Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1478
قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية في الاقتصاد العراقي للفترة 1980-2005 دراسة قياسية
...Show More Authors

تعرض الاقتصاد العراقي إلى صدمات نقدية شديدة بسبب الظروف السياسية والاقتصادية غير المستقرة والمتمثلة بشكل أساسي لخوض العراق حرب طويلة الأمد مع إيران في الثمانينات وحربين مدمرتين مع الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية فضلاً عن فرض الحصار الاقتصادي طيلة ثلاثة عشر عاما ً .

وتهدف هذه الدراسة إلى قياس وتحليل الصدمات النقدية التي تعرض لها الاقتصاد العراقي في فترة الثمانينات والتسعينات وبداية هذا القرن وبيان آثارها وسبل مواجهتها .

وأظهرت الدراسة أنَّ محاولة تثبيت سعر الصرف سواء من خلال إتباع سياسة سعر الصرف الثابت كما هو الحال في الثمانينات أو سياسة سعر الصرف المدار من قبل البنك المركزي (كما هو الحال بعد عام 2003) لا يساعد على امتصاص الصدمات النقدية، وبالمقابل إن َّ إتباع سعر الصرف المعوم أو المرن كما حصل بشكل أساسي في التسعينات ساعد الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية بالرغم من الإصدار النقدي غير المنضبط خلال تلك الفترة .

كما ساعد في انتشار ظاهرة الدولرة في الاقتصاد العراقي في امتصاص الصدمات النقدية من خلال تحوط الأفراد واحتفاظهم بالعملة الأجنبية وجعلها كمخزن للقيمة بدلا من العملة المحلية،  إذ أظهرت الدراسة  توجه الطلب على النقود نحو إحلال النقود الأجنبية الدولار بدلا ً عن العملة المحلية الدينار .

وأكدت نتائج النموذج القياسي أنَّ هناك  علاقة عكسية بين الطلب الحقيقي على النقود وبين سعر الصرف وعلاقة طردية بين الطلب على النقود وبين الناتج المحلي الإجمالي  مما يدعم  النظرية الاقتصادية والمنطق الاقتصادي

وقدم الباحث مجموعة من التوصيات أهمها: إن َّ سياسة سعر الصرف   المدار من قبل البنك المركزي العراقي والمتبعة حاليا ً ينبغي أن يرافق تثبيت أسعار الصرف معدل نمو ثابت في عرض النقد؛ لكبح معدلات التضخم للمساهمة في استقرار الاقتصاد العراقي وعزله عن الصدمات النقدية. كذلك ضرورة العمل على استقلالية البنك المركزي؛ ليأخذ دورة في رسم السياسة النقدية بعيدا ً عن تدخلات الحكومة، فضلا ً عن العمل بشكل جدي على تنويع سلة العملات الصعبة، وتكوين احتياطات من اليورو والين والجنيه الإسترليني، لمقابلة أي تغيرات نقدية عالمية في المستقبل المنظور وعدم البقاء رهينة للدولار الأمريكي .

                                           

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2022
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Doctrinal monotheistic modeling of religion: the impact of the political aspect on Islamic sources and books
...Show More Authors

         The political system in Indonesia, since gaining independence from the Dutch colonialism on the seventeenth of August 1945, has gone through long stages. The Indonesian constitution stipulated that the country is based on a democracy. In 1956 the first free elections were held in Indonesia, and President Sukarno announced the adoption of the directed democratic system Then, during the era of President Suharto, the state entered a phase called democracy based on the Five Pancasila principles, which is a false democracy because it served the interests of Suharto, who in his long reign had political and economic corruption leading up to 1998, when the Indonesian people revolted, and the government of Soeharto was overthrown

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
طرافة التخییل بحسن التعلیل في الشعر الاندلسي دراسة تحلیلیة
...Show More Authors

Of good reasoning (the art of unique moral turn him poets of Andalusia in
poetry verse emitter myself, and to achieve a very technical. Either the emitter is
related to the nature of the environment and the composition of personal Andalusia
of appetite for life and interaction with the legibility beautiful, and it was (wit)
feature in them even said they are charming as Bagdad ions , and either art, it made
them this color to show their ability intellectual in the search for bugs, and
stimulate their imaginations in a contract equations in the interpretation and find
justifications for the ideas and meanings Exaggeratedly times, and especially in the
purpose of praise, and novelty in many cases, as in the spinning

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Jan 23 2023
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
ظاهرة المفارقة في كتاب بلاغات النساء دراسة بلاغية اسلوبية
...Show More Authors

The Arab woman expressed the life of oppression that she suffers from in her masculine environment, as she expressed her linguistic abilities with eloquence and intelligence, as she did not neglect philosophy, wisdom,

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2022
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Transformation in International Polar System: Study of the future of the nonpolar system
...Show More Authors

The study of the future of the international system currently appears, according to scientific data and existing facts in light of the emergence of international actors from non-states and international informal institutions, to be heading towards a non-polarity system and this trend is fueled by many variables to reduce polarity, and it is expected in the future that the international system will turn into a non-polarity.

 

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Feb 05 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Kenyan foreign policy towards Somalia
...Show More Authors

Abstract The Kenyan policy towards Somalia was influenced by a set of interrelated factors between the two countries and stemmed from the internal environment and most prominent: the geographical factor, ethnic, cultural, religious, political, economic and security, has been dominated by this policy since independence from the British colonial administration in the sixties of the last century and so far the nature of instability and tension, As the two countries are geographically contiguous and as security risks escalate, Kenya in 2011 rushed military action against Somalia, the first military action by Kenya outside its borders since independence.

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
دراسة تاريخية في تطور القطاع الجزائري بعد الاستقلال1962-197
...Show More Authors

0

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Smoking and Social Behavior
...Show More Authors

0

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Dec 26 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
ظاهرة المفارقة في كتاب بلاغات النساء دراسة بلاغية اسلوبية
...Show More Authors

The Arab woman expressed the life of oppression that she suffers from in her masculine environment, as she expressed her linguistic abilities with eloquence and intelligence, as she did not neglect philosophy, wisdom, and exhortation

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Popular naming for goods and materials in the Iraqi slang "A Semantic Study"
...Show More Authors

The current research is concerned with the prices of Goods and materials in the Iraqi slang a descriptive, lexicographic , and semantic study expressing the meanings of these names and their positions , as well as expressing the imaginations of Human mind , the popular mind in describing these goods with evaluating them besides the semantic of each word accordingly
The current research is divided into two parts , the first part is consisted of Vocalizations" words" That are arisen through cognitive naming that concentrate on the mental imaginations for the most important and sensitive such as colors , taste , shapes and forms impacts of Goods and materials according to users' ' taste for those words , on other hand, the second part of

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
العنف ضد المرأة دراسة میدانیة في مدینة بغداد / الكرخ
...Show More Authors

Violence can be identified as an outreaching on others’ dignity,
freedom, properties, and life. Therefore, violent actions cannot be determined
only on materialistic attacks such as killing, beating, robbery, rape, and civil
wars, but it also includes the verbal attacks such as insult, threat, and cursing.
Violence against women can be identified as any bad actions that are
done against women, which lead to a physical or psychological harm, and
invade their safety and freedom whether these actions come from men or
women, against one woman or a group of women in special and general
places.
Before, the social, historical and lawful manners concentrated on
sexual distinction between the men and a woman, which

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF