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jeasiq-199
مقارنة مقدر بيز مع طريقة الامكان الاعظم لتقدير معلمتي معكوس التوزيع الاسي المعمم في حالة ضبابية البيانات
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In this paper, the generalized inverted exponential distribution is considered as one of the most important distributions in studying failure times. A shape and scale parameters of the distribution have been estimated after removing the fuzziness that characterizes its data because they are triangular fuzzy numbers. To convert the fuzzy data to crisp data the researcher has used the centroid method. Hence the studied distribution has two parameters which show a difficulty in separating and estimating them directly of the MLE method. The Newton-Raphson method has been used.

For the Bayesian method, the gamma distribution has been proposed as a prior distribution for the two parameters with a quadratic loss function and by using Metropolis-Hasting algorithm to find the Bayesian parameters estimators. Different samples have been generated to represent the population under study by using simulation approach. After estimating the parameters, the results of the two methods have been compared according to the Mean Squared Error measurement. And the researcher concluded that the best estimation method is the MLE followed by the Bayesian.

 

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
"Using Markov Switching Model to Investigate the Link between the Inflation and Uncertain Inflation in Iraq for the periods 1980-2010"
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In this paper we use the Markov Switching model to investigate the link between the level of Iraqi inflation and its uncertainty; forth period 1980-2010 we measure inflation uncertainty as the variance of unanticipated  inflation. The results ensure there are a negative effect of inflation level on inflation uncertainty and  all so there are a positive effect of inflation uncertainty on inflation level.                                                   &nbsp

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2023
Journal Name
مجلة الحقيقة
University e-learning and its role in raising technological skills
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تتبلور فكرة البحث حول التوصل لنوع العلاقة التي تربط التعليم الالكتروني خلال جائحة كورونا برفع المهارات التكنولوجية للأساتذة والطلاب، وتبرز أهمية البحث في ان نجاح الوصول لهذه العلاقة يمكن الإفادة منها في تغيير منهجية تطوير المهارات التكنولوجية مستقبلا وذلك باعتماد الجوانب التطبيقية الفعلية بدلا من الدورات وورش العمل والتي قد لا تضاهي الطريقة العملية في رفع مستوى المهارات المختلفة سواء التدريسية او التكنو

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