Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
This paper deals with load-deflection behavior the jointed plain concrete pavement system using steel dowel bars as a mechanism to transmit load across the expansion joints. Experimentally, four models of the jointed plain concrete pavement system were made, each model consists of two slabs of plain concrete that connected together across expansion by two dowel bars and the concrete slab were supported by the subgrade soil. Two variables were dealt with, the first is diameter of dowel bar (12, 16 and 20 mm) and the second is type of the subgrade soil, two types of soil were used which classified according to the (AASHTO): Type I (A-6) and type II (A-7-6). Experimental results showed that increasing dowel bar diameter from 12 mm to 20 mm
... Show MoreSince the early ages, scientists have been keen on the second source of Islamic law, namely the hadith of the Prophet. They also took from the less disciplined narrators, but they chose from their conversations a selection, and for this some prominent narrators who can be considered that Ibn Habban has been hardened to weaken them. Narrators who avoided Ibn Habban novel They are not true because Ibn Habban neglected her and left her to hurt some narrators who are confident in themselves
The reasons for the totality are varied and multiple, some of which are attributed to the methods of the Arabic language as the participant
Verbal and omnipotent differences in the oud of conscience, which are comprehensive reasons for language in all
And some of these reasons are due to the sciences of the Qur'an, such as cessation and initiation
The explanation of the explanation for the multiplicity of words and differences in them, which necessarily led to a dispute jurisprudence
Linked to the origin of disagreement in the interpretation of the totality and its orientation and understanding and to summarize this subject and diverge
Parts and vocabulary did not receive the necessary care and did not absorb the lesson an
The research addresses a fundamental Islamic jurisprudential Purposeful issue, which is (Sharia), and to indicate the impact of this on Islamic jurisprudence, deriving rulings and extracting purposes, and to repel the illusion that this issue is only doctrinal, and clarifying the aspects of similarities and links between them by explaining the origin of deriving the purposes of Islamic Law (Sharia) through the meanings and wisdom learned from the texts and the explanation of the rulings. The rulings of Islamic Law (Sharia) have urged bringing benefits and repelling harms, and that the path to do so is reason and its production. I began the research by defining the purposes of Islamic Law (Sharia), then defining the rule of rational right
... Show MoreThe present study discusses the problem based learning in Iraqi classroom. This method aims to involve all learners in collaborative activities and it is learner-centered method. To fulfill the aims and verify the hypothesis which reads as follow” It is hypothesized that there is no statistically significant differences between the achievements of Experimental group and control group”. Thirty learners are selected to be the sample of present study.Mann-Whitney Test for two independent samples is used to analysis the results. The analysis shows that experimental group’s members who are taught according to problem based learning gets higher scores than the control group’s members who are taught according to traditional method. This
... Show MoreThe Ayyub era witnessed a popular for science, knowledge and became the Ayyub state in its various regions a scientific beacon، despite their preoccupation with wars with the Crusaders now that did not discourage them from their care for science and scientists، and this scientific renaissance had many factors، foremost of which are the tendencies of the sultans and Ayyub kings to pay attention to science and its care، through their establishment of the role of science
The current research focuses on the extent to which the strategic orientation(entrepreneurial orientation, customer orientation, technology orientation, learning orientation, and investment orientation) affects the learning organization (building common vision, systemic thinking, personal dominance, mental models, team learning)The first hypothesis to test the connection relation between research variables and The second hypothesis was to test the relationship between these variables. In order to ascertain the validity of the hypotheses, the research was based on a questionnaire questionnaire prepared according to a number of In addition to building a fifth sub-variable for the strategic orientation (investment orientation) based
... Show MoreAl- belenoby , Andalusian obscure poet .I choose to study poetic rhythm in this poetic and the appropriateness of with what rhythm touring in his self to give beautiful meaning raise to receiver to put the hands of continental placements creativity in poetry .I divided my research into ideas are presented in a sequential manner , I started researching with poetic rhyme than rhyme they represent the form of the poem, they represent the external form of the poem and their music that farm the general concept then the rhetorical styles that represent the internal form of the poem and it music that the listener works and enjoying it part by part all this led to the put the hands of the receiver placement creativity in Belenoby Poet.&nbs
... Show Moreملخص البحث بالعربي
عنوان البحث : أجـــــوبة الحافظ محمد البرزالي على سؤالات العز ابن الحاجب في الجرح والتعديل
يهدف البحث : إلى جمع أجوبة الحافظ أبي عبدالله محمد البرزالي في الجرح والتعديل، ودراستها.
يتكون البحث من : مقدمة، وتمهيد، نص السؤالات، وخاتمة، وفهارس.
المقدمة : تسمية الموضوع، وسبب اختياره، وأهميته .
والتميهد : ترجمة مختصرة للحافظ أبي عبدالله البرزالي، والتعريف بأجوبة الحافظ الب
... Show MoreThis study aimed to identify the educational leadership in the light of my theory xy and its relationship to the morale of the managers of the junior high school as the study population consisted of directors of junior high school in the city of Baghdad of six directorates education for the academic year 2013-2014 AD The number of managers (211) as director, and amounted to a sample Search of (150) director and director of the research community overall rate (71%) and represent this community fully representative sample, two tools were used in the study: the first measure of educational leadership in the light of my theory xy and the second tool to gauge morale.
Results concluded that the
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