This research aims at forecasting the public budget of Iraq (surplus or deficit) for 2017 & 2018 through using two methods to forecast. First: forecast budget surplus or deficit by using IMF estimations average oil price per barrel adopted in the public federal budget amounted to USD 44 in 2017 & USD 46 in 2018; Second: forecast budget surplus or deficit by using MOO actual average oil price in global markets amounted to USD 66 in 2018 through applying Dynamic Model & Static Model. Then analyze the models to reach the best one. The research concluded that those estimations of dynamic forecasting model of budget surplus or deficit for 2017 & 2018 gives good reliable results for future periods when using the actual average oil price according to the Iraqi MOO estimates.
Violence is a very serious phenomenon affecting the upbringing and culture kids, are playing the most violent forms of development of these Phenomenon, the research aims to determine the role of the media in reducing violence, and conducted a field study on parents Children by 200 form, the results revealed the importance of the media in raising awareness of the risks of violence on the child Especially television, which hugely increased Show features, as well as the role of parents in guiding the child to buy Useful because the game to play negative impact of violence on children's health, and the media play an important role in raising awareness of these Risks through educational programs and television commercials, and o
... Show Moreنجدّ القرآن الكريم والحديث النبوي الشري يقدمان أر ى ميامين لمقيم الداعية
إلى إامة مجتمع متماسك البنيان، وبناء فرد ذي شخصية متزنة، لا تعر التردد
مما توصل إليه البحث :
إن الدوافع النفسية تنفرد في تجسيد الأحاسيس والمشاعر في نتاج الشاعر , من خلال رؤيته لتلك الحالة , فتسهم في صورة المقارنة في التشبيه , فتبعث في المتلقي حالة التأمل والمقارنة بين الحالتين اللتين تجمع بين مكوناتهما صفة واحدة فتصل إلى حالة التلاحم , ويكون ذلك باعثا لرسم صورة التشبيه ال
... Show MoreThe book (Al-Thaw’ Al-Lami’) (Bright Light) by AlSakhawi is one of the most important historical sources in the Hijri ninth century. In this book, the author mentioned the biographies of most famous scientists and other authors browsing the most prominent scientific
دور المراكز البحثية في الحياة السياسية وصنع القرار السياسي الخارجي الامريكي
The scientific abandonment of the most important places of education and science in the Happy Yemen, which Manfred them from the rest of the Islamic Alomassar such kind of places Education existence, has contributed to a variety of factors paved the way for the emergence and originated scientific migration in the (fifth century AH / atheist century AD), and was in the forefront divisions witnessed by the Zaidi sect to if divided into three teams are (Almpartyah and inventor and Husseiniya) Because of differences doctrinal debates Pima including a heated end the fighting of the conflict between the parties,
It is axiomatical that the narrative prospective is profoundly significant to the writer who intends to commence his sketch of projected novel. It is the pillar of comprehensive absorbing as the writer should commit himself to circular his own concepts to the reader of his narrative characters.
The dilemma of plot-perception is a twofold aspect; partly offers the question: what is the authors stand in regard to his characters? And: what is the aim of this theme? These correlative questions are inseparable since the reader who wishes
... Show Moreعرض كتاب (وهم التحكم : القوة والسياسة الخارجية في القرن الحادي والعشرين)
The goal of health awareness is to familiarize people with health information and facts, and make them realize their sense of responsibility towards their health and the health of others. And translate that goal in practice through applying healthy and sound behaviors spontaneously. This, the goal, is pursued by health awareness announcements through employing announcement persuasion of health as one of the methods of influencing the masses to adopt ideas, behaviors, and adherence to health advice and guidelines; The study aims to analyze the content of the Ministry of Health and Environment announcements regarding health awareness and to reveal the most employable persuasions in health awareness announcements
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