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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Create sustainable value to the customer through the integration of the relationship between total quality management and relationship marketing
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Purpose: This research seeks to provide a point of view based on the creation of sustainable value to the customer of the banks in the context of total quality management and relationship marketing. It aims to develop a model to measure the value of sustainable customer peduncular under total quality management PAL (administrative leadership, involvement of employees, continuous improvement, process improvement, staff training), through the mediation of relationship marketing and objective dimensions (administrative leadership, involvement of employees, continuous improvement, improving processes , staff training), and to explore any of the variables and dimensions more influential in the creation of sustainable value to the cust

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 30 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Bayesian Estimation for The Shape Parameter of The Power Function Distribution (PFD-I) to Use Hyper Prior Functions
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The objective of this study is to examine the properties of Bayes estimators of the shape parameter of the Power Function Distribution (PFD-I), by using two different prior distributions for the parameter θ and different loss functions that were compared with the maximum likelihood estimators. In many practical applications, we may have two different prior information about the prior distribution for the shape parameter of the Power Function Distribution, which influences the parameter estimation. So, we used two different kinds of conjugate priors of shape parameter θ of the <

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Publication Date
Wed May 03 2017
Journal Name
Arab Conferences Network / American Research Foundation
Understanding the nature of science among chemistry teachers according to the AAAS document for the Educational Reform Project 2061
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Publication Date
Mon Oct 30 2023
Journal Name
Rare Metal Materials And Engineering
The effect of special exercises using the (Blazepod) device to develop the defensive player's movement for advanced basketball players
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The purpose of this paper is to preparing exercises for using the (Blazepod) device for advanced basketball players, and then identifying the effect of using the (Blazepod) device in developing some of the player's defensive movement for advanced basketball players. 12 players from the Adhamiya Sports Club, the category of applicants for the 2022/2023 sports year, where they were chosen in a deliberate manner from the community of origin represented by clubs, and the researchers used the defender player's movement test, and the results of the study showed that the special exercises prepared by the researcher using the (Blazepod) device affected the development Defensive skills (the movement of the defending player) greatly increased among a

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Self-Efficacy and its Relation to the Cognitive Assessment for the Daily Disturbances for the University of Baghdad Students
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The current research tackles the self-efficacy and its relation to the cognitive assessment for the daily disturbances for the University of Baghdad students. Two criteria have been adopted to achieve the objectives of the research. The sample of this study consists of 200 male and female students who were chosen randomly. The data were analyzed statistically, revealing that the university students owned their own self-efficacy as well as a cognitive assessment for the daily disturbances and they recognized them as self-threatening. The results also indicated the existence of a prediction activity in the field of the cognitive assessment to the daily disturbances selection. In light of the acquired results, the study recommends the neces

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The dramatic necessities of the Obligatory Scene in the feature film
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 Drama is one of the means of transmitting human experiences, as it presents within it the life ideas and visions of the spectator, who is subject to their influence on him, robbed of the will in front of its charm and various display arts, which invade him with its dimensions and affect his references, and this art form is based on stories revolving around personalities involved in events that have grown As a result of the struggle of two conflicting opponents, or two opposing forces or emotions generated as a result of a voluntary conflict, as this dramatic conflict represents the most important elements of those events, as it is embodied in an inevitable scene that emerges from other scenes, and this scene is sometimes subject to the

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Pluralism In The Interior Spaces Design Of The Baghdadi House
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Since his first existence on earth, human had formed a connecting link for a regressive, kinetic and developed relationship that comes from a semi-complicated interaction between natural environment and constructed environment, and this resulted in the survival of human and his existence continuance. Constructed environment enabled human to survive the natural environment inconstancies and enemies as predators, also it helped him to feel safe, comfortable and to practice his everyday life activities...etc. This alternative interaction resulted in creating a civilized legacy for a group of landmarks that tell about the development of this relationship by elemental output that reached us either by documents and manuscripts or as an existed

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The role of the Zionist lobby in the US policy-making
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دور اللوبي الصهيوني في صنع السياسة الأمريكية

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 15 2022
Journal Name
Al-academy
The operations of the hypertext in the contemporary Iraqi theatrical show
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The theater benefited from the concept of (hypertext) to create different virtual worlds. The four chapters of the research included the first (methodological framework), the second (theoretical framework) came in two sections (hypertext, its concepts and applications) and (hypertextual space in theatrical performance), and the investigations resulted in indicators, including:
1- Hypertext is interacting interactively, but it is organized by correlation as a basic feature that defines it with different manifestations.
2- The hypertext combines the word with other formative elements that reduce a set of tagged information (word, image, light, shadow, color, number).
In the third chapter (research procedures) (Lord play) was

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The composition of the fragmentary image of the actor's performance in the Iraqi theatrical show
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The theatrical image represents one of the tools of communication with the other to create a communicative language that is produced and transmitted by the actor and his body through the theatrical space to convey the meaning in all its forms and types. The actor is concerned with the composition and construction of these images. My girl, the image is fragmented and multiple and different. Therefore, based on the foregoing, the researcher has divided his research into four chapters, representing the (methodological framework). First, the research problem, which is manifested in the following question (what is the structure of the fragmented image of the actor's performance? The Iraqi playwright), and secondly: the importance of the resea

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