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Under Different Priors &Two Loss Functions To Compare Bayes Estimators With Some of Classical Estimators For the Parameter of Exponential Distribution
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المستخلص:

          في هذا البحث , استعملنا طرائق مختلفة لتقدير معلمة القياس للتوزيع الاسي كمقدر الإمكان الأعظم ومقدر العزوم ومقدر بيز في ستة أنواع مختلفة عندما يكون التوزيع الأولي لمعلمة القياس : توزيع لافي  (Levy) وتوزيع كامبل من النوع الثاني وتوزيع معكوس مربع كاي وتوزيع معكوس كاما وتوزيع غير الملائم (Improper) وتوزيع Non-informative. وفقا لدالتي الخسارة هي : دالة الخسارة التربيعية و دالة الخسارة التربيعية الموزونة. استعمل أسلوب المحاكاة في مقارنة اداء كل مقدر, بافتراض عدة حالات لمعلمة التوزيع الاسي استعملت لتوليد البيانات ولأحجام مختلفة من العينات ( صغيرة , متوسطة , كبيرة). وقد أظهرت نتائج المحاكاة بان طريقة بيز الأفضل وفقا لمقياس اقل قيمة متوسط مربع الأخطاء (MSE) , متوسط مربع الأخطاء الموزونة (MWSE) مقارنة بطريقتي الإمكان الأعظم (MLE)  وطريقة العزوم (ME) . وفقا للنتائج المستحصلة , نرى بانه عندما يكون التوزيع الاولي لـ توزيع معكوس كاما عند قيم معينة لمعلمتي التوزيع الاولي , أعطى نتائج أفضل وفقا لاقل قيمة لـ MSE ولـ MWSE مقارنة بنفس القيم المستحصلة بطريقتي MLE و ME,عندما تكون القيمة الحقيقة المفترضة لـ ولكل حجوم العينات (n). وعندما يكون التوزيع الاولي لـ هو غير الملائم  (Improper) عند قيم معينة لمعلمتي التوزيع الاولي, اعطى نتائج أفضل وفقا لاقل قيمة لـ MSE  ولـ MWSE مقارنة بنفس القيم المستحصلة بطريقتي MLE و ME, للقيم الحقيقة المفترضة لـ ولكل حجوم العينات (n) .

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
TWO-PARAMETER GAMMA DISTRIBUTION AND LOG NORMAL DISTRIBUTION FOR DERIVATION OF SYNTHETIC UNIT HYDROGRAPH
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Most available methods for unit hydrographs (SUH) derivation involve manual, subjective fitting of
a hydrograph through a few data points. The use of probability distributions for the derivation of synthetic
hydrographs had received much attention because of its similarity with unit hydrograph properties. In this
paper, the use of two flexible probability distributions is presented. For each distribution the unknown
parameters were derived in terms of the time to peak(tp), and the peak discharge(Qp). A simple Matlab
program is prepared for calculating these parameters and their validity was checked using comparison
with field data. Application to field data shows that the gamma and lognormal distributions had fit well.<

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 04 2012
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Double Stage Cumulative Shrunken Bayes Estimator for the variance of Normal distribution for equal volume of two sample
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In this article we study the variance estimator for the normal distribution when the mean is un known depend of the cumulative function between unbiased estimator and Bays estimator for the variance of normal distribution which is used include Double Stage Shrunken estimator to obtain higher efficiency for the variance estimator of normal distribution when the mean is unknown by using small volume equal volume of two sample .

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Publication Date
Sat Nov 01 2014
Journal Name
International Journal Of Statistics
Single and Double Stage Shrinkage Estimators for the Normal Mean with the Variance Cases
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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
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The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traff

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Comparison of some methods for estimating Poisson-Weibull distribution parameters
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In this paper was discussed the process of compounding two distributions using new compounding procedure which is connect a number of life time distributions ( continuous distribution ) where is the number of these distributions represent random variable distributed according to one of the discrete random distributions . Based on this procedure have been compounding zero – truncated poisson distribution with weibell distribution to produce new life time distribution having three parameter , Advantage of that failure rate function having many cases ( increasing , dicreasing , unimodal , bathtube) , and study the resulting distribution properties such as : expectation , variance , comulative function , reliability function and fa

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Copulas in Classical Probability Sense
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               Copulas are simply equivalent structures to joint distribution functions. Then, we propose modified structures that depend on classical probability space and concepts with respect to copulas. Copulas have been presented in equivalent probability measure forms to the classical forms in order to examine any possible modern probabilistic relations. A probability of events was demonstrated as elements of copulas instead of random variables with a knowledge that each probability of an event belongs to [0,1]. Also, some probabilistic constructions have been shown within independent, and conditional probability concepts. A Bay's probability relation and its pro

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Publication Date
Sat May 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Physics: Conference Series
An Efficient Shrinkage Estimators For Generalized Inverse Rayleigh Distribution Based On Bounded And Series Stress-Strength Models
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Abstract<p>In this paper, we investigate two stress-strength models (Bounded and Series) in systems reliability based on Generalized Inverse Rayleigh distribution. To obtain some estimates of shrinkage estimators, Bayesian methods under informative and non-informative assumptions are used. For comparison of the presented methods, Monte Carlo simulations based on the Mean squared Error criteria are applied.</p>
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Publication Date
Sun Dec 06 2009
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Best estimation for the Reliability of 2-parameter Weibull Distribution
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This Research Tries To Investigate The Problem Of Estimating The Reliability Of Two Parameter Weibull Distribution,By Using Maximum Likelihood Method, And White Method. The Comparison Is done Through Simulation Process Depending On Three Choices Of Models (?=0.8 , ß=0.9) , (?=1.2 , ß=1.5) and (?=2.5 , ß=2). And Sample Size n=10 , 70, 150 We Use the Statistical Criterion Based On the Mean Square Error (MSE) For Comparison Amongst The Methods.

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
new Estimator of the parameter of negative exponential
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the main of this paper is to give a comprehensive presentation of estimating methods namely maximum likelihood bayes and proposed methods for the parameter

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Properties of Kumaraswamy binary Distribution and compare methods of estimating parameters
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The recent development in statistics has made statistical distributions the focus of researchers in the process of compensating for some distribution parameters with fixed values and obtaining a new distribution, in this study, the distribution of Kumaraswamy was studied from the constant distributions of the two parameters. The characteristics of the distribution were discussed through the presentation of the probability density function (p.d.f), the cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.), the ratio of r, the reliability function and the hazard function. The parameters of the Kumaraswamy distribution were estimated using MLE, ME, LSEE by using the simulation method for different sampling sizes and using preli

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