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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 24 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The rality of urban management strategies in the city of Baghdad
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Several studies have indicated that more than 600 cities in the world (intermas of rapid growth and development) will generate about 60% of international economic growth between 2010 and 2025 . by 2025 , 66% of the worlds population will live in urban areas the management of cities will face challenges that accompany this increase in the population which requires preparing to face these challenges and problems and the need to provide the aim of the research to know the readiness of Baghdad city to implement the strategies of urban management throught on asmple representing the ( Advisiry group for the comprechnsive development plan for the city of Baghdad 2030 and its supporters ) in the municipality of Baghdad and the number of

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 07 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Educational Implications of the Concept of Desertion in the Holy Quran
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The purpose of the present study is to identify the comprehensive concept of desertion through the Holy Qur’an and to derive some educational implications related to the concept of desertion and its editing. The also aims to explain the images and forms of desertion. The researcher used the qualitative analytical method. The study concluded that the comprehensive concept of desertion was represented in moving from the country of polytheism to the country of Islam, singularity, alienation, and isolation, leaving, repelling and showing off, abandoning the wife in bed, and reciting from the Qur’an recitation, action, and arbitration, insulting, abandoning, delirium, intersection, and manipulation. The researcher has drawn many education

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The role of satellite channels in the dissemination of consumer culture
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This study is concerned look at the role of satellite channels in the dissemination of
consumer culture that has become part of our everyday lives , which is a dangerous
phenomenon on society , so the study is aimed at introducing the concept of consumer culture
and the risks to individuals , which conducted a field study on a sample of students from the
University of Baghdad, as they represent an important category of the society they are a class
of young people to get to know the impact of satellite television on them through their various
programs and serials, films and ads may develop consumer culture they have , including in
respect of ideas and information , where the questionnaire was developed to ensure diffe

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
Representations of the Metaverse in the Works of Potter Jason Walker
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The current research studies (representations of metaphysics in the works of potter Jason Walker) a concept that refers to To a large extent, by conveying a sense of reality to the recipient by conveying ideas, contents, and connotations. A variety of center hit, dispersion, and rejection of everything that prevails, so our position on the closed text has shifted To the open text, through the role played by cross-pollination in the works of the potter (Jason Walker), which established a clear hypothetical vision of the image represented in the construction of the ceramic work and the thought that was embodied in that image represented by the nature of its unrealistic formations for those ceramic artworks. It is thus considered a logical

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The evolution of the press image in the Iraqi press (An analytical study of the pictures of the first page of Al-Sabah newspaper for the year)
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This research sheds light on the development that has occurred on the use of press pictures in the Iraqi press by analyzing the form and content of the images used in (Al-Sabaah) newspaper for the 2012 model. The researcher's interest in this topic for what represented by the press picture of a way to highlight and attract the reader's attention to the substance journalist who represents the goals behind the newspaper publishing.

This research is divided into three sections. The first one dealt with the methodological framework of the research, and the second part addressed the aspect of press pictures and its history and technological development, while the third section devoted to the study of the development of the form and co

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 30 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Statistical Equations to Estimate the In-situ Concrete Compressive Strength from Non-destructive Tests
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The aim of this study is to propose reliable equations to estimate the in-situ concrete compressive strength from the non-destructive test. Three equations were proposed: the first equation considers the number of rebound hummer only, the second equation consider the ultrasonic pulse velocity only, and the third equation combines the number of rebound hummer and the ultrasonic pulse velocity. The proposed equations were derived from non-linear regression analysis and they were calibrated with the test results of 372 concrete specimens compiled from the literature. The performance of the proposed equations was tested by comparing their strength estimations with those of related existing equations from literature. Comparis

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 03 2025
Journal Name
Circular Economy And Sustainability
Green Supplier Selection in the Iraqi Food Industry: Criteria Analysis and Barriers to Implementation
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This study explores the barriers to adopting green environmental criteria in Supplier Selection (SS) within the Iraqi food industry. It aims to enhance the understanding of sustainable supply chain management in developing nations, with a particular focus on the Iraqi context. A case study approach was utilized to identify eleven key green environmental criteria and 54 sub-criteria, alongside seven major barriers to their adoption. The Best–Worst Method (BWM) was employed to rank the criteria, and Fuzzy Stepwise Weight Assessment Ratio Analysis (SWARA) was used to prioritize the barriers. The analysis revealed that Environmental Management Systems are the most critical criterion for SS. On the other hand, legislation and policies emerged

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2016
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Spiritual Communication in Sufi Discourse- A communicative –Semiotic Approach to the Sufi Symbolic Image
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This paper deals with a central issue in the field of human communication and reveals the roaming monitoring of the incitement and hatred speech and violence in media, its language and its methods. In this paper, the researcher seeks to provide a scientific framework for the nature of the discourse of incitement, hatred speech, violence, and the role that media can play in solving conflicts with their different dimensions and in building community peace and preventing the emergence of conflicts among different parties and in different environments. In this paper, the following themes are discussed:
The root of the discourse of hatred and incitement
The nature and dimensions of the discourse of incitement and hatred speech
The n

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 31 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Optimal Indicators to Select the Engineering Consultancy Office For Higher Education Institutions in Iraq
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Expansion the engineering consultancy offices in the universities of Iraq, about (14) offices, leading to increas the competition between them, especially after the great trends of Iraqi government agencies to use the academic experiences and their efficiencies in general, due to non-existence of the engineering qualification in the government institutions to do the engineering designs ,supervision of projects and other engineering works which are practicing by the engineering consultancy offices in order to get the best performance of the work.Within this serious competition, needing a specific approach to enable government agencies to choose the optimal and alternative consultancy office to meet specific project and not rely on cronyis

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 01 2021
Journal Name
World Neurosurgery
Letter to the Editor: Cadaver-Free Simulation Training in Microneurosurgery: An Experience From Iraq
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