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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
the role of time management in facilitate the work requirements for employees of the administrative department at the ministry of higher education and scientific research
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The aim of the present study is to provide the adequate knowledge about the role of time management in facilitate the work requirements for employees of the administrative department at the Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research. The research depend on studying four important dimensions which are (time planning, time organization, time direction and time observation). In addition to study other five dimensions which are (new procedures, clear procedures, short procedures, the available information and the simplicity of the methods

used).Questionnaire sheets consist of (38 questions) distributed to (170) employees and (146)  sheets only were considered in the study. SPSS program was used

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Shortcomings mentioned by the Torah about the prophet Lot in the prophecies and the respond of Quran
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Praise be to Allah , and peace and blessings of God sent mercy to the worlds Muhammad
Amin and his family and his friends and followers to the Day of Judgement .
Savants Jews worked to distort the Torah calamity on the Prophet Moses ( peace be upon
him ) to achieve their goals and objectives , which are decorating sin to their followers , and
spreading corruption on earth, through the charge prophets Bmvassad , morality, as the
example and the example that emulate the human in the book of the Lord of the worlds and
their Prophet Lot, described the weak, and cheese, and lack of modesty, and disobedience ,
drinking alcohol , and his failure to raise his two daughters , Jews are corrupt in the ground .
Koran , which

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2020
Journal Name
Modern Sport
Special exercises according to the Dynafoot data and its effect on the force index and the performance of the front straight air flip skill on the ground movements mat device
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Publication Date
Thu Feb 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Evaluating the Observing Internal System in the General State of Taxes and its Role in Increasing the Taxes Revenue
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The internal observing system is considered a cornerstone for the high management in all the systems. It aims at defending the things for waste and increasing efficient and application the rules and regulations and constrictions. To easier for the high management activity in the internal observing system which in presented and practiced and to what extent can depend on it. Thus it goes to evaluate the internal observing system periodically to check the weak points in that system so as the find out the mistake, in the construction of the system or mistake, by indication of the workers. The importance of this study is represented in the need of increasing the coactivity in the internal observing system so as to be in touch with the new tre

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 27 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Effectiveness of PDEODE Strategy in Acquiring Historical Concepts in the Subject of History for Students of the Fourth Literary Grade
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The research aims to know (the effect of the pdeode strategy) in acquiring historical concepts among the fourth-grade literary female students in the history module. To achieve the goal of this research, the following null hypothesis was formulated. There is no statistically significant difference at the level of (0.05) between the average scores of the experimental group students, who study history according to the PDEODE strategy, and the average scores of the control group students who study the same module in the traditional way of the historical concepts acquisition test.The researcher chose the experimental method for the current research and adopted the experimental design of partial control with a post-test, which depends on the

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of the effectiveness of self-managed teams in improving the quality of services / an applied study in Ramadi municipality
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This research aims to identify the effective role of self-managed teams in the quality of service performance in the directorate of Ramadi municipality. The problematic nature of our research involves this main question of the effective role of self-managed teams in the Municipality of Ramadi in improving the services of performance quality to the beneficiaries from the Directorate service. The importance of this study lies in the role played by the work teams in the organizations that excel in their field, the attendant of the changes in the leadership, administrative roles of the institutions, and teams leaders, will be achieved by the self-managed teams in improving the quality of the service provided by the institution to whi

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 18 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Role of the financial Statements in Achieving of the Banking Supervision: An Applied Study in A sample of Iraqi Banks
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Banks are considered the main basis of financial sector ,so they must be submitted to sound and strict regulatory system and so as to ensure their operations and according to instructions and regulations , in order to maintain the integrity of the banking sector and financial sector in general .One of the importance regulatory tools that are adopted by the Iraqi Central Bank to control over the banks an financial and periodic statements that are provided by the banks in accordance with planned schedules .The financial statements of the banks must reflect clearly and accurately financial situation and the result of their activities during the period in which they represent to achiveing its purposes.So it has the goal of Search is statemen

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Publication Date
Sun May 08 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
The use of GIS in the analysis of existing condition of spatial distribution of wire communications network in the city of Baghdad
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The increasing efficiency of the telecommunications network in the city contributes to the increase in spatial interaction between activities (to influence and mutual influence) This study is based on the idea that the upgrading of telephone services provided to citizens are done exclusively through the growth and development of all levels of the service using advanced technologies to know the problems and appropriate solutions in short time and less cost. Thus, crystallized the objectives of the study which was built for the importance of GIS in the planning of services in general, and infrastructure services, in particular, including telephone services, which is represent a point of contact between individuals on the one hand a

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 07 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
(Love and Love) in the light of the significance of Quranic
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Thanks allah and peace be upon our prophet muhammed and upon his family and his
followers……
Love means in holy quran what comes to people s mind nowadays and what it inspired its
signi ficence is related with sensual desire and it means adore and passion .by the waythe
word (ishiq) adore wasn’t mentioned in holy quran which means that both of their bases are
farfrom each oiter in m eaning.
The significance of love means virtue while adore means the excess and desire so adore is
dis praised . as al askari said (died 395h )between love and adore.adore is the strain of desire
to get the purpose from lovers if it was ahuman who intended to make love affairs.
Today both of love and adore changed in their meani

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
His eloquence of Quranic verses in the verses of the Resurrection
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 The research tagged (eloquence of the Qur’anic verses in the resurrection verses) deals with study and analysis of the aesthetics of miracles in the Qur’anic poems centered on the horrors of the Day of Resurrection, and aims to clarify the role of the Qur’anic unique and its impact the miraculousness of the Qur’anic style systems, the accuracy of the unique selection and its wonderful harmony in form and content, voice and meaning, composition And a picture with its context and denomination; based on that, the research was based on the analytical method to reach its goal, and the research plan imposed its division into two preamble and two topics, the first topic dealt with: the rhetoric of the nominal Qur’anic verses in

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