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Determine the best model to predict the consumption of electric energy in the southern region
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Abstract:          

                Interest in the topic of prediction has increased in recent years and appeared modern methods such as Artificial Neural Networks models, if these methods are able to learn and adapt self with any model, and does not require assumptions on the nature of the time series. On the other hand, the methods currently used to predict the classic method such as Box-Jenkins may be difficult to diagnose chain and modeling because they assume strict conditions.

               So there was a need to compare the traditional methods used to predict the time chained with neural networks method to find the most efficient method to predict, and this is the purpose of this study.

              Contributes to predict future demand for electricity in the electric power sector to solve problems through future planning to meet changes in the demand for electricity increases. Experience has shown there is no way of certain predict appropriate for all cases, but that in each case the way of a private predict is needed to find and use. However, taking more than one way may lead to raising the future accuracy of the estimates.

               The present study aims to shed light on some of the statistical methods used to predict future demand for electricity for the Southern District, as well as a reference to more accurate methods to predict the future of energy. It has been used a number of methods to predict , such as econometric modeling technique, style and Box- Jenkins method of artificial neural network. And service to the goal of the study, which is based upon the premise that search: the neural network models more accurate than traditional models in long-term. As it is the most efficient and more accurate than other conventional models in dealing with non-linear time-series data.

                We have been using the annual electrical energy consumption data for the Southern District to conduct a comparison of the program through the application of SPSS and Minitab for statistical analysis, and Matlab language has been used to build a program in neural networks, and through the practical application it was found that neural networks gives better results and more efficient than the classic way.

 

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 24 2020
Journal Name
Bulletin Of The Iraq Natural History Museum (p-issn: 1017-8678 , E-issn: 2311-9799)
NEW DESCRIPTION OF THE LARVAL STAGE OF LATIPALPIS (PALPILATIS) JOHANIDESI NIEHUIS, 2002 (COLEOPTERA, BUPRESTIDAE) FROM ERBIL PROVINCE, KURDISTAN REGION, IRAQ
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   The present study introduced a new description of the last larval instar of the oak tree borer, Latipalpis johanidesi Niehuis, 2002 (Coleoptera, Buprestidae). The larval specimens were collected from the oak trees within the mountainous areas, Erbil governorate, Iraqi Kurdistan Region, during the beginning of April till the end of May 2019.

   Schematic sketches were provided to illustrate unclear morphological features, and the results presented importance morphological evidence for confirming the identification of this species in the larval stage precisely.

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 20 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring the performance of government units according to the government accounting system
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Abstract

This study aims at clarifying the current performance appraisal system in government units and the extent to which they contribute to the development of the performance of these units by evaluating and measuring the performance of these units on an ongoing basis to subject their services to an assessment and measurement process in order to improve the efficiency of these units to reach their objectives efficiently and effectively. (Iraqi hospitals) by trying to determine the possibility of the government accounting system in the process of evaluating performance, through the comparison of financial performance for successive years and different hospitals using the financial and non-financial model of the evaluati

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
The Journal Of Law Research
Ensuring the right to private property within the framework of the imposition of the arraat tax
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AHA Al-Hilali, AAH Hamid, The Journal of Law Research, 2022

Publication Date
Tue Apr 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measure of The Capital Adequacy in Islamic Banc According to Basle II
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Capital Adequacy is on of the most importance of financial position element because its role is enhance against varions risks of Banking procese . Which this risks is a result of the nature of its operations , investment , Financing tools in addition , in order to  Faced any clients withdraws un expected .

So This study aim to measure The Capital Adequacy according to basel II and explin the different risk in  the Islamic Bank as aresult to nature and different investment and financing tools as participation speculation , murabah and natures of its assets and liabilities related to commercial banks .

Find out we concludes that the Islamic Banks needs to increase the ca

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
A Proposed Framework to Developing the Auditor's Reporting in Iraq in Accordance With the International Standards on Auditing
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The international reporting auditor witness rapidly developed over the past years, where profession began give attention to the development of auditor reporting and improve its informational report through the issuance and amendment of some relevant international auditing standards. The reality of the situation refers to the failure to inform the auditor in Iraq in  many areas, including: Clearly defined management responsibility for the preparation of financial and auditor's responsibility to express an opinion on these statements and Amendment of opinion when the financial statements as a whole is free from material misstatement based on the evidence is sufficient and appropriate audit, or not to build the auditor's ability to obt

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 22 2021
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences (pen)
MRI images series segmentation using the geodesic deformable model
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Publication Date
Sat Jan 02 2021
Journal Name
The International Journal Of Nonlinear Analysis And Application
Atan regularized for the high dimensional Poisson regression model
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Variable selection in Poisson regression with high dimensional data has been widely used in recent years. we proposed in this paper using a penalty function that depends on a function named a penalty. An Atan estimator was compared with Lasso and adaptive lasso. A simulation and application show that an Atan estimator has the advantage in the estimation of coefficient and variables selection.

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 27 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Efficient Iterative Methods for Solving the SIR Epidemic Model
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In this article, the numerical and approximate solutions for the nonlinear differential equation systems, represented by the epidemic SIR model, are determined. The effective iterative methods, namely the Daftardar-Jafari method (DJM), Temimi-Ansari method (TAM), and the Banach contraction method (BCM), are used to obtain the approximate solutions. The results showed many advantages over other iterative methods, such as Adomian decomposition method (ADM) and the variation iteration method (VIM) which were applied to the non-linear terms of the Adomian polynomial and the Lagrange multiplier, respectively. Furthermore, numerical solutions were obtained by using the fourth-orde Runge-Kutta (RK4), where the maximum remaining errors showed th

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Publication Date
Wed May 29 2019
Journal Name
Indian Journal Of Physics
Effect of lasing energy on the structure and optical and gas sensing properties of chromium oxide thin films
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Publication Date
Sat Mar 28 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Image Classification Schemes Based on Sliced Radial Energy Distribution of DFT and the Statistical Moments of Haar Wavelet
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Texture recognition is used in various pattern recognition applications and texture classification that possess a characteristic appearance. This research paper aims to provide an improved scheme to provide enhanced classification decisions and to decrease processing time significantly. This research studied the discriminating characteristics of textures by extracting them from various texture images using discrete Haar transform (DHT) and discrete Fourier transform DFT. Two sets of features are proposed; the first set was extracted using the traditional DFT, while the second used DHT. The features from the Fourier domain are calculated using the radial distribution of spectra, while for those extracted from Haar Wavelet the statistical

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