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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2010
Journal Name
Int. J. Adv. Comp. Techn.
Adding PC Connectivity to the MTS-88 Microcomputer Teaching System
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The MTS-88. c trainer is a training system targeting students in the microprocessors course. It has a built in single-line assembler allowing the users to enter programs in assembly. It has the problem that long programs cannot be traced and tested efficiently. A simple error may cause all the code to be erased and the system to stop responding. Also, this system lacks the ability to be connected to the PC. The aim of this work is to modify the system to make it possible to be connected to the PC through the parallel port. This gives the capability to download long programs to the system after being developed in the PC. The 8255 Programmable Peripheral Interface available in the teaching system is interfaced to the parallel port and used as

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Publication Date
Sat Nov 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering And Applied Sciences
Using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm to Address the Multicollinearity Problem
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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Use multi-goal fuzzy programming to find the critical path
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The exploitation of all available resources and benefiting from them is one of the most important problems facing the decision makers at the present time. In order to exploit these resources, it is necessary to organize the conflicting objectives, which is the main work in the project management, which enables the development of a plan that decision makers can use to shorten the total completion time and reduce the total cost of the project. Through the use of modern scientific techniques, and therefore the researcher using the critical path method using the technology of programming goals to find more efficient ways to make appropriate decisions where the researcher worked to solve the problems in the construction of the Departm

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Crisis Mangement Strategy Conceptual framing according to the Islamic perspective
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The research concern about the conceptual framework of crisis in the strategic view has become to mean opportunity to change not threat only. The research explains the multi stages of crisis & its characteristics that are difference from catastrophe and disaster. We rely on two criteria of classification of crisis (predictability & influence possibilities). Also there are sub crises with the main crisis; the important one is the Maida Crisis which is related with the informational dimension & the Psychological Crisis which is related with the Human dimension or the victim management. The current research aimed to develop crises management strategy according to Islamic perspective based on model of ( Augustine, 1995).&

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Alliance insurance companies with the banks to promote insurance services
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       Insurance companies seeking to develop programs to promote and market their services and to increase its customer through the use of modern technical marketing and reduce its dependence on agents and take advantage of work of the banks by alliances with them and including reinforcing get the parties to competitive advantages in the financial market , the insurance services intangible service stops marketed over the insurance awareness and   requires exceptional promotional efforts.                                   &nbs

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 30 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Distress disorder and the tendency to pray among martyrs' wives
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The research aimed at identifying  the level of Acute stress disorder  and orientation towards supplication among the wives of the martyrs and knowledge of the two levels according to the age groups, academic achievement and profession. Sample of (72) wife of a martyr, and the results of the research indicated that the wives of the martyrs have symptoms of distress disorder and have adherence to the supplication to alleviate that disorder, as well as the results indicated that there are statistical differences in distress disturbance according to the variable of age groups, the profession variable and the variable of enrollment The academic year. As for the measure of the trend towards supplication, there are no statistical dif

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Genetic And Environmental Resources Conservation
The study of food preference of Callosobruchus maculatus to five types of fabaceae
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Publication Date
Sat Nov 11 2023
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الامام الاعظم
Provisions for inheritance of agricultural lands (transfer of the right to dispose of)
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Agricultural lands have great importance in people's lives, and their exploitation has a great impact on strengthening the national economy. Therefore, countries have given great importance to this sector, and because of the importance of this sector, the state has given large areas of these lands to the farmers to invest in agriculture, and among these farmers are those who died and left behind children who took up crafts. Agriculture, for fear that these agricultural lands would be abandoned and turned into waste lands, a land system was introduced called (regular distribu- tion), which corresponds to (legitimate inheritance). Under this system, these lands were trans- ferred to the children of farmers who died so that the process of inve

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Entrepreneurship Organizations In the framework of strategic leadership practices Field research in the Ministry of Oil))
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Abstract

The labeled research deal with (Entrepreneurship Organizations In the framework of strategic leadership practices: Field research in the Ministry of Oil), Search over the possibility of the influence of the practices of strategic leadership Which include

(Determine the strategic direction, The discovery of the fundamental estimators and maintain it, The development of the human capital, and Maintaining of  an organizational culture influential, and Find a balanced regulatory Control) In a Entrepreneurship  in its dimensions and its (innovation, risk, pre-emptive and independence) On group of heads of departments and authorities

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The phenomenon of negative behavior has studied as a social and psychological phenomenon that effect on the performance and life of workers inside and outside the organization. The adoption of this phenomenon is studied in terms of the role of the interna
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The phenomenon of negative behavior has studied as a social and psychological phenomenon that effect on the performance and life of workers inside and outside the organization. The adoption of this phenomenon is studied in terms of the role of the internal environment of the organization in addressing this behavior, being the variables belong to the field of organizational behavior to see the results of those variables on the Iraqi organizations, since the specificities of it differ from the rest of the Arab and foreign environments. Therefore, this study focused on testing the relationship of the internal environment of the organization and its role in addressing the negative behavior of the workers.

thi

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