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قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية في الاقتصاد العراقي للفترة 1980-2005 دراسة قياسية
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تعرض الاقتصاد العراقي إلى صدمات نقدية شديدة بسبب الظروف السياسية والاقتصادية غير المستقرة والمتمثلة بشكل أساسي لخوض العراق حرب طويلة الأمد مع إيران في الثمانينات وحربين مدمرتين مع الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية فضلاً عن فرض الحصار الاقتصادي طيلة ثلاثة عشر عاما ً .

وتهدف هذه الدراسة إلى قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية التي تعرض لها الاقتصاد العراقي في فترة الثمانينات والتسعينات وبداية هذا القرن وبيان آثارها وسبل مواجهتها .

وأظهرت الدراسة أنَّ محاولة تثبيت سعر الصرف سواء من خلال إتباع سياسة سعر الصرف الثابت كما هو الحال في الثمانينات أو سياسة سعر الصرف المدار من قبل البنك المركزي (كما هو الحال بعد عام 2003) لا يساعد على امتصاص الصدمات النقدية، وبالمقابل إن َّ إتباع سعر الصرف المعوم أو المرن كما حصل بشكل أساسي في التسعينات ساعد الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية بالرغم من الإصدار النقدي غير المنضبط خلال تلك الفترة .

كما ساعد في انتشار ظاهرة الدولرة في الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية من خلال تحوط الأفراد واحتفاظهم بالعملة الأجنبية وجعلها كمخزن للقيمة بدلا من العملة المحلية،  إذ أظهرت الدراسة  توجه الطلب على النقود نحو إحلال النقود الأجنبية الدولار بدلا ً عن العملة المحلية الدينار .

وأكدت نتائج النموذج القياسي أنَّ هناك  علاقة عكسية بين الطلب الحقيقي على النقود وبين سعر الصرف وعلاقة طردية بين الطلب على النقود وبين الناتج المحلي الإجمالي  مما يدعم  النظرية الاقتصادية والمنطق الاقتصادي

وقدم الباحث مجموعة من التوصيات أهمها: إن َّ سياسة سعر الصرف   المدار من قبل البنك المركزي العراقي والمتبعة حاليا ً ينبغي أن يرافق تثبيت أسعار الصرف معدل نمو ثابت في عرض النقد؛ لكبح معدلات التضخم للمساهمة في استقرار الاقتصاد العراقي وعزله عن الصدمات النقدية. كذلك ضرورة العمل على استقلالية البنك المركزي؛ ليأخذ دورة في رسم السياسة النقدية بعيدا ً عن تدخلات الحكومة، فضلا ً عن العمل بشكل جدي على تنويع سلة العملات الصعبة، وتكوين احتياطات من اليورو والين والجنيه الإسترليني، لمقابلة أي تغيرات نقدية عالمية في المستقبل المنظور وعدم البقاء رهينة للدولار الأمريكي .

                                           

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Measuring the impact of oil price fluctuation on the budget Deficit base in Iraq for the period (2003-2020)
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Abstract

                 The research dealt with a studying the impact of oil price fluctuations on one of the rules of financial discipline, which is the rule of budget deficit in the Iraqi economy for the period (2003-2020) as it is one of the quarterly economies that rely mainly on volatile oil revenues that fluctuate with oil prices in global markets, and therefore the general budget suffers. from The state of instability and then the government resorts to borrowing for a long time . this deficit in the general budget and increase the debt burden in the public debt.The research aim to measure and study the impact of oil price flu

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Measurement of the effect of some macroeconomic variable on the phenomenon of unemployment in Iraq For the period 2003-2018
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The aim of this research is analysis the effect of the changes in (GDA, g, inflation) at average and standard economic curriculum in composition of the models, depending on SPSS program in analysis, and according to available date from central bank of Iraq and during the period from 2003 to 2018 and by using OLS and estimate of the equation and the results showed a statistical significance relation in incorporeal level 5% and the R2 value equal  to 92.1 refer to the changes in independent variables explain 92% of changes of unemployment and the independent variables effect are very limit depend on estimated parameters in the model and respectively (0.986,0.229,-0.060), the research recommended necessity to active the inve

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Prospects for adopting Takaful Insurance and its role in developing insurance services: Applied research in the Iraqi insurance sector
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The present research aims to present a theoretical framework for the application of takaful insurance in Iraq, as well as to identify the level of impact on the development of insurance services in the Iraqi market, and to make recommendations and suggestions that lead to increased interest in this area, and thus contribute to the development and integration of insurance service in the Iraqi market,

The research adopted the descriptive analytical method, and the questionnaire was used to survey the opinions of the research sample consisting of department managers and their assistants and some employees of the graduate degrees in addition to employees of the departments of electronic calculator in the Iraqi insurance sector, and t

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2015
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Mental Image of the Iraqi Policeman in the Anbar Province
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The study of images in the cognitive field receives considerable attention by researchers, whether in the field of media and public relations or in other humanities. Due to the great importance in shaping trends of public opinion, especially trends that individuals and the behaviors of people, institutions or ideas are determined by forming images that they hold in their minds towards these persons or institutions. Modern enterprises have realized, whether they are governmental ministries and official departments or non-governmental organizations as civil society organizations, the importance of studying the dominant image in the minds of the masses and make decisions and draw plans to configure this image as these institutions wishes.&n

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 28 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
دراسة مقارنة بين دقة وسرعة الضربة الخلفية القاطعة القطرية والضربة الخلفية القاطعة المستقيمة للاعبي التنس بأعمار (14-16) سنة
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تكمن اهمية البحث من خلال اجراء دراسة لمقارنة بعض المتغيرات الكينماتيكية لأداء الضربة الخلفية القاطعة (المستقيمة والقطرية) ومعرفة علاقة ذلك بسرعة ودقة الاداء لدى لاعبي التنس بأعمار (14-16) سنة, ومن خلال متابعة الباحثان لأغلب تمرينات المنتخب الوطني ومن خلال المشاركة في اكثر البطولات المحلية لاحظ بان هذه المهارة يتم استخدامها مرة مستقيمة ومرة قطرية وبالتأكيد سوف يكون لدينا اختلاف من حيث المسار الحركي للأداء

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 03 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The role of the forensic accounting philosophy in the transparency and quality of financial statements: : An applied study on a sample of workers at the Trade bank of Iraq and the Gulf Commercial Bank in Babylon
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This research aims to identify the role that forensic accounting plays on the transparency and quality of the financial statements in trade bank of Iraq and the Gulf Commercial Bank in Babylon. This research came to address the problem that most financial institutions suffer from, which is represented by the lack of transparency and the quality of the financial statements issued in a manner. Annual also the manipulation and fraud in the financial data, which causes a big gap between that institutions and organizational stakeholders. According to the implementation of the research hypothesis and the objectives of the research, a questionnaire was prepared consisting of three axes, the first axis dealing with the demographic distri

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Political Marketing and the Formation of Trends in Public Opinion on Social Networking Sites: An Analytical Study of the Two F.B. Pages: the Prime Minister and the Parliament President
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The social networking sites have become one of the most important promotional instruments for their characteristic of facilitation of communication and the creation of public platform for discussion and formation of new points of view. These sites were used in the political marketing process where politicians use Facebook pages to promote their ideologies and spread their programs for the purpose of an influencing public opinion.
This research deals with the way by which political products are the Iraqi parliament. We adopt the methodology for analyzing the contents of these pages during three months starting from September,12 2016 to March 1, 2017 characterized by a lot of changes and events, in particular the beginning of the war o

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 15 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
العوامل المؤثرة على النزعة الاستهلاكية عند المستهلك العراقي: دراسة تحليلية لآراء عينة من الزبائن باستخدام اسلوب التحليل العاملي
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Factors affecting consumer consumerism Iraqi   The research aims to shed light on the factors influencing consumer consumerism Iraqi and arranged in terms of the degree of importance in influencing through poll sample, which amounted to (85) members of the shoppers of electrical goods in the markets of Baghdad, Questionnaire has been used as a tool head to collect data and information from the sample surveyed and their answers were analyzed using factor analysis and test ( ), and The research group was the most prominent

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 31 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
STUDY THE INHIBITION ACTIVITY OF PURIFIED BACTERIOCIN FROM LOCAL ISOLATION Lactococcuslactis ssp. lactisagainst SOME PATHOGENIC BACTERIAL SPECIES ISOLATED FROM CLINICAL SAMPLES: دراسة الفعالية التثبيطية للبكتريوسين المنقى من العزلة المحلية Lactococcuslactis ssp. Lactis تجاه بعض البكتريا الممرضة المعزولة من عينات سريرية
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This study aimed to study the inhibition activity of purified bacteriocin produced from the local isolation Lactococcuslactis ssp. lactis against pathogenic bacteria species isolated from clinical samples in some hospitals Baghdad city. Screening of L. lactis ssp. Lactis and isolated from the intestines fish and raw milk was performed in well diffusion method. The results showed that L. lactis ssp. lactis (Lc4) was the most efficient isolate in producing the bacteriocin as well observed inhibitory activity the increased that companied with the concentration, the concentration of the twice filtrate was better in obtaining higher inhibition diameters compared to the one-fold concentration. The concentrate

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 30 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effect of operational efficiency on some financial indicators according to the CAMEL model of banking financial stability: An applied research on a sample of Iraqi private banks for the period 2010-2020
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Abstract

          The research aims to determine the nature of the Iraqi market in terms of banking financial stability and the extent impact of the operational efficiency on it, Accordingly, chosen 15 relational banks were chosen as an intentional sample that could represent the Iraqi banking system for the period 2010-2020. The operational efficiency variable was measured according to the data envelope model, and banking financial stability used  CAMELS model which includes five indicators (capital adequacy, asset quality, management quality, profitability, and liquidity), so for testing the research hypotheses used the random regression model by adopting the S

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