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Measuring and analyzing the effect of foreign debt on the gross domestic product in Morocco for the period 1990-2017 using the ARDL Test

 

The research aims to identify the magnitude of the impact of external debt on the gross domestic product in Morocco, and the importance of research lies in the role that external debt plays in addressing structural imbalances, if it is best disposed of according to well-studied economic plans by specialists in this regard, especially if these debts are directed with Other resources, as it helps pay the costs of these debts (debt servicing) that the external debt also raises the level of gross domestic product, and the research starts from the hypothesis that: There is an effect of foreign debt on the GDP in Morocco, has contributed in one way or another to The exacerbation of the external debt, which affected the macro variables, of the Moroccan economy, and became unable to fulfill the debt maturities and its assets, and attempted to resort to rescheduling its debts according to unfair terms with the aim of reducing the severity of the debt, as statistical and standard tools were used, represented by testing the unit root to determine the dormancy of the time series and by accreditation On the methodology of (Dickie Fuller) expanded method, and to know the equilibrium relationship between the study variables, as the ARDL model was relied upon, the study found a relationship A long-term equilibrium (joint integration) between the study variables (independent and dependent), the statistical value of (F) reached (6.06), which is greater than the smallest value (3.29) and the maximum (4.37) at a significant level (1%). This indicates the existence of a long-term equilibrium relationship (a co-integration relationship) between the study variables in the long term. The time series of variables (Y, X1, X2, X3) is not stable at the level, while the time series of the independent variable (X4) is stable at the level. With a breaker and without a breaker and a time trend at a significant level (1%, 5%), and after taking the first difference of the variables (Y, X1, X2, X3), it stabilized at a significant level (1%, 5%, 10%) with the presence of a breaker and a breaker and a time trend Without a break and a time trendIt is evident from the two tests (CUSUM) and (CUSUM of Squares) that there are stability and consistency in the model for the short term and there is no stability in the long term.

 The most important recommendations are directing foreign debts to productive economic sectors, in a way that leads to creating added value and paying attention to foreign debts, directing them towards important priorities and maintaining the stability of macroeconomic variables, and moving away from debts with high conditionalities that restrict the country's economy and falling into a debt trap

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
A realistic vision of the ration card system in Iraq for the duration (1997-2003) and (2017-2003)

Abstract:

The researcher shed light on a diet in Iraq before 2003 became in this period. And how the ration card has a variety of vocabulary and cover the need of the population of commodities and have a key role in saving Iraq from a real crisis in the period of economic siege, especially in light of the State's direction to support the agricultural sector, which in that period able to fill half of the market needs of food the basic. As well as providing strategic storage at the Ministry of Commerce enough for six months But after the events of 2003 and the crises that hit the country and the unstable security situation began to rise voices calling for reform of the ration card system as a system that is a burden on the

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Role of Tourism Industry in the Developing of Economie to Iraq for (1990- 2009)

The Developing economies of countries have witnessed essential changes to words the development of tourism industry in the 21st century . in addition to adopting same of policies and strategies to grow up with the tourism sector to make it one of the important economic sector to compete the tourist cal  developments in the wear .

As for the tourism sector in Iraq ,it's still afresh one , has many of elements which can be in vested ,needs a wide strategies of tourist cal in statutes and variety completive services and change of success for the locale and forgin investor ,the essential aim after this research is to prompt the national economic through the tourism industry and making concisen

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Effect of measurement and analysis of quality costs on continuous improvement: Applied research in the Directorate General for the distribution of electric power in the Middle Euphrates

The research aims to identify the theoretical foundations for measuring and analyzing quality costs and continuous improvement, as well as measuring and analyzing quality costs for the Directorate of Electricity Supply / Middle Euphrates and continuous improvement of the distribution of electrical energy,The problem was represented by the high costs of failure and waste in electrical energy result to the excesses on the network and the missing (lost) energy,Thus, measuring and analyzing quality costs for the distribution of electrical energy and identifying continuous improvement leads to a reduction in missing and an increase in sales, as the research reached many conclusions, the most important of which is the high percentage o

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Effect of Genderism on the Process and the Product of Translation

    Many studies have been made and still concerning the field of translation. Since the mid-90's a considerable amount of researches has tackled the problem of gender and its effect on the process and the product of translation. Simon (1996, p 508) points out that when comparing women and men as translators and writers through history, women seem to be the weaker side. This paves the way to feminist movements which produce prominent studies concerning gender as a concept and translator's gender as practice on the quality and the accuracy of the translation.           

     Flotow (in Meschia, 2012, p 1-4) outlines several issues that can be

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2020
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences
Solving multicollinearity problem of gross domestic product using ridge regression method

This study is dedicated to solving multicollinearity problem for the general linear model by using Ridge regression method. The basic formulation of this method and suggested forms for Ridge parameter is applied to the Gross Domestic Product data in Iraq. This data has normal distribution. The best linear regression model is obtained after solving multicollinearity problem with the suggesting of 10 k value.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The relationship between Iraq's foreign trade and economic growth analysis For the period (2013-1980)

Abstract

This study highlights the importance of Iraq in the analysis of foreign trade and economic growth for the period (1980 - 2013) is an attempt to determine the equilibrium relationship long term and short term between these two variables were used ARDL model to explain the economic relationship between the two variables.

To achieve the objectives of the research has been the standard model estimate after testing the stability of exports X data series, and imports M, and GDP current prices, and exchange rate EXR, and verify the existence of a joint integration relationship between these variables.

In order to achieve the objectives of the research it

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Factors affecting the support of local investment in iraq for the period(1996-2015)

This paper aims to explain the effect of the taxes policy including direct & indirect taxes on supporting the domestic Investment in Iraq. This could help the official planners for drawing the future policies that help provoking (istumlating) the domestic investment in Iraq the quantitative analysis approach was adopted using regression model. The results showed the significance of the effects of both direct & indirect taxes policies on domestic as a simple correlation coefficient ( r ) of ( 0.6 ) , ( 0.64 ) respectively.  

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 15 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
Role of the Internet in Spreading Rumors Social networking sites "Facebook" model For the duration of 1-7-2017 until 30-11-2017: يوسف محمد حسين

This study is about the role of the Internet in spreading rumors, especially through social networking sites "Facebook" model as the effectiveness of social networks lies in the speed of transmission of events; these two characteristics are important to the public, making the Internet a strong contender for television and its relationship with the public. That's why we find that the Internet today has become a fertile environment for the growth and spread of rumors. The more limited the platforms and places of publication, the greater the responsibility in the search for the original source in   spreading this or that rumor, as the Internet is considered an easy means in the production, spreading  and re-spreading  of

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 02 2919
Journal Name
Thesis
Publication Date
Wed Jan 01 2020
Journal Name
Periodicals Of Engineering And Natural Sciences
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