Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
Baghdad (the capital of the Abbasid Caliphate, and his legacy oldest civilizations in history, with glory ethyl). 1. benediction this city landmarks archaeological evidence of their own Kkabbab mosques and forms gates and (Aelchenachel) 2, which adorn the walls of buildings and Chaababeckha high and palm trees, all these vocabulary inspired artists embody Baghdad warmest dissolved in their artwork and all those who lived and grew up in Baghdad embodied in his memory for the nights Beauties and their lights and Hoa_khasha. Ceramic Arts art one who embodied the most important symbols that represent the beauty and credited with Baghdad. And many Iraqis potters inspired single Baghdadi in their work, notably ceramists late arrows Saudi which
... Show MoreThis study examined the relationship between the reporting lag (the timeliness of corporate financial reporting) and several independent variables: (1) Audit reporting lag,(2)Company Size,(3) Profitability of the company,(4)Company Age,(5) Sector Type.(6)Audit’s Opinion,(7) Market Type,(8) Gearing,(9) Concentration of ownership,(10) Audit Firm Size(11)Profit or Loss Company(12) Companies Listed lag on the PEX. In order to achieve the objectives of the study and testing its hypotheses, the data Obtained through actual data of a financial reports, and based on me
... Show MoreA character is one of the most important pillars of narrative production. Most critics believe that a character is the focus of events.
Jacob Steinberg, a Jewish writer who is Ukrainian by origin, wrote many stories, most of which spoke about the lives of Jews in the diaspora, especially in Ukraine. The environment there has been reflected in his stories.
Steinberg focused on the role of characters in shaping these productions.
In this study, we discuss the conflict of characters in Steinberg's stories. This conflict is characterized by different trends and goals. There is a conflict with the environment, a conflict with society, a conflict with the self,
... Show MoreThe research study of the possibility of the application of the quality management system under the international standard ISO ISO9001: 2008 in the station project Rustumiya wastewater treatment of the Department of SEWER BAGHDAD - Baghdad MOREALITY as the first step in the right direction towards the implementation of total quality management (TQM), and the research Find the gap between the international standard and the quality system used in the organization surveyed through the use of checklists to analyze the gap, the checklist have included (191) items distributed on five basic requirements, according to the appearance in the international standard, namely, (quality management system, management responsibility, resource man
... Show MoreThe aim of the study was to study the implications of the strategic direction on organizational performance. The research was carried out in the Iraqi Ministry of Defense / Inspector General's Office for the purpose of identifying the nature of the relationship and the impact between the two variables. A sample of 60 people managers, department managers and directorates was targeted.
The researcher tried to test hypotheses in the first chapter, which was devoted to the methodology of research and previous studies and found the following: (1) validity of the first hypothesis of the existence of a relationship of positive significance of the strategic direction in its sub-dimensions with organizational perf
... Show MoreDirectional Compact Geographic Forwarding (DCGF) routing protocol promises a minimal overhead generation by utilizing a smart antenna and Quality of Service (QoS) aware aggregation. However, DCGF was tested only in the attack-free scenario without involving the security elements. Therefore, an investigation was conducted to examine the routing protocol algorithm whether it is secure against attack-based networks in the presence of Denial-of-Service (DoS) attack. This analysis on DoS attack was carried out using a single optimal attacker, A1, to investigate the impact of DoS attack on DCGF in a communication link. The study showed that DCGF does not perform efficiently in terms of packet delivery ratio and energy consumption even on a sin
... Show MoreThe theatrical show depends in its formation on the technical system and the elements that it has for the theatrical show, and among these techniques is the lighting, where every director looked for a style and method of implementing them and giving aesthetic functions and characteristics that give the theatrical show an aesthetic and interpretive dimension, and that is through multiple expressions and connotations of the lighting in giving the show a functional and aesthetic character. Therefore, light has been shed on the lighting and its action in the theatrical show, due to its significant role in the modern theatrical shows. The current research, thus, has been divided into four chapt
... Show MoreThis research is based on interaction of two most important variables to the business organizations in the current era , these two variables are (marketing orientation and quality of service), this research is trying to urge the service organizations to reconsider the mechanisms adopted in the formulation of its plans, It was the application of research in Korek Telecom and Asia Cell Telecom as a sector of service active and important in the business sector in Iraq, the information was obtained through the design of the Likert questionnaire , it was distributed (92) questionnaire , (50) for the company Korek Telecom and (42) of the Asia-Cell and represent research population sample
... Show Morethe Research problem entitled: (compound shapes in the work of the artist Max Ernst and Ali Najjar) the nature of the concept of compound shapes and mechanisms of functioning in contemporary art done. The research consisted of(4) four parts: the first part is dealing with the methodological framework of the Search represented the research problem , which is manifested through this study to reveal the technical features of the composite shapes, that linked achievement both artists (Max Ernst) and (Ali Al Najjar). Which is crystallized into two objectives as follows: 1 - Detection of the technical features of the composite shapes in the work of Max Ernst and Ali Al-Najjar.2 - Detection of similarities and differences in the recruitment of
... Show MoreThe aim of this work is to study the effect of diesel fuel percentage on the combustion processes in compression ignition engine using dual – fuel (diesel and LPG).
The brake thermal efficiency increased with the increase of diesel fuel rate at low loads, and decreased when load increased. To get sufficient operation in engine fueled with dual fuel, it required sufficient flow rate of diesel fuel, if the engine fueled with insufficient diesel fuel erratic operation with miss fire cycles presented.
Dual-fuel operation at part load showed higher specific fuel consumption than straight diesl operation. At full loads, brake specific fuel consumption of duel fuel engine approaches that for diesel fuel values.