Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-518
Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
...Show More Authors

Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Credit Structure Patterns And Their Reflection In The Value Bank Applied Research on a Sample of the Iraqi Private Banks
...Show More Authors

The study seeks to determine the levels of credit structure (independent variable) depending on its components (loans, credit disseminate, other facilities) To get the eight patterns of the structure of bank credit for the purpose of assessing the relationship between changes in levels of each style of structure credit (increase or decrease) and reflected in maximizing the value of the Bank(The adopted a measured variable depending on the approximate equation of simple Tobin's Q) to determine the style that achieves the highest value of the Bank, to take advantage of it in management, planning and control by knowing the strengths and weaknesses of the historical distribution of the facilities . the sample of the

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Aug 20 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
A comparative analysis , for some Elkinmetekih variables , in the performance of the skill (Nick shot the front reverse ) , between the players of the Iraqi team and the Egyptian , for young people in squash
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Publication Date
Sun Dec 10 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
The ideological effect in the in Interior space structure
...Show More Authors

Design system often generated relationship within the frame work of their concept of interior design a system or more can be created between design relationships within this concept in the structure of its internal space product. Through the division of all to it parts to reveal the hidden places and stages of composition and their relationship and interdependence between them. And then re- composition of all its parts, doth in the deign process at the initial stages or in the processes of treatments that are necessary after the completion of design and circulation. To be able to use other events close to the first events designed for them. In terms of idea logical in fluency and its social, economic, cultural and political dimension. As

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of Techno strategy of Information management in achieving administrative innovation : A case study in the college of Management and Economics / University of Kirkuk
...Show More Authors

The present research aims to identify and define the basic dimensions of the information management strategy and the administrative creativity in the Faculty of Management and Economics / the University of Kirkuk, as well as the role played by the dimensions of the information technology management strategy in achieving the administrative innovation in the college and the research problem was formulated in several questions. The research problem was formulated in several questions centered on the correlation between the research variables, and the research was based on a major hypothesis and five sub-hypotheses emerged from which it was subjected to several tests to ensure its validity. The researcher used the descriptive-analyti

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Mathematical construct and its relationship with effective mathematical operations in both sides of the brain among students of the Department of Mathematics at the Colleges of Education and Basic Education
...Show More Authors

The current research aims to identify: 1. The level of mathematical construct among the Department of Mathematics students in the colleges of education and basic education. 2. The level of effective mathematical operations in both sides of the brain at the Department of Mathematics students in the colleges of education and basic education. 3. The strength and direction of the correlation between the mathematical construct and effective mathematical operations on both sides of the brain at the Department of Mathematics students in the colleges of Education and Basic Education. To investigate the research objectives, the researcher formulated zero-main hypothesis for each aim and from the same hypothesis, three sub-zero hypotheses are deri

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Apr 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Towards building an educational system free of scientific corruption (Applied study in a sample of colleges of higher education in Iraq within the framework of the government program and the directions of the Supreme Council for Combating Corruption)
...Show More Authors

Nations are developed with education and knowledge that raise the status of society in its various segments, beyond that it leads to underdevelopment and deterioration in various sectors, whether economic, health, social, etc. If we considered the general name of The ministry of Education & Scientific Studies, then the second part seems to be not functioning, since scientific research has no material allocation and remains based on the material potential of the university professor. As for the first half of the topic, the reality of the situation reveals problems related to the Holy Trinity of Education which is (Professor - Student - the scientific method) where universities suffer at the present time from this problem, and

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jan 02 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
A Psychological Reading of The Problem of the Black in John Steinbeck’s Of (Mice and Men)
...Show More Authors

The present paper applies Fanon Psychological reading of the problem of the Black introduced in his book Black Skin White Mask to Crooks, The black Character in John Steinbeck’s  Of Mice and Men. The analysis of this character infers three essential points regarding the artistic achievement of the author. First, he uses a fictional character that offers a psychological interpretation of the black problem of alienation and loneliness in a way that does not disgrace the black. Second, he applies Fanon’s way of showing the various attitudes that the black adopts in contact with the white society. Third, he affirms that the black inferiority complex comes as a result of double proc

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Literary Animal and the Grotesque Survival in Ted Hughes’s “Thrushes”
...Show More Authors

In his opus, Ted Hughes has annexed new and fresh territories of signification to the very notion of the literary animal. Building on the earlier modernist example of the Lawrencian legacy that dwells upon the question of animalism, Hughes seems to have stepped further into the terrain of the sheer struggle when, in his hands, the grotesquerie of survival and violence energizes the topos of the literary animal in his postmodern bestiary. In Hughes’s elemental poetic process this grotesquerie and violence stages the literary animal as a vital poetic device or motif that is finally restored to the primitive power of poetry. In his “Thrushes”, he thus defamiliarizes these tiny creatures’ acts of being to bring upfront into focus thi

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jun 16 2019
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The effectiveness of satellite channels in spreading the culture of volunteering among youth / applied study
...Show More Authors

The study deals with the effectiveness of satellite channels in spreading the culture of volunteer work among young people. It is an applied study aimed at understanding the extent to which the sample understands the culture of volunteering, determining the type of relationship between the satellite channels programs and the perception of the sample of the culture of voluntary work and the relationship between the characteristics of the sample and the effect of satellite channels in their directions, And to identify the relationship between the demographic variables of the sample and to participate in voluntary work.
A sample study was conducted for students of faculties of the University of Baghdad, consisting of (150) single male an

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Nov 09 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
The Effect of Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome on the Physical Status of Women in Reproductive Age
...Show More Authors

Objectives: To Assess the Effect of Physical Status of Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome on Women in Reproductive Age,
To Find out the Relationship Between Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome and Women's Physical Health (Acne , Hirsutism ,
Weight Gain , Irregular Menstrual Period),&To Identify the Association of Physical Status to polycystic ovarian
syndrome and Some Socio Demographic Characteristic (Age ,Occupation & Obesity ), and Reproductive
Characteristic(Gravida ,Para ,Abortion &Menstrual Regularity).
Methodology :a descriptive analytical study was conduct on Non-probability (purposive sample) of (100)women who
suffering from polycystic ovarian syndrome in reproductive age in infertility counseling from three hospit

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF