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jeasiq-1563
Comparison Between Ordinary Methods (LS,IV) and Robust Methods (2SWLS,LTS,RA) to estimate the Parameters of ARX(1,1,1) Model for Electric Loads
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Abstract:

The models of time series often suffer from the problem of the existence of outliers ​​that accompany the data collection process for many reasons, their existence may have a significant impact on the estimation of the parameters of the studied model. Access to highly efficient estimators  is one of the most important stages of statistical analysis, And it is therefore important to choose the appropriate methods to obtain good  estimators. The aim of this research is to compare the ordinary estimators and the robust estimators of the estimation of the parameters of the Autoregressive with exogenous variable (ARX) model with the order of (1,1,1) using real data containing outliers, the order (1,1,1) has been used based on a number of criteria for determining the rank, which were explained in the thesis under construction. The study showed that the method employed The Least Trimmed Squares (LTS) method is the best method of estimation. The comparison was done using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Expected Error Percentag (EEP), A test was also carried out to ascertain the accuracy of the model reached and then used to predict future values.                                                                                    

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 15 2020
Journal Name
Al-academy
The narrative and dramatic construction between the vision of the script and the director: بان جبار خلف
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  The relationship between the vision of the scenario and the director is represented in the second search for new mechanisms and possibilities that possess the direct effect and synonyms of the vision of the scenario, so he works on investing them in achieving his ideas and visions with more effectiveness and flexibility to achieve creative potentials, without resorting to the installations and expressive structures themselves that have exhausted their meaning, and lost their luster due to Its prevalence and familiarity on the one hand, and its activation on the other hand to achieve modernity at the level of aromas, after the director takes a method or approach that has privacy and exclusivity, and based on the foregoing, getting

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 08 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The Suggested Reciprocal Relationship between Maximum, Minimum and Optimum Usable Frequency Parameters Over Iraqi Zone
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In this work, the relationship between the ionospheric parameters (Maximum Usable Frequency (MUF), Lowest Usable Frequency (LUF) and Optimum working Frequency (OWF)) has been studied for the ionosphere layer over the Iraqi zone. The capital Baghdad (44.42oE, 33.32oN) has been selected to represent the transmitter station and many other cities that spread over Iraqi region have represented as receiver stations. The REC533 communication model considered as one of the modern radio broadcasting version of ITU has been used to calculate the LUF parameter, while the MUF and OWF ionospheric parameters have been generated using ASAPS international communication model which represents one of the most advanced  and accurate HF sky wave prop

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Publication Date
Tue Sep 27 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
THE MOST IMPORTANT PHENOMENA OF THE ARABIC LANGUAGE IN THE MEDIA BETWEEN (warning and development)
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Summary of the research : Our research tagged (Arabic language in the media between warning and development) attempts to follow the most prominent phenomena that accompanied the evolution of the use of Arabic language in the media with the development of these means and spread technically globally, and how divided researchers and linguists and intellectuals Arabs into two teams, each demanding what contradicts the other, in the matter The use of the Arabic language in the media, and the arguments of each team in the need to deal with the media as one of the pillars of the nation culturally, historically and civilized, in order to enhance its position and maintain unity, continued the research highlighted the positions of hard-lin

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The dialectical relationship between the organization's growth and its value under the framework of the diversification strategy
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The research is conducted on target of investigating the role of growth strategy via diversification in value maximization of a firm in terms of controversies literatures had witnessed. Using a descriptive approach for analyzing and verifying the harmony of variables of research and their conceptualized logic , it could be reached to many conclusions agreed in their essence upon that the related diversification has the major role in value maximization of a firm and the wealth of its owners .                       

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الطرائق والأساليب الشائعة في تدريس مادة التربية الإسلامية في المرحلة المتوسطة من وجهة نظر مدرسي مادة التربية الإسلامية ومدرساتها والمشرفين الاختصاص
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The problem of the current research has been crystallized through the study of the current reality of teaching Islamic Education in the intermediate schools. In order to get realistic results and to built on them the recommendations and suggestion that might help in improving teaching Islamic Education with more effective styles in the intermediate and secondary schools, this research has been formulated with the following question:

What are the common methods and styles used in teaching Islamic Education in the intermediate schools?

The importance of the research can be summarized as follows:

  1. The importance of the Islamic Education according to its

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Publication Date
Thu Feb 01 2018
Journal Name
Association Of Arab Universities Journal Of Engineering Sciences
Effects of Properties and Simulations for Dry Granular Soils on Buckling Loads of Portal Frames
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Publication Date
Mon Mar 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Effect of formation Methods on Sintering Process of Ceramic Materials: هديل سلمان سعيد
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The current research is concerned with methods of formation and their effect on the sintering process of ceramic materials. The research is divided into a number of chapters. The first chapter addressed the research structure (the research problem, importance, objective, limits, and it also defined the terms used in the research). The second chapter addressed the theoretical framework, where the theoretical framework has been divided into three sections. The first section dealt with methods of formation of ceramic materials including: Plasticizing method 2- semi-dry pressing method 3- dry pressing method 4- extrusion method 5- casting method.
The researcher found that there is a clear difference between the methods through her formati

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Effect of Lime Addition Methods on Performance Related Properties of Asphalt Concrete Mixture
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In the recent years, some of the newly constructed asphalt concrete pavements in Baghdad as well as other cities across Iraq showed premature failures with consequential negative impact on both roadway safety and economy. Frequently, load associated mode of failure (rutting and fatigue) as well as, occasionally, moisture damage in some poorly drained sections are the main failure types found in those newly constructed road.

In this research, hydrated lime was introduced into asphalt concrete mixtures of wearing course in two methods. The first one was the addition of dry lime on dry aggregate and the second one was the addition of dry lime on saturated surface dry aggregate moisturized by 2.0 to 3.0 percent of wa

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2024
Journal Name
Joiv : International Journal On Informatics Visualization
Evaluation of the Performance of Kernel Non-parametric Regression and Ordinary Least Squares Regression
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Researchers need to understand the differences between parametric and nonparametric regression models and how they work with available information about the relationship between response and explanatory variables and the distribution of random errors. This paper proposes a new nonparametric regression function for the kernel and employs it with the Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator method and the Gaussian kernel function. The proposed kernel function (AMS) is then compared to the Gaussian kernel and the traditional parametric method, the ordinary least squares method (OLS). The objective of this study is to examine the effectiveness of nonparametric regression and identify the best-performing model when employing the Nadaraya-Watson

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 01 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Impact Analysis of Reinforced Concrete Columns with Side Openings Subjected to Eccentric Axial Loads
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In this research the behavior of reinforced concrete columns with large side openings under impact loads was studied. The overall cross sectional dimensions of the column specimens used in this research were (500*1400) mm with total height of (14000) mm. The dimensions of side openings were (600*2000) mm. The column was reinforced with (20) mm diameter in longitudinal direction, while (12) mm ties were used in the transverse direction. The effect of eccentric impact loads on the horizontal and vertical displacement for this column was studied.                              &

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