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jeasiq-1563
Comparison Between Ordinary Methods (LS,IV) and Robust Methods (2SWLS,LTS,RA) to estimate the Parameters of ARX(1,1,1) Model for Electric Loads
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Abstract:

The models of time series often suffer from the problem of the existence of outliers ​​that accompany the data collection process for many reasons, their existence may have a significant impact on the estimation of the parameters of the studied model. Access to highly efficient estimators  is one of the most important stages of statistical analysis, And it is therefore important to choose the appropriate methods to obtain good  estimators. The aim of this research is to compare the ordinary estimators and the robust estimators of the estimation of the parameters of the Autoregressive with exogenous variable (ARX) model with the order of (1,1,1) using real data containing outliers, the order (1,1,1) has been used based on a number of criteria for determining the rank, which were explained in the thesis under construction. The study showed that the method employed The Least Trimmed Squares (LTS) method is the best method of estimation. The comparison was done using the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Expected Error Percentag (EEP), A test was also carried out to ascertain the accuracy of the model reached and then used to predict future values.                                                                                    

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 31 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Comparative Study for Organic and Inorganic Draw Solutions in Forward Osmosis
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The present work aims to study forward osmosis process using different kinds of draw solutions and membranes. Three types of draw solutions (sodium chloride, sodium formate, and sodium acetate) were used in forward osmosis process to evaluate their effectiveness with respect to water flux and reverse salt flux. Experiments conducted in a laboratory-scale forward osmosis (FO) unit in cross flow flat sheet membrane cell.  Three types of membranes (Thin film composite (TFC), Cellulose acetate (CA), and Cellulose triacetate (CTA)) were used to determine the water flux under osmotic pressure as a driving force. The effect of temperature, draw solution concentration, feed and draw solution flow rate, and membrane types, were studied with

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Studies on Surface Morphology and Electrical Conductivity of PS Thin Films in Presence of Divalent Complexes
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       Optical properties and surface morphology of pure and doped Polystyrene films with different divalent metals of Zn, Cu and Sn and one concentration percentage have been studied. Measurements of UV-Vis spectrophotometer and AFM spectroscopy were determined. The absorbance, transmittance and reflectance spectrums were used to study different optical parameters such as absorption coefficient, refractive index, extinction coefficient and energy gap in the wavelengths rang 200-800nm. These parameters have increased in the presence of the metals. The change in the calculated values of energy gaps with doping metals content has been investigated in terms of PS matrix structural modification. The value of opt

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 01 2019
Journal Name
International Journal Of Drug Delivery Technology
Simple and Rapid Method For Estimate of Propranolol With Bi (III) Via Long-Distance Chasing Photometer (NAG-ADF-300-2) Utilization Continuous Flow Injection Analysis
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A simple, sensitive and rapid method was used for the estimate of: Propranolol with Bi (III) to prove the efficiency, reliability and repeatability of the long distance chasing photometer (NAG-ADF-300-2) using continuous flow injection analysis. The method is based on a reaction between propranolol and Bi (III) in an aqueous medium to obtain a yellow precipitate. Optimum parameters were studied to increase the sensitivity for the developed method. A linear range for calibration graph was 0.1-25 mmol/L for cell A and 1-40 mmol/L for cell B, and LOD 51.8698 ng/200 µL and 363.0886 ng /200 µL , respectively to cell A and cell B with correlation coefficient (r) 0.9975 for cell A, 0.9966 for cell B, RSD% was lower than 1%, (n = 8) for the

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 21 2013
Journal Name
المؤتمر العلمي الدولي الرابع لاتحاد الاحصائيين العرب / بغداد
Estimating Fertility Rates in Iraq by using (Lee-Carter) Model And Forecasting for the Period (2012_2031)
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A large number of researchers had attempted to identify the pattern of the functional relationship between fertility from a side and economic and social characteristics of the population from another, with the strength of effect of each. So, this research aims to monitor and analyze changes in the level of fertility temporally and spatially in recent decades, in addition to estimating fertility levels in Iraq for the period (1977-2011) and then make forecasting to the level of fertility in Iraq at the national level (except for the Kurdistan region), and for the period of (2012-2031). To achieve this goal has been the use of the Lee-Carter model to estimate fertility rates and predictable as well. As this is the form often has been familiar

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 04 2022
Journal Name
Environmental Science And Pollution Research
Geographically weighted regression model for physical, social, and economic factors affecting the COVID-19 pandemic spreading
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Abstract<p>This study aims to analyze the spatial distribution of the epidemic spread and the role of the physical, social, and economic characteristics in this spreading. A geographically weighted regression (GWR) model was built within a GIS environment using infection data monitored by the Iraqi Ministry of Health records for 10 months from March to December 2020. The factors adopted in this model are the size of urban interaction areas and human gatherings, movement level and accessibility, and the volume of public services and facilities that attract people. The results show that it would be possible to deal with each administrative unit in proportion to its circumstances in light of the factors that appe</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 2021
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Hurst Exponent and Tsallis Entropy Markers for Epileptic Detection from Children
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The aim of the present study was to distinguish between healthy children and those with epilepsy by electroencephalography (EEG). Two biomarkers including Hurst exponents (H) and Tsallis entropy (TE) were used to investigate the background activity of EEG of 10 healthy children and 10 with epilepsy. EEG artifacts were removed using Savitzky-Golay (SG) filter. As it hypothesize, there was a significant changes in irregularity and complexity in epileptic EEG in comparison with healthy control subjects using t-test (p< 0.05). The increasing in complexity changes were observed in H and TE results of epileptic subjects make them suggested EEG biomarker associated with epilepsy and a reliable tool for detection and identification of this di

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 26 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Contemporary Medical Sciences
Breast Cancer Decisive Parameters for Iraqi Women via Data Mining Techniques
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Objective This research investigates Breast Cancer real data for Iraqi women, these data are acquired manually from several Iraqi Hospitals of early detection for Breast Cancer. Data mining techniques are used to discover the hidden knowledge, unexpected patterns, and new rules from the dataset, which implies a large number of attributes. Methods Data mining techniques manipulate the redundant or simply irrelevant attributes to discover interesting patterns. However, the dataset is processed via Weka (The Waikato Environment for Knowledge Analysis) platform. The OneR technique is used as a machine learning classifier to evaluate the attribute worthy according to the class value. Results The evaluation is performed using

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 14 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
The correlation between FEV1/ FVC with Arm span to height or chest to waist ratio as an index of pulmonary function in healthy subject.
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Abstract

Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Analysis of the Content of the Computer Textbook for the Second Intermediate Grade According to Scientific and Moral Values
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The purpose of this research is to design a list of the scientific and moral values that should be found in the content of the computer textbook for the second intermediate grade, as well as to analyze the content of the above- mentioned book by answering the following question:

 What is the percentage of availability of scientific and moral values in the content of the computer textbook for Second Intermediate grade issued by the Iraqi Ministry of Education / the general directorate of the curriculum, for the academic year (2017-2018)? 

In order to achieve the research objectives, the descriptive method (content analysis method) was adopted. The research community has been iden

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Publication Date
Sat Aug 02 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
THE NATURE OF THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PROPAGANDA DISCOURSE AND POLITICAL DISCOURSE
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The propaganda discourse is the most widely circulated in the media and communication studies, where the interest of scholars and researchers in this field has become clear in the analysis and interpretation of the content of this discourse, to identify the intentions, purposes and objectives of the communicator activity, which exceeded the borders of states in the heated atmosphere of rivalries and political conflicts that characterize The countries of the world as a whole and for many years.

In particular, the economically and militarily developed countries (the Nordic capitalist countries) have exerted special efforts in the production of information and ideas, using advanced methods and means in all details of communication w

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