Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
The research explores the shapes preferred by children and the extent to which it can be utilized on the experimental kindergarten at the Woman’s School of Education. To achieve the goal, the researcher has displayed pictures that have been chosen from within the research boundaries which represent four categories: Geometrical shapes which included (squares, rectangles, triangles, and circles), agricultural shapes which included (apples, oranges, bananas, and grapes), motion pictures shapes (cartoon characters) which included (Jerry the mouse, Twitty the bird, Bugs Bunny the rabbit, and Winnie the pooh), and animal shapes which included (dogs, fishes, frogs, and horses) to the sample children of (60) child (boys and girls) that
... Show Moreتشكل سوق الاوراق المالية ركناً اساسياً من اركان هيكل النظام التمويلي في النظم الاقتصادية المعاصرة، لما تقوم به هذه الاسواق من دور مهم في حشد المدخرات المحلية وتوجيهها في قنوات استثمارية تعمل على دعم الاقتصاد القومي وتزيد من معدلات الرفاهية الاقتصادية لافراده، فضلاً عن كونها مرأة للوضع الاقتصادي العام في البلاد.
ونتيجة للروابط القوية بين سوق الاوراق المالية والاقتصاد، عُدّ استقرار ونمو
... Show MoreSelf is the main factor of personality and the acceptance of others where each of them are connecting and plays an important role in emotional maturation. The researches affirmed that the leading behavior depending on good human relations between the employers and the employees will enhance their goals and the goals of the institution at the same time . This study aims to measure the emotional maturation among the leactures of the university according to sex variable and identify the correlation between emotional maturation and the level of leading behavior among the lecturers of the university. The sample consists of two samples where the lst is to build the measwe consisting of (200)males and famales lecturers and the 2nd which is the
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The research dealt with the study of animal drawings in the fresco, during the Umayyad period, especially in Qusayr Amra and Qasr al-Hayr al-Gharbi. Many imagesto different animals and birds were found and used in various subjects, most notably the hunting and predation scenes.
RÉSUMÉ
LeMauger Bleu est une méthode emblématique de l’enseignement traditionnel, qui présente une littérature française riche et patrimoniale, et dont l’objectif est de faciliter l’accès au texte par le vocabulaire et la grammaire et d’étendre la culture générale et littéraire de l’apprenant. La démarche (traditionnelle) est toujours la même : le texte, le vocabulaire et la grammaire, la traduct
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The distribution is one of the elements of the marketing mix key by which companies can to deliver their products through private channels to all customers in right time and right place to check though in which the levels desired by customer satisfaction, the and purpose of the discussion dealt with the preparation of analytical studies to explain the impact of live performance of distribution channels in achieve customer satisfaction in industrial companies, as well as the diagnosis and the reality of the research variables in companies under study and describe the kind of relationship between changers Home on the one hand and the relationship between the variables sub on the other hand, represe
... Show Moreتم التطرق إلى مفهومي الخجل والعنف الأسري لدى الفتيات ضعيفات السمع ومشكلة البحث تكمن بدراسة العنف الأسري لضعيفات السمع وعلاقته بالخجل ومعرفة ما يترتب عن ذلك بالنسبة للفتاة المراهقة ضعيفة السمع أثناء تعرضها للمعاملة السيئة وأثره على شخصيتها ، فالخجل هو نتيجة لأساليب التربية الخاطئة التي تعاني منها الفتاة ضعيفة السمع ، ويهدف البحث إلى التعرف على الخجل وعلاقته بالعنف الأسري لدى ضعيفات السمع في محافظة بغداد ، و
... Show MoreDans le roman moderne, le type du héros est depuis longtemps devenu suspect. Il risque même de disparaitre dans ce qu´on désigne le Nouveau Roman qui, se concentrant plutôt sur les objets, décrits minutieusement, refuse la fonction épistémologique traditionnelle de la littérature. Cette conception se manifeste, sur le plan formel, par certains traits typiques, comme la relativisation des points de vue, la décomposition de l´action, la destruction du temps, la décomposition de l´espace et la désintégration du personnage romanesque dont les liens avec la société sont coupés.
Some great families in England had competed for the sake of getting authority and power in England.
This competition turned to be a bloody civil war which extended till 1455 and ended with the victory of Henry Tudor whose judgment in England started from 28th of August 1458, consequently a new dynast which is known as (the Tudor)has established
إن المعتقدات الخاصة بالسحر والعرافة قديمة جدا كون الإنسان عرف الكثير منها ومارس أنواع من الأساليب السحرية منذ أقدم العصور ومن أكثر العلوم التي حرم تعليمها ونشرها هو علم السحر والسيمياء أو الكيمياء والشعبذة والحيل . ومع ذلك عرف السحر من قبل سكان بلاد وادي الرافدين ولاسيما في بابل والسحر يمثل أقدم مرحلة في تطور العقل البشري .