Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-518
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
...Show More Authors

Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Minor fatwas of the star of religion special Khwarizmi (v ....... e) Matters in the Book of Rentals
...Show More Authors

Scholars have inherited a tremendous wealth in all sciences and knowledge, especially jurisprudence; therefore, the students of forensic science had to execute this precious heritage, achieving a serious scientific investigation; So I opted for the realization of this part of the Book of Leasing for the small book of fatwas of Yusuf bin Ahmed al-Khasi.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Feb 28 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Impact of the Strategy of Cooperative Integration of Fragmented Information in the Acquisition of Physical Concepts and Science Processes among Fourth Scientific Students
...Show More Authors

The current research aims to reveal the impact of the strategy of cooperative integration of fragmented information in the acquisition of physical concepts and science processes among fourth scientific students through the null hypotheses:

1- There is no statistically significant difference at the level of significance (0.05) between the average grades of female students of the experimental group studying physics according to the strategy of cooperative integration of fragmented information and those who follow the traditional method in the test of acquiring physical concepts.

2-There is no statistically significant difference at the level of indication (0.05) between the average grades of female students of the experimen

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Degree of Practicing of the Sixth Primary Social Studies’ Teachers in Iraq for the Principles of Active Learning from their Point of view
...Show More Authors

This study aimed to explore The Degree of Practicing of the Sixth Primary Social Studies’ Teachers in Iraq for the Principles of Active Learning from their Point of view

The study society consisted of 230 male and femalesocial studiesteachers’ subjects for the sixth primary grade in Al-Anbar General Directorate of Education. 160 of them were selected to represent the sample of the study with a percent of (70%) from the original society. To achieve the aims of the study, the researchers prepared a questionnaire consisting of (43) items which represented the active learning principles. The validity and stability of the tool were verified. The researchers used the descriptive approach to suit the objectives of this study. &

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jun 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Background of the siffing Arbitration Agreement
...Show More Authors

It is important to set the background of stiffen arbitration agreement, to understand the real reasons of the fighting. When the Syrians began to lose, raised the masahif and made their announcement, most the qurrar, and so no need to continued fighting.

            In their view all that remained was the matter of drawing up formal peace with Ali, Muamiya; Ali would recognize as Amir al-muminin by both Syrian and Iraqis.

            The most of the Iraqisfavored settlement for different persons, for example-A'shath, the most power full of the clan leaders of Rabia, his interest by insuring that neither Ali nor Mu

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Properties of Tourism Services and Entertainment in the City of Baghdad ( Baghdad Island Park ,Tourism)
...Show More Authors

Baghdad Lake Touristic is suffering from a lake of tourism and entertainment services
efficiency provided to their visitors , knowing that this type of services as they are the basics
to achieve economic and socialist development because of their indicators where their goal is
to serve human in city as they represent lungs which population breathe within .
The Parks are resorted as human usually in search of quiet and funny places , away from
the noise of the city and its complex , as well as they give the city a beauty manifestations ,
that give happiness.
The study reached that there is deficiencies in service present, inability to provide
services and inadequate for the population and bad distribution. So the s

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Mar 26 2017
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences ( P-issn 1683 - 3597 E-issn 2521 - 3512)
Trend of Antibiotics Usage in the Intensive Care Unit in the Medical City in Baghdad
...Show More Authors

High frequencies of multidrug resistant organisms were observed worldwide in intensive care units which is a warning as to use the only few effective antimicrobials wisely to reduce selective pressure on sensitive strains.

The aim of the current study is to asses the compliance of the currently followed antibiotic prescribing pattern in the intensive care unit in an Iraqi hospital with the international guidelines.A cross-sectional study was done in the intensive care unit (ICU) of the Surgical Specialties Hospital, Medical City in Bagdad from the 30th of November 2011 to the 5th of May 2012.Patients were followed until they were discharged or died to see any change in condition, response to drugs, devices u

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jan 10 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Types of parallelism in the poetry of Mahmoud Darwish
...Show More Authors

This research deals with the study of types of parallelism in contemporary Arabic poetry and took the hair Mahmoud Darwish, a model for the study has been the goal of research to clarify the term parallelism and the statement of the most important types, said evidence of that in the poetry of Mahmoud Darwish

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Jan 05 2024
Journal Name
Al-academy
THE SYSTEM OF SHAPE IN SOME OF PICASSOS CERAMICS
...Show More Authors

Picasso ceramics represented illuminated sign in ceramic art and excelled in accord ceramic art dimension aesthetically, and put it in a new prospects, despite the simplicity of the forms turn into a magical images and multiple interpretations.
So the search deliberately to choose purposive (37) samples divided into four groups, as follows: -
A flat shapes / palets or saucers / the vases /modified vases .
benefiting from indicators were spawned from literature ,to analyzing samples within the totals for the identification systems act forming art work`s:-
(1)Picasso's ceramic work product of a deliberate process represented a capacity of technical experience, and formal
(2)The system configuration in the ceramic art works c

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Provisions of payment of the questioner in Islamic jurisprudence
...Show More Authors

God has honored the man with life and decent living and warned against attacking anything that violates his sanctity without a legitimate right. Our Islamic Shari'ah has the rights to preserve the right of a Muslim in the event of any harm.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Variation in the degree of Continentality climate of Iraq
...Show More Authors

This research paper is about thevariationin the degree of Continentality climate of the
Iraq during (40) years for a number of climate station. Using Poresof formula, it is found out
that the climate of Iraq ranges between extreme Continentality and very extreme
Continentality, and that the Continentality degree is characterized with extreme frequency
from one year to another. In certain years, the degree of climate Continentality decreases
while in other years it rises in such a way that there is no similarity in the Continental degree
from one year to another for the same station.
As for the general trend of the degree of Continentality, the last years had noticed
special variations, which are divided in to thre

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF