Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1701
قياس وتحليل تقلبات أسعار النفط واتجاهات الإنفاق الحكومي على قطاعي الزراعة والصناعة في العراق للمدة ( 2006 _ 2016 )

هدف الدراسة : تشخيص واقع العلاقة بين تقلبات أسعار النفط العالمية وانعكاسها على اتجاهات الإنفاق الحكومي على الزراعة والصناعة.

توصلت الدراسة : من خلال اختبار التكامل المشترك(ARDL)تبين انه لايوجد تكامل مشترك بين المتغيرين ,اي لا يوجد  تاثير للمتغير المستقل(اسعار النفط) على المتغير التابع(الانفاق على القطاع الزراعي), وذلك من خلال قيمة F المحتسبة والتي بلغت(1.906385) عند مستوى معنوية5% وهي اصغر من القيمة الجدولية للحد الادنى للمعلمة ذاتها والبالغة 3.62 عند مستوى معنوية5% وذلك بسبب ان اغلب تلك النفقات هي نفقات تشغيلية وهي غير مرنة وقليلة الاستجابة للتغيرات التي تطرأ على اسعار النفط حيث ان الانفاق الاستثماري على القطاع الزراعي لم يتجاوز 10% من مجموع الانفاق العام خلال مدة الدراسة. _ كان التخصيص لقطاع الصناعة من مجموع الانفاق العام متدني للغاية حيث بلغ متوسط نسبة هذا القطاع من الانفاق العام على مدار 11 عام (1.1%)مايعكس تدني مامخصص لهذا القطاع من مجموع الانفاق العام الامر الذي انعكس سلبا على مستوى الانتاج المحلي الذي هو اساسا لا يكاد يذكر.

اوصت الدراسة : النهوض بالقطاع الخاص وتطويره وتقديم الدعم والتسهيلات اللازمة للنهوض بهذا القطاع لتخفيف الضغط عن القطاع العام من خلال تشغيل الأيدي العاملة وبالتالي التقليل من الانفاق العام الذي اغلبه رواتب واجور للموظفين العاملين, وإعطاء أولوية للنفقات الاستثمارية من مجموع الإنفاق العام للقطاعات التي تسهم في بناء اقتصاد يلبي الطموح في النهوض بالاقتصاد, مثل القطاع الصناعي وذلك لاستيعاب الأعداد الهائلة من العاطلين ,الاهتمام بالقطاع الزراعي لما لهذا القطاع من اهمية بالغة في توفير السلع الغذائية اللازمة وضمان عدم استيراد هذه السلع من الخارج لما لهذه الاستيرادات من اثار سلبية على اقتصاد البلد.     

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Dec 31 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
SIMULATION AND MODELING OF HYDRO CRACKING REACTR TO REDUCE POLLUTION CAUSED BY REFINERIES: SIMULATION AND MODELING OF HYDRO CRACKING REACTR TO REDUCE POLLUTION CAUSED BY REFINERIES

Hydro cracking of heavy oil is used in refinery to produce invaluable products. In this research, a model of hydro cracking reactor has been used to study the behavior of heavy oil in hydro cracking under the conditions recommended by literature in terms lumping of feed and products. The lumping scheme is based on five lumps include: heavy oil, vacuum oil, distillates, naphtha and gases. The first order kinetics was assumed for the conversion in the model and the system is modeled as an isothermal tubular reactor. MATLAB 6.1 was used to solve the model for a five lump scheme for different values of feed velocity, and temperature.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Requirements for achieving financial balance in Iraq

The deficit of the federal budget and the structural imbalances suffered by the Iraqi economy has affected the direction of research towards suggesting steps and mechanisms can be relied upon in the near term to form a broader base of non-oil revenues aimed at achieving a balanced budget, and to proceed to reform the financial situation, In reducing their financial dictates, whether capital or operational, which lead to significant financial and economic consequences. This also requires that the Iraqi political elite have the real will, strategic vision and full awareness that the implementation of these reforms has potential social and economic effects, with long-term measures to be taken. The aim is not only to reform the finan

... Show More
Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The effect of the Iraqi dinar exchange rate on inflation and economic growth using the joint integration methodology "a standard study"

The exchange rate is of great importance at the global and local levels alike, as this importance increases with the increasing rates of development of economic relations between countries of the world due to openness and integration into the global economy, expressed by the expansion of the volume of trade and financial relations between countries. The Central Bank of Iraq has set the need to stabilize this price as a goal to reduce inflation rates and reduce them to the internationally accepted rates by using the foreign currency sale window to achieve a balance between the forces of supply and demand for foreign currency and to preserve the value of the Iraqi dinar. The research concluded that the central bank was It has a maj

... Show More
Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measure the relationship between inflation and the exchange rate in the formulation of Monetary policy in Iraq for the period 1990-2018

       Due to the importance of the relationship between the phenomenon of inflation and the exchange rate in the formulation of monetary policy in Iraq, the exchange rate plays a strategic role in limiting the inflation caused by the monetary expansion due to government spending, as a point of a view, the inefficiency of interest to achieve the monetary market balance and stability of the general level of prices as an overall goal of monetary policy in Iraq, the exchange rate has emerged as a brake on inflation in Iraq, as the research found that the monetary authority in the period 2003-2018 provided a methodical development in the formulation of monetary policy towards realizing the effects of inf

... Show More
Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring the impact of interest rates on the movement of international financial flows (Japan case study) for the period 1985-2005

يعد الاقتصاد الياباني احد اكبر الاقتصادات الرأسمالية المتقدمة ويحتل المرتبة الثالثة بعد الاقتصاد الأمريكي واقتصاد الاتحاد الاوربي من حيث حجم الناتج المحلي الإجمالي والذي يكاد يقترب من (5) تريليون دولار سنويا.

لقد ادت التطورات المتلاحقة التي شهدها الاقتصاد العالمي وخاصة في حقل التمويل الدولي خلال العشرين سنة الاخيرة الى تصاعد وارتفاع في حجم وحركه رؤوس الاموال الدولية على اوسع نطاق بحيث ا

... Show More
Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of the RMB exchange rate on the value of Chinese exports For the period (1978-2017) using the Angel-Granger model

In this research, we sought to identify the nature of the relationship between the exchange rate of the Chinese yuan and the value of Chinese exports, through the formulation of a standard model based on the model of common integration, and based on the data of the study and using the test "Angel-Granger" It reflects the relationship between the two research variables, through which the relationship between the RMB exchange rate and the value of Chinese exports was estimated during the period 1978-2017.

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
(Energy alternatives and the possibility of substitution)

Many of the signs that the global energy system indicate the start of a period of transition from total dependence on fossil energy sources, especially oil, into a new era in which alternative energy sources play an important role in meeting the growing needs of energy demand, so sought many of the developed countries through research the studies carried out to try to bring renewable energy sources and non-renewable (shale oil, oil sands, solar energy, wind energy .... etc) replace traditional fossil energy sources (oil, gas, coal) and despite the recent availability dramatically and spread throughout the the world, but they are going to dry up in the foreseeable future. So many countries, especially the developed sought to find

... Show More
Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Mechanisms of Pricing Iraqi Crude Oil and It's Reflect On the Trends of Export (2003-2013)

Oil is considered the most important source for providing the funds for the national economic sectors. The revenues of oil constitute %95 of the GPD. Therefore, the development of the remaining sectors depend on oil..

The Iraqi Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) depended on the a unified price for all the buyers, That may not reflect the real value of market and did not contribute in marketing the type of heavy oil. Then, to what extent had SOMO been able to market the light and heavy crude oil in a way that contains the expected increase in the crude oil production.      

Crossref (1)
Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Apr 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Estimation & Analysis Relationship between Growth rate GDP and Unemployment Rate In Iraqi Economic in Period (1990-2014)

It reflects the gross domestic product in any country total output of goods and services by the size of the country's citizens and foreign residents during the period of the year and reflect the contribution of the commodity sectors of the economy and the distribution and service in the composition of output. And gross domestic product in Iraq as an indicator dominated in the composition of oil output, along with the contribution of the service sector, as the gross domestic product is the output of a yield lien   and subjected GDP in Iraq to a series of declines succession due to vibrations of the oil market during the economic blockade on the one hand and stop imported production inputs, lack of arriving in commodity s

... Show More
Crossref
View Publication
Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis The Consistency Between The Tariff And The Exchange Rate And Their Reflection On The Trade Balance In Iraq

       The trade balance is considered as a way to join the national economy with the world, So it is the mirror that reflect the economic center of the country and it is point to competitive ability of it, The tariff and the exchange rate perform a great role to motivate the domestic production and improve the trade balance if we direct them to achieve the same purpose. The Iraqi economic has trade balance which achieve overabundant during the years of studying because of the oil exports, while the other exports represent a small percentage it is hardly remember, and expansion in imports from other side causes exhaustion in oil revenues, and this make the trade balance in permanent

... Show More
Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF