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jeasiq-2276
Using a hybrid SARIMA-NARNN Model to Forecast the Numbers of Infected with (COVID-19) in Iraq
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Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an acute disease that affects the respiratory system which initially appeared in Wuhan, China. In Feb 2019 the sickness began to spread swiftly throughout the entire planet, causing significant health, social, and economic problems. Time series is an important statistical method used to study and analyze a particular phenomenon, identify its pattern and factors, and use it to predict future values. The main focus of the research is to shed light on the study of SARIMA, NARNN, and hybrid models, expecting that the series comprises both linear and non-linear compounds, and that the ARIMA model can deal with the linear component and the NARNN model can deal with the non-linear component. The models were applied in the health sector to predict the numbers of people infected with the Covid-19 virus in Iraq where the data were collected via the website of the Iraqi Ministry of Health through the daily epidemiological situation of all Iraqi provinces for the period (2021\3\28 to 2021\8\15). When analyzing, studying, and comparing these models, the researcher noted that the hybrid model outperformed other models because it had the lowest value for the MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE so it was used to predict future values.

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
Immunostimulatory, Antibacterial and antibiofilm activity of purified Donkey colostrums lactoferrin on multidrug resistance Serratia liquefaciens producing Intl gene
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Background: Modern methods of biofilm prevention depended on the utilize of normal foodstuffs can solve antibacterial and antibiofilm problems.
Objective: To purify donkey lactoferrin, and evaluate antibiotic resisted Serratia liquefaciens which producing Intl gene and investigate the inhibitory action of lactoferrin on biofilm and stimulate immune response.
Methods: lactoferrin extracted from donkey milk, and purified by ammonium sulfate and Sephadex chromatography. Antibacterial and antibiofilm activities of lactoferrin on Serratia liquefaciens were assayed, and effect of lactoferrin on the innate immune response of mice was determined.
Results: Lactoferrin contains 9.88% carbohydrates, 128 ppm iron, and molecular weight was 8

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 24 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Pre-equilibrium and Equilibrium Energy Emission Spectrum of Nucleons and Light Nuclei Induce Nuclear Reactions on 63Cu Nuclei
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The differential cross sections of the pre - equilibrium stage are calculated at different energies using the Kalbach Systematic approach in Exciton model with Feshbach, Kerman and Koonin (FKK) statistical theory of Multistep Compound and direct reactions. In this work, the emission rate of light nuclei with emission energy in the centre of mass system in the isospin mixed case is considered in calculations to predict the cross-sections at the pre-equilibrium and equilibrium stages. The nucleons and light nuclei (2D and 3T) have been used as a projectile at the target 63Cu nuclei and at different incident energies (4MeV, 14 MeV and 14.8MeV). The comparisons between the present calculated results with other, theoretical and experimental w

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Publication Date
Mon May 14 2018
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Urinary Vitamin-D Binding Protein as an Early Predictor of Diabetic Nephropathyin Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes
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    Diabetic nephropathy (DN) is the most common microvascular complication that may lead to chronic renal failure in diabetic patients. Till now microalbuminuria, with its restrictions, is the early marker of DN, appeared after the disease exacerbation. Thus, new biomarkers are required to predict the early onset of DN before the appearance of microalbuminuria. The aim of this study is to investigate the possible use of uVDBP in the early prediction of DN. Fifty diabetic patients with DN and 40 diabetic patients without DN for both types of diabetes were enrolled in this study. All patients were tested for uACR, uVDBP (measured by ELISA), and blood HbA1c. The results demonstrated a highly significant elevation of uAC

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 01 2013
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Towards Promoting Political Participation of Female - University Students - Field Study on Al-Quds Open University Female - Students - Rafah
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نحو تعزيز المشاركة السياسية للطالبات الجامعيات الفلسطينيات

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 01 2024
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Synthesis, Characterisation and Biological Activity of New Co, Ni, Zn and Cd Polymeric Complexes Derived from Dithiocarbamate Ligand
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Synthesis of a new class of Schiff-base ligand with a tetrazole moiety to form polymeric metal complexes with CoII, NiII, ZnII, and CdII ions has been demonstrated. The ligand was synthesised by a multi-steps by treating 5-amino-2-chlorobenzonitrile and cyclohexane -1,3-dione, the 5,5'-(((1E,3E)-cyclohexane-1,3-diylidene)bis(azanylylidene))bis(2-chlorobenzonitrile) was obtained. The precursor (M) was prepared  from the reaction 5,5'-(((1E,3E)-cyclohexane-1,3-diylidene)bis(azanylylidene))bis(2-chlorobenzonitrile) with NaN3 to obtained (1E,3E)-N1,N3-bis(4-chloro-3-(1H-tetrazol-5-yl)phenyl)cyclohexane-1,3-diimine (N). By reacting the precursor (M) with CS2

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 25 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Pharmaceutical Sciences ( P-issn 1683 - 3597 E-issn 2521 - 3512)
Synthesis, Molecular Docking Study and Cytotoxicity Evaluation of some Quinazolinone Derivatives as Nonclassical Antifolates and Potential Cytotoxic Agents
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Abstract

A series of new 4(3H)-quinazolinone derivatives (S1-S4) were synthesized and characterized   by FTIR,1HNMR and 13CNMR .Their cytotoxic activity against a set of human cancer cell lines MCF-7 (breast) and A549 (lung) was evaluated using MTT assay. To detect their selectivity toward cancer cells, the compounds were also tested against epithelial cells derived from normal human fibroblast (NHF). Methotrexate (MTX) was used as a reference for comparison . All the tested compounds exhibited toxicity against the normal cells lower than cancer cells. All the tested compounds displayed higher cytotoxicity against lung cancer cell line (A549) than MTX with the most

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Impact of PEDOT:PSS Concentration and Heat Treated on Compositional and Some Optical Properties for Graphene Oxide Thin Films
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     In this study the as-deposited and heat treated at 423K of conductive blende graphene oxide (GO) / poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene)-poly(styrenesulfonate) (PEDOT:PSS) thin films was prepared with different PEDOT:PSS concentration (0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75 and 1.0)wt% on pre-cleaned glass substrate by spin coating technique. The energy dispersive X-ray Analysis (EDX) show the existence of higher amount of carbon and oxygen related to hydroxyl and carbonyl  groups. X-ray diffraction (XRD) analysis of the as-deposited and annealed GO/PEDOT:PSS thin films blend indicated that the film prepared  show broad peak around 8.24 corresponding to the (001) level refers to GO, this peak shifted to the lower 2θ with increasing PEDOT:PSS concentr

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Aip Conference Proceedings
Study of (Zn0.7 Mn0.3-x Ag0.3 Fe2O4) ferrite nanoparticles synthesized by auto combustion method for NO2 gas sensing
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Publication Date
Thu Sep 12 2019
Journal Name
Al-kindy College Medical Journal
Knowledge, attitude and practice regarding osteoarthritis management among physicians of primary health care centers; Al-rusafa/ Baghdad/2017
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Background:-Osteoarthritis (OA) is the most common form of arthritis and the leading source of physical disability in elderly people. The Prevalence of OA is increasing and will continue to do so as the population gets older. The OA is predominantly managed in primary care centers by primary health care physicians and much can be done to alleviate symptoms from osteoarthritis by combinations of therapeutic options including pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatments.

Objectives of study :- To assess the knowledge, attitude and practice of Iraqi PHCC physicians in Baghdad, AL-Rusafa, regarding the management of osteoarthritis patient, and it's association with sociodemogra

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Publication Date
Wed May 25 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Metal Complexes of Bis (2,6-diamine pyridine 2,5-hexanedione) Macrocyclic Schiff-Base Ligand: Preparation, Characterization and thermal study
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     New series of Schiff base macrocyclic complexes have been prepared through a new chemical approach. Firstly, ligand Bis (2,6-diamine pyridine 2,5-hexanedione (DP-HD)  prepared via reacting of 2,6-diamine pyridine (DP) with 2,5-hexanedione(HD) in molar ration (1DP:1HD). The complexes of this ligand include Mn (II), Fe (II), Co (II), Ni (II) and Cu (II) as central metal ions also prepared with a molar ratio of (1 ligand:1 metal ion). Metals chloride was used as raw materials for this preparation. A variety of spectral and physical techniques were applied to characterize the macrocyclic complexes such as 1H-NMR, FT-IR, UV-Vis, CHN analysis, conductivity, Atomic absorption and magnetic susceptibility. Depending on spectral and magn

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