, GaAs, AlAs, BaF2, LiF, TiO2) as coating material. The result showed that as more quarter wave layers are added to the structure, the refl

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 27 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) Program and Water Quality Index (WQI) to Assess and Manage Groundwater Quality in the City of Baghdad
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Groundwater is an essential source because of its high quality and continuous availability characterize this water resource. Therefore, the study of groundwater has required more attention. The present study aims to assess and manage groundwater quality's suitability for various purposes through the Geographical Information System GIS and the Water Quality Index WQI. The study area is located in the city of Baghdad in central Iraq, with an approximate area of ​​900 , data were collected from the relevant official departments representing the locations of 97 wells of groundwater in the study area for the year 2019, as it included physicochemical parameters such as  pH, EC, TDS, Na, K, Mg, Ca, Cl,  , and &nbs

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
استخدام أسعار الأسهم العادية في قياس كفاءة الإدارة المالية في عينة من الشركات العراقية
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تهدف الدراسة الحالية الى التعرف على مدى فاعلية استخدام اسعار اسهم الشركات العادية المتداولة في اسواق راس المال لقياس كفاءة الادارة المالية، وذلك بعد دراسة اهم العوامل المؤثرة على هذه الاسعار، بالاضافة الى محاولة اعطاء فكرة مختصرة عن مفهوم الاسهم العادية وبعض الامور المتعلقة بها، اما الجانب التطبيقي فقد تم اخذ اسعار الاسهم العادية لعينة من الشركات العراقية واجراء مقارنة بينها وبين القيمة الدفترية لها ومن

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
تطور مفهوم ألذات وعلاقته ببعض المتغيرات العقلية
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تظهر اهمية مفهوم ألذات من حيث انه احد دوافع الفرد الداخلية التي لها تأثير معين على التحصيل الدراسي لدى التلاميذ وعلى تكيفهم مع بيئتهم التربوية أثناء الدراسة، لذلك فان معرفة كيفية قياس مفهوم ألذات وأدراك الفرد لذاته تساعد في عملية تقويم الفرد من حيث قدرته على التكييف وثقته بنفسه كما تفيد في التخطيط عن طريق وضع برامج تساعده في زيادة مفهوم ذاته عن نفسه.

ومما لاشك فيه ان مرحلة الطفولة لها اهمية

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
قلق المستقبل عند الشباب وعلاقته ببعض المتغيرات
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At the present time, human lives in a changable world. Complexity of life effects human who became unable to achieve his goals. For him, goals are no longer able to provide him with calm and psychological safty. Anxiety about indefinite future and any changes which transend his ablity to cooperate with affeets his life in general aspeets.

     All these things bring him a very sever tention, then he becomes extremace in his cooperation with these situations. He tends to live a lone in order to be a way from sequenees of changes. Starting from this urgent point, future compnses the core in youth's life, then so many theories and studies affirm this point, and the necessity for mahing sc

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Yemeni political system: a study of the internal variables
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النظام السياسي اليمني : دراسة في المتغيرات الداخلية

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Organizational Transparency influence in reducing administrative corruption financially studing analytcal analysts of the same man from the upper leaders in iraqi Organizations
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The Organizational Transparency is regarded one of the effective means in the attempts of the restoration and working to prevent the corruption and reduce the negative managerial economic social and political effects.

Accordingly, this study aims at importance of performing an explorative analytical study in order to stand on the effect of the Organizational Transparency in the reduction of environment of Iraqi Organizations.

To achieve this study, three hypotheses were chosen; the first is the correlation relation and the second is the effect and the third is the differences, and statistical means represented by correlation coefficient "Spearman", "", "Mann- Whit

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 31 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Seemingly Unrelated Regression Model to Measure the Profitability of Some Iraqi Private Commercial Banks with Presence of Outliers
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A seemingly uncorrelated regression (SUR) model is a special case of multivariate models, in which the error terms in these equations are contemporaneously related. The method estimator (GLS) is efficient because it takes into account the covariance structure of errors, but it is also very sensitive to outliers. The robust SUR estimator can dealing outliers. We propose two robust methods for calculating the estimator, which are (S-Estimations, and FastSUR). We find that it significantly improved the quality of SUR model estimates. In addition, the results gave the FastSUR method superiority over the S method in dealing with outliers contained in the data set, as it has lower (MSE and RMSE) and higher (R-Squared and R-Square Adjus

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Aip Conference Proceedings
Theoretical study of electronic transfer current rate at dye-sensitized solar cells
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